Archive for November, 2006

Build dams, God commands you…

Well, here they are. The Exclusive Brethren, the rather wacky religious sect, has shown up in the Victorian election with anti-Greens ads.

What’s fascinating about the ads is how, along with the “HOMOSEXUAL SOCIAL AGENDA” in schools, the ads attack the “extremists” who refuse to build dams to solve Victoria’s water issues. As noted earlier, so do Fundies First (PDF file).

I don’t get it. What’s with fundies and dams? I would have thought they’d be in favour of water recycling, given 2 Kings 2:19-22. Seriously, what’s the obsession? Do they believe that if you build dams and pray hard enough (and resist the HOMOSEXUAL SOCIAL AGENDA), God will fill them? Or is it just their assumption that every Green policy (it seems they haven’t noticed it’s ALP policy as well) is somehow going to result in the HOMOSEXUAL SOCIAL AGENDA being advanced, and therefore it’s their duty to oppose it?

Or are they just plain nuts?

Crossposted at The View From Benambra

Who, precisely, is being wedged?

The Switkowski Report is being hailed as a Howardian political masterstroke by Paul Kelly (or something) while The Oz’ editorialist sees it as a nail in the Beazer’s coffin.

Really?

The Courier-Mail has been asking Queensland Coalition pollies if they’d like a nuclear power station or waste dump in their electorate.

While we’re on the topic, can someone please tell Malcolm Turnbull that the word isn’t pronounced “nucular”?

Our great and powerful allies… in Bucharest

Some of that hair product must have seeped into Dr Nelson’s brain. As he rejected British plans to cut and run from Basra in May (is it a coincidence that Blair will be leaving around then?), the Defence Minister indicated we wouldn’t make any move without consulting with the Romanians. But I think when Dr Nelson comes calling they’ll be busy meeting with Bono.

A short post on clothing that went awry

Over at Footpath Zeitgeist, where Mel cooly dissects the ‘meaning’ of certain hipster fashion trends, she has a post about whether certain fashion items can or should be called silly or labelled ‘bad taste’. By dismissing some fashion as inherently stupid, Mel says:

We’re not only creating arbitrary categories of ‘good’ and ‘bad’ taste; we’re also creating a bogeyman of ‘bad taste’ — saying that it doesn’t follow the same embodied, pragmatic and affective processes that ‘good taste’ does. That it can only be observed with farcical incredulity and that people with ‘bad taste’ are fundamentally retarded in some way because they aren’t ashamed of the way they look.

Continue reading ‘A short post on clothing that went awry’

National Forum polling on Victorian election

Victorian Premier Steve Bracks in an unguarded moment gave the game away – the election has been designed to be boring. Bracks is invoking the ghosts of the Kennett era and running a controlled campaign designed to reinforce his strengths as a cautious, conservative and nice guy leader. Hence it’s no surprise that such passion as there is has been generated by factors which are basically part of the process itself – the rhetorical contest between Labor and the Greens over preferences, and the composition of the newly restructured Upper House, the Nats’ chances of holding seats.

But quantitative and qualitative research conducted by Graham Young and me for The National Forum tells an interesting story about the dynamics of the campaign.

In many ways, there are strong parallels with the recent Queensland election. This is perhaps not surprising as both Bracks and Beattie have similar political approaches, if radically different personae. And it’s not surprising either as in both cases a long term Labor government can parry voter dissatisfaction with lack of delivery on services by pointing to a divided and unconvincing opposition.

Voters surveyed hold Bracks to account to some degree for the slowness of delivery on services targets and major projects. But at the same time, some ALP voters recognise that the legacy of the Kennett era conditioned Labor’s approach to government. But while Liberal voters are attracted to the Opposition Leader, very few voters of any persuasion believe that Baillieu will deliver on his wish list. That’s either because he’s seen as being out of step with his party (more socially liberal, an accidental leader) or because the voters have correctly perceived that funding the utopia Victoria would become under Premier Baillieu would simply be impossible.

Continue reading ‘National Forum polling on Victorian election’

Guest Post by David Tiley: Victorian film funding policies

From David Tiley’s blog Barista:

State elections are wondrous things. Both governments and oppositions churn out the promises, and we cynical citizens wonder about the philosophical commitment beneath the pork.

I’ve been a fascinated spectator of Victorian film funding policy for twenty five years. I well remember how the Kennett government lied blatantly about the financing of Film Victoria - there wasn’t any, but the organisation pretended there was, even to its own Board.

A community doesn’t recover its arts community quickly. Once it dissipates, you can’t just fire up a few kids with some guest lecturers and get it going again. It is an intergenerational ecology, a habit of affection between artist and audience. You can pump money into it, but it goes to imported talent, unrooted in the local world.

So I’m not too inspired when Ted Baillieu tells us that an extra half million a year will go to Film Victoria, and he attacks the Melbourne Film Studios without specifying either the problem or the solution. After all, he probably does know the policy levers are in federal hands.

Continue reading ‘Guest Post by David Tiley: Victorian film funding policies’

The Victorian water fight

If there’s been one area on which the Victorian election battle has seen some real interest, it’s water - how could it not, with the worst drought in living memory? But despite the best efforts of Baillieu and the Liberals, it’s my judgement that they’re, at most, pick up some very minor benefits from the drought, whereas their promises to build every country bypass ever doodled on a Vicroads notepad will probably help them win a few regionals back. Read on for a rather long discussion of the long political buildup to the current water-centric election…
Continue reading ‘The Victorian water fight’

Is political advertising too negative?

The Age blogs that:

Each election comes with its own extravagantly spent advertising dollars. Is it just me or are we living currently in a state of complete negativity when it comes to the election advertisements?

The majority of the ads I have seen on TV are both Labor and Liberal ads talking about policy - water, education, health, infrastructure. The minority, from my point of view, have been attack ads.

Am I missing something? Are election ads getting too negative?

Street Walking

Richard Di Natale and Bob Brown with Young Labor lads on Errol StreetThe Age has a quaint article on the Pike/Garrett, Di Natale/Brown street walk yesterday:

Across the electorate, Senator Brown patrolled North Melbourne with Greens candidate Richard Di Natale. The pair — risk-averse perhaps — had taken the precaution of stepping out in an Errol Street that by mid-afternoon was all but empty; if you ignored the small posse of leafleting Young Labor lads. As political spectacle it lacked a log and an owl.

Young Labor and Bob BrownThe Greens leader, Bob Brown and candidate for Melbourne, Richard Di Natale, were greeted by a small contingent of bubble-bikes plastered with Greens logos. A large truck arrived late from the “Vote Environment” Wilderness Society, complete with old-growth forest log.

Young Labor did do a sterling effort in counter-campaigning - armed with glossy leaflets and t-shirts explaining the complexities of the Greens-Liberal preference deal. Most of the people spoken to on the street-walk down Errol were spoken to by “Young Labor lads”. A few Greens and nearby trade unionists got into heated discussion about WorkChoices.

Bob Brown on Errol StreetAs The Age points out, street-walks are largely theatre, and as theatre, is decidedly boring, contrived and open to farce, like the two incidents of counter-campaigning at the Pike/Garrett, Di Natale/Brown street walks. Very few “ordinary” voters were engaged; nor were they supposed to be. These are intended to be stage-managed productions for the benefit of the media.

In the hurley-burley of campaigning, the question remains: how useful are these street-walks? Do they engage voters, or are they just a part of the increasingly professionalised nature of electioneering?

Look beyond Dr Warne

I’m reluctant to start this post with a hook about leadership, but I can’t help mentioning that Lindsay Tanner has just demonstrated how to “cut through”. Take a rather wonky but important speech on policy direction (which contains the important admission that a lot of policy work isn’t funky - perhaps that’s why it’s not adequately reported) and throw in a dig at Shane Warne. Add remarks to the mix which could be read as criticising “ordinary Australians and their attitude to education”, as Tim Dunlop puts it.

And you’ve got headlines, and lots of discussion. And it’s not about leadership, but about the Opposition’s ideas and direction for the country.

I’m sure Tanner is sincere in the comments about Warney’s honorary Doctorate, but I’m sure they’re also partly in their to grab people’s attention. But I’m nowhere near as certain as Andrew Norton that some polling evidence really belies Tanner’s diagnosis of Australian anti-intellectualism. I think you can make that broad sociological observation, and you can find evidence all over the place - the “school of hard knocks” attitude, the social position of intellectuals, the idea that education should be about training rather than learning. The way the current education wars play out certainly suggest that Howard and co. think there’s political value in denigrating universities and talking up dropping out after year 10. And a very narrow focus on what constitutes appropriate educational content (all the high minded crud about Shakespeare and the canon notwithstanding). The very fact that people like Gerard Henderson can talk about the production of knowledge as if it’s only a matter of political opinion shows how little understood actual scholarly values are. And no doubt the reaction I’ll get for saying that will only prove the point.

I’m also in disagreement with Tim Dunlop. I don’t think Tanner is taking a potshot at “ordinary Australians”. I suspect he’s actually been talking to people in the education system about the way in which there’s an increasing propensity to load everything onto schools which used to be the province of parents. Whether it’s “values”, behaviour management, being able to email a teacher at 9pm instead of ask a parent about your homework, whatever. The flight to private schools itself reinforces the belief that education is a panacea for instilling things like discipline. Nor do I think Tim is right that Tanner was being “politically naive”. I’m sure he knew exactly what he was doing. I think, rather, what he’s about is showing some actual leadership and asking people in the community to reflect on phenomena that might not cast us in a good light. Rather than pandering to vote catching talking ponts. Perhaps it’s been so long since we’ve seen a pollie challenge public opinion, we can’t see it for what it is.

As to Tanner’s substantive points, I really think there’s little argument that education and knowledge are crucial to all of our futures, and to social mobility and a just future for all (as Andrew Leigh also argues). I’m impressed too with the way that he was able to tie in Labor’s challenges with broader political observation, and personalise the values that he believes Labor should hold.

And I think it’s an indictment on the quality of debate in this country that there’s been such little debate about the substance of the policy Beazley and Macklin have already announced on education, skills and and innovation.

The speech is here [link to pdf].

Split tickets

According to reports from the hustings, the Greens’ psephologists reckon that running a split ticket will dampen preference flows to Labor by around 10%.

The rhetoric of the Greens over their split-ticket decision has been that they allow voters “to Vote Green and then preference whichever major party they choose.” However, the “Greens recommend preferencing the ALP in the vast majority of the marginal seats - and in most other seats.”

The question that comes to mind is: why did Greens choose some seats, but not others, to let voters decide which major party to preference after voting Greens?

Continue reading ‘Split tickets’

Open Ian Thorpe Careers Advisory Thread

Goodonyer, Thorpie. Who can blame you for being sick of the pool?

But what to do now that the world is your oyster?

I reckon you should put all that boxing you’ve been doing for crosstraining to good use, brush up on some stuntfighting moves, get some voice training to release the basso undertone that’s hiding in that prominent Adam’s apple and start auditioning for Hollywood supervillain roles.

thorpe-villain1.jpg

But perhaps others have better ideas for how young Ian might spend his time.

Debnam Shuts Up, Slips at the Polls and Loses Another To the NSW Right

NSW Opposition Leader Peter Debnam has ceased his pursuit of NSW Attorney-General, Bob Debus in parliament mainly due to the fact there was no substance to the allegations anyway. It is an embarrassing backdown for Debnam, with his foray into the Bill Heffernan book of dirty tricks going spectacularly wrong. Add that embarrassment to the fact that John Ryan, the Liberal deputy leader in the Upper House has been ousted after failing to win preselection:

Mr Ryan, who could not even win the No. 9 spot on the Coalition’s upper house ticket, is faced with the fact that the little-known Mr Lynn, who is not even a frontbencher, was preselected at No. 1 on the ticket.

And this has happened after recent polling shows that Debnam’s approval rating has dropped to 29% (Iemma is down to 52%). On a two party preferred basis the polls are saying:

Labor also is ahead for the first time this year, 52 per cent to the coalition’s 48 per cent.

The ACNielsen poll, taken last Friday and Saturday, produced a very similar result with Labor ahead 51 to 49 per cent.

Another interesting result is that 23% polled indicate that they plan to vote for a minor party/independent because they view the Labor/Liberal parties to be incompetent.

What chance that Barry O’Farrell will be the Opposition Leader before March? Keeping Debnam will mean the NSW Liberal party is handing the election to Labor on a silver platter.

One for the kiddies’ Xmas stocking?

As toy makers rush to get the must have toys in the stores before Christmas, the interactive toy maker Aquapets has seemingly suffered something of a brain explosion in its product development section. You can see the “limited edition Dora Aquapet” over the fold (and buy it from Amazon - perhaps for your inner child). I imagine the image is SFW as it’s a kiddies’ toy (though only for the 5 plus crowd), but if you’re at work, turn over the page at your own peril.

Continue reading ‘One for the kiddies’ Xmas stocking?’

One step ahead of you

Bush is reportedly downplaying the recommendations of the Baker Commission (which hundreds of reports suggest are likely to favour a ‘realist’ approach involving dialogue with Syria and Iran) in favour of a strategy being mulled over by a Pentagon panel (”Go Big but Short”) involving an increase of 20 to 30 000 troops in Iraq.

But while the Decider in Chief ponders, Syria and Iraq have resumed diplomatic relations for the first time in thirty years and Iraqi President Jalal Talabani is off to powow with Ahmenijad in Tehran.