Following up on my musings on the art of political prediction as the year turns, I’ve just noticed that Open Democracy has published forecasts by 48 of its distinguished contributors, which you can read here and here.
Ramin Jahanbegloo begins his piece with this striking remark:
That history might not repeat itself is one of the promises 2006 holds.
Jahanbegloo also picks up on one of the biggest stories of the last decade or so - the increasing demands for democratisation from below, a phenomenon that accelerated in the late 90s and is spectacularly instanced in the Latin American turn to the left. Jahanbegloo thinks that 2006 will see a continuation of pressures for democratisation from within civil society in the Middle East and internationally. Let’s hope so!
Elsewhere: Andrew Bartlett writes on predictions about predictions.
Torie Bosch at Slate looks at what American blogs are saying about the year in review and the year in prospect.
Update: Liam polls stoushers on the most likely events of 2006…
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