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	<title>Comments on: Acidic oceans</title>
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	<description>Life, Culture and Politics from BrisVegas</description>
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		<title>By: Dany le roux</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191253</link>
		<dc:creator>Dany le roux</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Apr 2007 21:19:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191253</guid>
		<description>Brian,chemically speaking the pH and the pOH add up to 14 in a solution.The pH is the concentration of hydrogen ions and as this figure goes down the concentration of H ions goes up and the solution becomes more acidic or if you want, less alkaline.A pH of 7 with a pOH of 7 is a neutral solution.Wikipedia says the ocean pH is now 8.14 (average) which is definitely alkaline. Try Googling pH for an explanation of &quot;p&quot;.
My point was that Haymet and the people in the other paper I mentioned(Ocean Acidification Due to the Increasing Atmospheric CO2) seem to think that hyperbole is the best way to get the attention of those with the research money purse strings.If atmospheric CO2 goes up and does bad things to the extra-oceanic climate then it should follow that what happens in the oceans becomes very important as well.In the paper &quot;OADTTIA CO2&quot; they talk about the effect too much acidity will have on the tourist trade for God&#039;s sake among other negative things.They were very short of discussion of what happens at great ocean depths  and big on the ecology and chemistry of the  shallow ocean environment (where all the SCUBA and fishing activity happens).
I mentioned with my shakey chemistry the possibility that the oceans could provide a sink for CO2 and to some extent mitigate the effect of increased atmospheric CO2.In other words there is scope for ocean research to reveal an optimistic prognosis for the health of the atmosphere but these research money seekers have decided to push the fear button instead because this approach worked to make people aware of global warming.
If I were a politician this short time out from an election I would be inclined to focus attention on the possibility of positive climate outcomes associated with the oceans and promise research money accordingly.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brian,chemically speaking the pH and the pOH add up to 14 in a solution.The pH is the concentration of hydrogen ions and as this figure goes down the concentration of H ions goes up and the solution becomes more acidic or if you want, less alkaline.A pH of 7 with a pOH of 7 is a neutral solution.Wikipedia says the ocean pH is now 8.14 (average) which is definitely alkaline. Try Googling pH for an explanation of &#8220;p&#8221;.<br />
My point was that Haymet and the people in the other paper I mentioned(Ocean Acidification Due to the Increasing Atmospheric CO2) seem to think that hyperbole is the best way to get the attention of those with the research money purse strings.If atmospheric CO2 goes up and does bad things to the extra-oceanic climate then it should follow that what happens in the oceans becomes very important as well.In the paper &#8220;OADTTIA CO2&#8243; they talk about the effect too much acidity will have on the tourist trade for God&#8217;s sake among other negative things.They were very short of discussion of what happens at great ocean depths  and big on the ecology and chemistry of the  shallow ocean environment (where all the SCUBA and fishing activity happens).<br />
I mentioned with my shakey chemistry the possibility that the oceans could provide a sink for CO2 and to some extent mitigate the effect of increased atmospheric CO2.In other words there is scope for ocean research to reveal an optimistic prognosis for the health of the atmosphere but these research money seekers have decided to push the fear button instead because this approach worked to make people aware of global warming.<br />
If I were a politician this short time out from an election I would be inclined to focus attention on the possibility of positive climate outcomes associated with the oceans and promise research money accordingly.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191252</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Apr 2007 11:25:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191252</guid>
		<description>Problem solved. The paper tim was referring to was &lt;i&gt;Towards a National Framework for Energy Efficiency - Issues and Challenges: Discussion Paper&lt;/i&gt; which can be downloaded from &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.nfee.gov.au/default.jsp?xcid=41&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;here.&lt;/a&gt;

It does seem as though there is significant scope for energy savings.

Dany, would I be right in saying that the title &#039;Acidic oceans&#039; is misleading, in that the oceans will always be alkaline and we should really talk about them becoming less alkaline rather than more acidic?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Problem solved. The paper tim was referring to was <i>Towards a National Framework for Energy Efficiency &#8211; Issues and Challenges: Discussion Paper</i> which can be downloaded from <a href="http://www.nfee.gov.au/default.jsp?xcid=41" rel="nofollow">here.</a></p>
<p>It does seem as though there is significant scope for energy savings.</p>
<p>Dany, would I be right in saying that the title &#8216;Acidic oceans&#8217; is misleading, in that the oceans will always be alkaline and we should really talk about them becoming less alkaline rather than more acidic?</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191251</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Apr 2007 00:58:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191251</guid>
		<description>Dany, that&#039;s really helpful.

I can forgive Haymet for turning a log scale story into simple perentages, given his audience.

Tim that paper I found was of course only a submission.

I&#039;ve found some stuff from the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.nfee.gov.au/home.jsp?xcid=48&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;NFEE site&lt;/a&gt;.

Gotta go now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dany, that&#8217;s really helpful.</p>
<p>I can forgive Haymet for turning a log scale story into simple perentages, given his audience.</p>
<p>Tim that paper I found was of course only a submission.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve found some stuff from the <a href="http://www.nfee.gov.au/home.jsp?xcid=48" rel="nofollow">NFEE site</a>.</p>
<p>Gotta go now.</p>
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		<title>By: Dany le roux</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191250</link>
		<dc:creator>Dany le roux</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 23:44:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191250</guid>
		<description>I have since  done a bit of reading on the subject of ocean acidity and in particular the pdf  &quot;Ocean acidification due to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.&quot;
Ocean chemistry is a very complex matter with many unknowns  and I think my main concern is that in this document  and in the  Haymet MSN article there is speculation presented as  factoid eg( from Haymet):

â?? Take for example the pteropod, a free-swimming snail that lives near the surface of the ocean. It is a key food source for a number of fish and marine mammals. As ocean acidity rises, pteropods experience a double threat. Not only does the water corrode their shells, it may inhibit their ability to build shells in the first place, leaving them without an adequate protective layer.â??

By and large  ocean scientists do not know the consequences of increased ocean acidity due to increased atmospheric CO2 and Haymet even says so:

â??We also call for a determination of the biological consequences of increasing ocean acidity and its effects on the ocean food web.â??

Instead of saying that the pH of the oceans has  been estimated to have  decreased from 8.25 to 8.14 (which looks unimpressive to the uninitiated because it is the negative of a log scale ) he uses the big figure of 30% and has  promoted it from estimation to fact :

 â??We have already experienced an increase in ocean acidity of nearly 30 percent compared to pre-industrial times and a doubling has been predicted by 2100.â??

What I am saying is that these guys are asking for research money because they do not know what is going on and the language they use reflects this uncertainty .They should be given the money and asked to report back without hype.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have since  done a bit of reading on the subject of ocean acidity and in particular the pdf  &#8220;Ocean acidification due to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.&#8221;<br />
Ocean chemistry is a very complex matter with many unknowns  and I think my main concern is that in this document  and in the  Haymet MSN article there is speculation presented as  factoid eg( from Haymet):</p>
<p>â?? Take for example the pteropod, a free-swimming snail that lives near the surface of the ocean. It is a key food source for a number of fish and marine mammals. As ocean acidity rises, pteropods experience a double threat. Not only does the water corrode their shells, it may inhibit their ability to build shells in the first place, leaving them without an adequate protective layer.â??</p>
<p>By and large  ocean scientists do not know the consequences of increased ocean acidity due to increased atmospheric CO2 and Haymet even says so:</p>
<p>â??We also call for a determination of the biological consequences of increasing ocean acidity and its effects on the ocean food web.â??</p>
<p>Instead of saying that the pH of the oceans has  been estimated to have  decreased from 8.25 to 8.14 (which looks unimpressive to the uninitiated because it is the negative of a log scale ) he uses the big figure of 30% and has  promoted it from estimation to fact :</p>
<p> â??We have already experienced an increase in ocean acidity of nearly 30 percent compared to pre-industrial times and a doubling has been predicted by 2100.â??</p>
<p>What I am saying is that these guys are asking for research money because they do not know what is going on and the language they use reflects this uncertainty .They should be given the money and asked to report back without hype.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191249</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 14:42:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191249</guid>
		<description>Found the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.ceem.unsw.edu.au/content/userDocs/UNSW NFEEExecSum.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;executive summary&lt;/a&gt; (pdf). It might do for now, but is there more?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Found the <a href="http://www.ceem.unsw.edu.au/content/userDocs/UNSW NFEEExecSum.pdf" rel="nofollow">executive summary</a> (pdf). It might do for now, but is there more?</p>
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		<title>By: tim</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191248</link>
		<dc:creator>tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 12:08:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191248</guid>
		<description>Brian, so pleased you&#039;re thinking I may be right on bypassing coal with geoseq!

Re the 30% energy savings, I can only assume that Brown is referring to the COAG paper from a few years ago, Towards a National Framework on Energy Efficiency. That excellent study demonstrated that we could cut energy use across all sectors of the Australian economy by up to 30% immediately, using off the shelf technologies with a payback of 4 years.

Again, I am happy to forward a copy of that paper that I have on my hard drive. You may be able to find it by googling, too.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brian, so pleased you&#8217;re thinking I may be right on bypassing coal with geoseq!</p>
<p>Re the 30% energy savings, I can only assume that Brown is referring to the COAG paper from a few years ago, Towards a National Framework on Energy Efficiency. That excellent study demonstrated that we could cut energy use across all sectors of the Australian economy by up to 30% immediately, using off the shelf technologies with a payback of 4 years.</p>
<p>Again, I am happy to forward a copy of that paper that I have on my hard drive. You may be able to find it by googling, too.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191247</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 11:58:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191247</guid>
		<description>tim, Hansen was saying much the same thing at least from a &lt;a href=&quot;http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2003/2003_Hansen.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Scientific American article in 2003&lt;/a&gt; (pdf) without being specific about the time-lined with respect to Power stations. The urgent 10-year time frame just kept moving forward like a carrot on a stick. Now 4 years down the track he&#039;d still say we haven&#039;t committed.

In that piece he said:

&lt;blockquote&gt;International cooperation on coal use and sequestration is probably the most important action needed to stabilize atmospheric composition and climate.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

You are saying we need to bypass coal CO2 sequestration. I&#039;m thinking you could be right.

Bob Brown keeps saying we can save 30% of current energy usage but I&#039;ve never seen any detail on how this might be done. Have you?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>tim, Hansen was saying much the same thing at least from a <a href="http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2003/2003_Hansen.pdf" rel="nofollow">Scientific American article in 2003</a> (pdf) without being specific about the time-lined with respect to Power stations. The urgent 10-year time frame just kept moving forward like a carrot on a stick. Now 4 years down the track he&#8217;d still say we haven&#8217;t committed.</p>
<p>In that piece he said:</p>
<blockquote><p>International cooperation on coal use and sequestration is probably the most important action needed to stabilize atmospheric composition and climate.</p></blockquote>
<p>You are saying we need to bypass coal CO2 sequestration. I&#8217;m thinking you could be right.</p>
<p>Bob Brown keeps saying we can save 30% of current energy usage but I&#8217;ve never seen any detail on how this might be done. Have you?</p>
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		<title>By: tim</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191246</link>
		<dc:creator>tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 11:07:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191246</guid>
		<description>Brian, yes indeed, Hansen should know at least a fair bit about the technological options. And I assume he does. The way I read it, he is calling for a moratorium from that date until the technology is available.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brian, yes indeed, Hansen should know at least a fair bit about the technological options. And I assume he does. The way I read it, he is calling for a moratorium from that date until the technology is available.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191245</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 08:18:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191245</guid>
		<description>Dany le roux, I can&#039;t help with Word Press software, I&#039;m afraid.

Nor with chemistry, which must be obvious. I can only hope that people like Haymet and those involved in the paper melaleuca linked to know their stuff - not an unreasonable expectation, but sometimes you are let down.

Speaking of which, tim, it wouldn&#039;t surprise if Hansen knows nothing much about power stations. But you&#039;d think someone would tell him and he&#039;d listen. He often proclaims his absolute passion about adhering to the science.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dany le roux, I can&#8217;t help with Word Press software, I&#8217;m afraid.</p>
<p>Nor with chemistry, which must be obvious. I can only hope that people like Haymet and those involved in the paper melaleuca linked to know their stuff &#8211; not an unreasonable expectation, but sometimes you are let down.</p>
<p>Speaking of which, tim, it wouldn&#8217;t surprise if Hansen knows nothing much about power stations. But you&#8217;d think someone would tell him and he&#8217;d listen. He often proclaims his absolute passion about adhering to the science.</p>
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		<title>By: Dany le roux</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191244</link>
		<dc:creator>Dany le roux</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 07:31:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2007/04/04/acidic-oceans/#comment-191244</guid>
		<description>It is incapable of printing the plus sign which is what is meant to be between the &quot; &quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is incapable of printing the plus sign which is what is meant to be between the &#8221; &#8220;.</p>
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