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	<title>Comments on: Renewables - start delivering by 2020</title>
	<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/</link>
	<description>Blogging politics, culture, sociology and life from Brisvegas</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 18:47:44 +0000</pubDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.3</generator>
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		<title>By: christine</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483449</link>
		<dc:creator>christine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 16:27:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483449</guid>
		<description>I think some of the concerns you suggest laissez faire types might have with quotas aren't a big deal - eg if you've got a quota, and this makes the price go up a lot, then that'll stimulate conservation itself (but maybe too much, or not enough, depending how big an effect on price there is, and whether you took that into account in your policy design or not).  Others are, though (no stimulus to switch to less carbon intensive non-renewables).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think some of the concerns you suggest laissez faire types might have with quotas aren&#8217;t a big deal - eg if you&#8217;ve got a quota, and this makes the price go up a lot, then that&#8217;ll stimulate conservation itself (but maybe too much, or not enough, depending how big an effect on price there is, and whether you took that into account in your policy design or not).  Others are, though (no stimulus to switch to less carbon intensive non-renewables).</p>
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		<title>By: Adrien</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483341</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 09:36:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483341</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;What governments are good at is procrastination and spin rather than action. We need action.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Yeah hence my argument. Your comment re solar panels by yesterday and everything may be true. Given the wide spectrum of different views it's hard to know what we need by when really. I'll just say: As soon as possible :)   .
.
But unless solar power can compete &lt;i&gt;now&lt;/i&gt; we can't really rely on it to solve the problem. And chuckin' money at it won't help necessarilly. It might very well hinder. Why would the solar industry get into the research needed to boost efficiency and make the building of huge fields of solar collection and energy transfer viable if we simply paid them to erect sub-standard stuff now? 
.
Of course that said markets work because people make money not because they necessarilly make the world a better place. It is an interesting question. We need transideological thinking and that means that supporters of different economic paradigms will have to get used to the idea that doctrine's no good and facts are. 
.
I just feel it pertinent to stress the market virtues here. If I was arguing this on Catallaxy I'd probably be asking thorny questions viz will the market do the research we need? 
.
I do think we need to get the energy market open and keep it there however. Nuclear, as much as I HATE IT, looks like being a middle-term solution. But for obvious reasons renewables are more desirable. For everyone (except that lot that make money digging stuff up outta the ground). When/if renewables become viable, and I think they might soon, it's important that the mining industries can't lock the fatal competition out.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>What governments are good at is procrastination and spin rather than action. We need action.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yeah hence my argument. Your comment re solar panels by yesterday and everything may be true. Given the wide spectrum of different views it&#8217;s hard to know what we need by when really. I&#8217;ll just say: As soon as possible <img src='http://larvatusprodeo.net/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' />   .<br />
.<br />
But unless solar power can compete <i>now</i> we can&#8217;t really rely on it to solve the problem. And chuckin&#8217; money at it won&#8217;t help necessarilly. It might very well hinder. Why would the solar industry get into the research needed to boost efficiency and make the building of huge fields of solar collection and energy transfer viable if we simply paid them to erect sub-standard stuff now?<br />
.<br />
Of course that said markets work because people make money not because they necessarilly make the world a better place. It is an interesting question. We need transideological thinking and that means that supporters of different economic paradigms will have to get used to the idea that doctrine&#8217;s no good and facts are.<br />
.<br />
I just feel it pertinent to stress the market virtues here. If I was arguing this on Catallaxy I&#8217;d probably be asking thorny questions viz will the market do the research we need?<br />
.<br />
I do think we need to get the energy market open and keep it there however. Nuclear, as much as I HATE IT, looks like being a middle-term solution. But for obvious reasons renewables are more desirable. For everyone (except that lot that make money digging stuff up outta the ground). When/if renewables become viable, and I think they might soon, it&#8217;s important that the mining industries can&#8217;t lock the fatal competition out.</p>
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		<title>By: Russell</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483303</link>
		<dc:creator>Russell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 08:17:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483303</guid>
		<description>Robert - I too don't rule out any power source if we need it to maintain a civilised standard of living, but coal and nuclear are right down the undesirable end of our options.

There was something on the news recently about Rio Tinto's much improved price for its iron ore which will result in an added unexpected royalty bonus of something like $200 million for WA next year. I'd spend the $200 million on solar panels - what else to do with all that unused, cleared, fenced, government owned, unobstructed space above our metropolitan railways? We really need to get a move on with things that work, while looking for things that work better.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Robert - I too don&#8217;t rule out any power source if we need it to maintain a civilised standard of living, but coal and nuclear are right down the undesirable end of our options.</p>
<p>There was something on the news recently about Rio Tinto&#8217;s much improved price for its iron ore which will result in an added unexpected royalty bonus of something like $200 million for WA next year. I&#8217;d spend the $200 million on solar panels - what else to do with all that unused, cleared, fenced, government owned, unobstructed space above our metropolitan railways? We really need to get a move on with things that work, while looking for things that work better.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Merkel</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483290</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Merkel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 07:39:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483290</guid>
		<description>Yes, I really should do a post on their feed-in tariff legislation - not that it has any chance of getting passed, but it's good to examine alternative proposals for tackling climate change.  

In essence and as I understand it, their model requires the responsible Minister to set a feed-in tariff for each different type of renewable energy (wind, solar PV, solar thermal, micro-hydro, wave energy, geothermal...) based on a) what is currently required to make it affordable, and b) the Minister's judgement of its potential to produce economical electricity in the future.  So if I propose to build a mouse-powered electricity generator that costs $1.00 per kilowatt-hour to create electricity, and I convince the Minister that future genetically-engineered gerbils will make this economically competitive down the track, there could be a feed-in tariff of $1.10 for gerbil electricity.

Now, of course, I'm being more than slightly facetious here, but the point is that it's the &lt;EM&gt;Minister&lt;/EM&gt; trying to pick and choose which technologies will succeed.  In 2005, this would have resulted in money being thrown hand over fist at hydrogen-based energy systems, and corn ethanol.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, I really should do a post on their feed-in tariff legislation - not that it has any chance of getting passed, but it&#8217;s good to examine alternative proposals for tackling climate change.  </p>
<p>In essence and as I understand it, their model requires the responsible Minister to set a feed-in tariff for each different type of renewable energy (wind, solar PV, solar thermal, micro-hydro, wave energy, geothermal&#8230;) based on a) what is currently required to make it affordable, and b) the Minister&#8217;s judgement of its potential to produce economical electricity in the future.  So if I propose to build a mouse-powered electricity generator that costs $1.00 per kilowatt-hour to create electricity, and I convince the Minister that future genetically-engineered gerbils will make this economically competitive down the track, there could be a feed-in tariff of $1.10 for gerbil electricity.</p>
<p>Now, of course, I&#8217;m being more than slightly facetious here, but the point is that it&#8217;s the <em>Minister</em> trying to pick and choose which technologies will succeed.  In 2005, this would have resulted in money being thrown hand over fist at hydrogen-based energy systems, and corn ethanol.</p>
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		<title>By: Peter Wood</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483272</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter Wood</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 07:04:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483272</guid>
		<description>If the impacts of climate change were pretty certain and pretty marginal and we only needed to reduce emissions by 60% by 2050 then there would be an argument for not providing support for renewables - we could probably achieve that sort of reduction by gas, energy efficiency, more sustainable farming practices and so on.

Unfortunately, carbon cycle feedbacks, albedo feedbacks, long tails in the way that short feedbacks affect climate sensitivity, melting ice sheets and a few surprises suggest that we will need to make deeper reductions much faster. It seems unlikely to me that our governments will enact policies that will lead to the carbon price being approximately equal to the social cost of carbon in the near future. Until that happens, there is a strong case for support for renewables. Until the carbon price approximates the social cost of carbon, greenhouse gas intensive industries are also recieving a subsidy.

The Senate Standing Committee on Environment, Communications and the Arts is presently conducting &lt;a href="http://www.aph.gov.au/senate/committee/eca_ctte/renewable_energy/info.htm" rel="nofollow"&gt;an inquiry&lt;/a&gt; into Christine Milne's "Renewable Energy (Electricity) Amendment (Feed-in-Tariff) Bill 2008" and is seeking submissions from the public by August 15. My understanding of the bill is that it is somewhat different to the feed-in-tariff laws in South Australia or Victoria - anyone is eligible for the feed-in-tariff provided that they are not receiving MRET certificates for it rather than just households. It also covers a variety of different renewable technologies.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the impacts of climate change were pretty certain and pretty marginal and we only needed to reduce emissions by 60% by 2050 then there would be an argument for not providing support for renewables - we could probably achieve that sort of reduction by gas, energy efficiency, more sustainable farming practices and so on.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, carbon cycle feedbacks, albedo feedbacks, long tails in the way that short feedbacks affect climate sensitivity, melting ice sheets and a few surprises suggest that we will need to make deeper reductions much faster. It seems unlikely to me that our governments will enact policies that will lead to the carbon price being approximately equal to the social cost of carbon in the near future. Until that happens, there is a strong case for support for renewables. Until the carbon price approximates the social cost of carbon, greenhouse gas intensive industries are also recieving a subsidy.</p>
<p>The Senate Standing Committee on Environment, Communications and the Arts is presently conducting <a href="http://www.aph.gov.au/senate/committee/eca_ctte/renewable_energy/info.htm" rel="nofollow">an inquiry</a> into Christine Milne&#8217;s &#8220;Renewable Energy (Electricity) Amendment (Feed-in-Tariff) Bill 2008&#8243; and is seeking submissions from the public by August 15. My understanding of the bill is that it is somewhat different to the feed-in-tariff laws in South Australia or Victoria - anyone is eligible for the feed-in-tariff provided that they are not receiving MRET certificates for it rather than just households. It also covers a variety of different renewable technologies.</p>
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		<title>By: Mole</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483266</link>
		<dc:creator>Mole</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 06:46:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483266</guid>
		<description>Why not just state that at the moment renewables are the least efficent sources of power generation?
Most dont hold the base load, some are fickle, and others are written off for envioronmental reasons (hydro). 
Unless the government is truthful about the higher costs due to this inherant inefficency Im not prepared to trust it on any of its forecasting.


Can anyone here say with a straight face they believe the average cost will only be about $50.00 per person per year? (the last figure ive seen mentioned by Rudd)
If so I have some Sydney bridge real estate for you.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why not just state that at the moment renewables are the least efficent sources of power generation?<br />
Most dont hold the base load, some are fickle, and others are written off for envioronmental reasons (hydro).<br />
Unless the government is truthful about the higher costs due to this inherant inefficency Im not prepared to trust it on any of its forecasting.</p>
<p>Can anyone here say with a straight face they believe the average cost will only be about $50.00 per person per year? (the last figure ive seen mentioned by Rudd)<br />
If so I have some Sydney bridge real estate for you.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Merkel</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483255</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Merkel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 06:24:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483255</guid>
		<description>Russell, you have to interpret my posts with the caveat that I'm not opposed to nuclear energy.  Nor am I opposed to geosequestration, assuming it can be demonstrated to work.  Indeed, I think (and if you read Brian's posts you'll see why) that we will need to artificially remove CO2 from the atmosphere and sequester it in any case, which implies the use of some kind of sequestration technology to safely dispose of the captured carbon.  

Furthermore, not all fossil fuels are equal; efficient combined-cycle natural gas beats the pants off brown coal being burnt to turn old, inefficient steam turbines like at, say, Hazelwood.  

Finally, it might be cheaper in many cases to simply use less energy.  

What combination of the above turns out to be the right mix at any given point is something I don't know, and nor does anyone else.  That's why I think the principle of putting a charge on greenhouse emissions and letting the market sort it out seems a reasonable one to me.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Russell, you have to interpret my posts with the caveat that I&#8217;m not opposed to nuclear energy.  Nor am I opposed to geosequestration, assuming it can be demonstrated to work.  Indeed, I think (and if you read Brian&#8217;s posts you&#8217;ll see why) that we will need to artificially remove CO2 from the atmosphere and sequester it in any case, which implies the use of some kind of sequestration technology to safely dispose of the captured carbon.  </p>
<p>Furthermore, not all fossil fuels are equal; efficient combined-cycle natural gas beats the pants off brown coal being burnt to turn old, inefficient steam turbines like at, say, Hazelwood.  </p>
<p>Finally, it might be cheaper in many cases to simply use less energy.  </p>
<p>What combination of the above turns out to be the right mix at any given point is something I don&#8217;t know, and nor does anyone else.  That&#8217;s why I think the principle of putting a charge on greenhouse emissions and letting the market sort it out seems a reasonable one to me.</p>
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		<title>By: Russell</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483219</link>
		<dc:creator>Russell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 05:28:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483219</guid>
		<description>Adrien,

We needed the solar panels yesterday, and even more today, when WA is in a power 'crisis' because a pipe somewhere blew up. Solar may be primitive, but so are bicycles and we still need to use those as much as reasonably possible.

There may be clever ways of making the market do things but I suspect that if you want something done now, and it isn't necessarily 'economic', like buying renewable power from diverse sources even though some are more expensive than others, government purchasing is the best option. What governments are good at is procrastination and spin rather than action. We need action.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Adrien,</p>
<p>We needed the solar panels yesterday, and even more today, when WA is in a power &#8216;crisis&#8217; because a pipe somewhere blew up. Solar may be primitive, but so are bicycles and we still need to use those as much as reasonably possible.</p>
<p>There may be clever ways of making the market do things but I suspect that if you want something done now, and it isn&#8217;t necessarily &#8216;economic&#8217;, like buying renewable power from diverse sources even though some are more expensive than others, government purchasing is the best option. What governments are good at is procrastination and spin rather than action. We need action.</p>
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		<title>By: Adrien</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483175</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 03:58:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483175</guid>
		<description>Russell -
.
We need to continue to supply civilization with the energy it needs. This necessitates adjustments in different areas: consumption, efficiency and source power. If you want to make people change then you'll have to put all the political energy you've got into writing those laws, enforcing them, erasing the loopholes and fighting people who challenge those laws.
.
Alternatively you can simply set the conditions and let it take care of itself. The understanding that we're cooking the planet and something must be done is widespread now. What we need is the best technological solutions (and of course moderated consumption). Currently solar is not up to scratch. It might be sometime, it would be &lt;i&gt;great&lt;/i&gt; if it was but you won't help it get there by flinging great wads of public dosh for primitive technology. 
.
Why does government have to be a buyer?
.
I'm sorry I used to work in the public sector and I don't want those people buying anything for me. I can do a better job thanks. What I want is the government to stop cozying up to resources concerns and spinning energy policy in their favour &lt;i&gt;and&lt;/i&gt; introduce a carbon tax to force companies to take responsibility for something that 'til now has been an 'externality'. &lt;i&gt;Maybe&lt;/i&gt; the government needs to foster research. But if you want technological innovation I'm tellin' ya the government's not where it's at.
.
We don't need solar panels now. We need renewable energy in the mid-term future. Different thing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Russell -<br />
.<br />
We need to continue to supply civilization with the energy it needs. This necessitates adjustments in different areas: consumption, efficiency and source power. If you want to make people change then you&#8217;ll have to put all the political energy you&#8217;ve got into writing those laws, enforcing them, erasing the loopholes and fighting people who challenge those laws.<br />
.<br />
Alternatively you can simply set the conditions and let it take care of itself. The understanding that we&#8217;re cooking the planet and something must be done is widespread now. What we need is the best technological solutions (and of course moderated consumption). Currently solar is not up to scratch. It might be sometime, it would be <i>great</i> if it was but you won&#8217;t help it get there by flinging great wads of public dosh for primitive technology.<br />
.<br />
Why does government have to be a buyer?<br />
.<br />
I&#8217;m sorry I used to work in the public sector and I don&#8217;t want those people buying anything for me. I can do a better job thanks. What I want is the government to stop cozying up to resources concerns and spinning energy policy in their favour <i>and</i> introduce a carbon tax to force companies to take responsibility for something that &#8217;til now has been an &#8216;externality&#8217;. <i>Maybe</i> the government needs to foster research. But if you want technological innovation I&#8217;m tellin&#8217; ya the government&#8217;s not where it&#8217;s at.<br />
.<br />
We don&#8217;t need solar panels now. We need renewable energy in the mid-term future. Different thing.</p>
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		<title>By: CFQ</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483167</link>
		<dc:creator>CFQ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 03:45:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483167</guid>
		<description>"The renewable energy industry has until 2020 to get its act together, and then its going to increasingly feel the hot breath of competition."

I agree, fair enough.

You'll have to pardon my ignorance with this question... What sort of subsidies exist at present for the coal industry in Australia (which of course may be different from state to state)? Is it known if any such subsidies will also be phased out along with the MRET scheme?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The renewable energy industry has until 2020 to get its act together, and then its going to increasingly feel the hot breath of competition.&#8221;</p>
<p>I agree, fair enough.</p>
<p>You&#8217;ll have to pardon my ignorance with this question&#8230; What sort of subsidies exist at present for the coal industry in Australia (which of course may be different from state to state)? Is it known if any such subsidies will also be phased out along with the MRET scheme?</p>
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		<title>By: Russell</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483158</link>
		<dc:creator>Russell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 03:30:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483158</guid>
		<description>Robert, you write as if there's a lot of choice, and if renewables aren't 'competitive', then, too bad. But in the end we have to have the maximum use of renewables, there isn't any choice. So you question "for how long should we keep subsidizing renewables before we let them compete on their merits?" is a bit like your 'clean jobs are bad' idea - the merit of renewables is their 'clean' quality compared to other power sources - price isn't as important as emissions.

Also we do need to act immediately and not let time talking about emerging technologies stop us from achieving progress. Where are we compared to Germany and other countries - a long way behind. Let's copy what has worked for them, now, while encouraging new technologies.

Adrien - we need the government to be the buyer - that way we can get a diverse range of renewables feeding into our system, even if they all cost different prices, we need diversity. But if, say, solar panels are the quickest way we can get something up and running, the government can let industry know that it will be putting out a series of tenders every couple of years, for several hundred million $$ each time, and the cheapest and best will win the contract: that should encourage improved and cheaper technology. It's definitely time to stop talking and start building renewable power generators, on a large scale.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Robert, you write as if there&#8217;s a lot of choice, and if renewables aren&#8217;t &#8216;competitive&#8217;, then, too bad. But in the end we have to have the maximum use of renewables, there isn&#8217;t any choice. So you question &#8220;for how long should we keep subsidizing renewables before we let them compete on their merits?&#8221; is a bit like your &#8216;clean jobs are bad&#8217; idea - the merit of renewables is their &#8216;clean&#8217; quality compared to other power sources - price isn&#8217;t as important as emissions.</p>
<p>Also we do need to act immediately and not let time talking about emerging technologies stop us from achieving progress. Where are we compared to Germany and other countries - a long way behind. Let&#8217;s copy what has worked for them, now, while encouraging new technologies.</p>
<p>Adrien - we need the government to be the buyer - that way we can get a diverse range of renewables feeding into our system, even if they all cost different prices, we need diversity. But if, say, solar panels are the quickest way we can get something up and running, the government can let industry know that it will be putting out a series of tenders every couple of years, for several hundred million $$ each time, and the cheapest and best will win the contract: that should encourage improved and cheaper technology. It&#8217;s definitely time to stop talking and start building renewable power generators, on a large scale.</p>
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		<title>By: MikeM</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483146</link>
		<dc:creator>MikeM</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 02:57:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483146</guid>
		<description>There's an interesting article in &lt;em&gt;The New Yorker&lt;/em&gt; this week, "Island in the Wind", http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/07/07/080707fa_fact_kolbert , in which Elizabeth Kolbert describes a visit to the Danish island of Samsø. Samsø has got its non-renewable energy use down effectively to zero. (Fossil fuel it uses in vehicles is offset by surplus wind-generated power exported to the mainland.)

She also visits Zurich to find out about the 2,000 watt society. This is founded to promote the principle that sustainable global energy consumption, if rationed fairly across all nations, would average out at 2,000 watts per person. The US currently sits at 12,000, India at 1,000 and China at 1,500.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s an interesting article in <em>The New Yorker</em> this week, &#8220;Island in the Wind&#8221;, <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/07/07/080707fa_fact_kolbert" rel="nofollow">http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/07/07/080707fa_fact_kolbert</a> , in which Elizabeth Kolbert describes a visit to the Danish island of Samsø. Samsø has got its non-renewable energy use down effectively to zero. (Fossil fuel it uses in vehicles is offset by surplus wind-generated power exported to the mainland.)</p>
<p>She also visits Zurich to find out about the 2,000 watt society. This is founded to promote the principle that sustainable global energy consumption, if rationed fairly across all nations, would average out at 2,000 watts per person. The US currently sits at 12,000, India at 1,000 and China at 1,500.</p>
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		<title>By: Adrien</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483137</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 02:33:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483137</guid>
		<description>Another excellent post Robert.
.
The &lt;i&gt;laissez-faire&lt;/i&gt; argument against planning is p[artly doctrineaire and partly based on fact. The public sector is not a good place to come up with viable, competetive products and services. However the assumption that the market will take care of it is often made without asking the question: can you make money 'taking care of it'?
.
If you can't, then the market won't. 
.
So the question is what will the private sector do by itself and what else is needed to bring about the desired result. The arguments will range along the line from 'everything' to 'nothing' and I don't know.
.
One thing I do believe however is that it would be unwise to simply throw money at anyone who reproduces renewable energy. To do so will simply breed lazy organizations and inadequate energy supply. &lt;i&gt;And&lt;/i&gt; a black market in fossil fuel use possibly.
.
I don't exactly know what the right mix is. However I do believe a mix is necessary and that part of that mix should be competition. In a competetive market driven by innovation - you get innovation. We need innovation to solve the problem.
.
Look at the IT industry. Compare it with subsidized and protected industries like US agriculture. 'Nuff said.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another excellent post Robert.<br />
.<br />
The <i>laissez-faire</i> argument against planning is p[artly doctrineaire and partly based on fact. The public sector is not a good place to come up with viable, competetive products and services. However the assumption that the market will take care of it is often made without asking the question: can you make money &#8216;taking care of it&#8217;?<br />
.<br />
If you can&#8217;t, then the market won&#8217;t.<br />
.<br />
So the question is what will the private sector do by itself and what else is needed to bring about the desired result. The arguments will range along the line from &#8216;everything&#8217; to &#8216;nothing&#8217; and I don&#8217;t know.<br />
.<br />
One thing I do believe however is that it would be unwise to simply throw money at anyone who reproduces renewable energy. To do so will simply breed lazy organizations and inadequate energy supply. <i>And</i> a black market in fossil fuel use possibly.<br />
.<br />
I don&#8217;t exactly know what the right mix is. However I do believe a mix is necessary and that part of that mix should be competition. In a competetive market driven by innovation - you get innovation. We need innovation to solve the problem.<br />
.<br />
Look at the IT industry. Compare it with subsidized and protected industries like US agriculture. &#8216;Nuff said.</p>
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		<title>By: Dr Good</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483124</link>
		<dc:creator>Dr Good</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 02:09:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483124</guid>
		<description>Carbonsink, I disagree with Luke.

Currently, MRET has a list of what counts as renewable, which seems to capture what at the moment is actually what a reasonable person would count as renewable: eg,
hydro, wind, sewage gas, solar water heaters, geothermal, ...

There is some discussion about certain biomass technologies such as whether to allow burning wood waste from native forests as opposed to plantations but I don't think such quibbles show that there is a big problem with the definition.

Use of fossil fuel (such as coal however clean) or mineral resources such as uranium is of course not renewable and is not counted.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carbonsink, I disagree with Luke.</p>
<p>Currently, MRET has a list of what counts as renewable, which seems to capture what at the moment is actually what a reasonable person would count as renewable: eg,<br />
hydro, wind, sewage gas, solar water heaters, geothermal, &#8230;</p>
<p>There is some discussion about certain biomass technologies such as whether to allow burning wood waste from native forests as opposed to plantations but I don&#8217;t think such quibbles show that there is a big problem with the definition.</p>
<p>Use of fossil fuel (such as coal however clean) or mineral resources such as uranium is of course not renewable and is not counted.</p>
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		<title>By: FDB</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483122</link>
		<dc:creator>FDB</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 02:01:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483122</guid>
		<description>Renewable is not the same as sustainable, for a start.

A hard-arsed definition of sustainable would require it to be renewable, but who wants absolutism? The sun itself won't last forever.

But really, anything that needs the input of stuff dug up from the ground cannot be described as renewable. &lt;i&gt;Arguably&lt;/i&gt; it could be sustainable "for a long time" if there's enough in the ground of course.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Renewable is not the same as sustainable, for a start.</p>
<p>A hard-arsed definition of sustainable would require it to be renewable, but who wants absolutism? The sun itself won&#8217;t last forever.</p>
<p>But really, anything that needs the input of stuff dug up from the ground cannot be described as renewable. <i>Arguably</i> it could be sustainable &#8220;for a long time&#8221; if there&#8217;s enough in the ground of course.</p>
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		<title>By: Luke</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483116</link>
		<dc:creator>Luke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 01:52:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483116</guid>
		<description>carbonsink: To determine whether "renewable actually means renewable", first you've got to define what "renewable" actually means, in a meaningful, literal fashion. At the moment, it's pretty arbitrary. Nuclear energy, for example, is a completely sustainable, zero emissions technology (in the same sense that wind or hydro are zero emissions technologies) - it meets any reasonable definition of what a sustainable energy system is.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>carbonsink: To determine whether &#8220;renewable actually means renewable&#8221;, first you&#8217;ve got to define what &#8220;renewable&#8221; actually means, in a meaningful, literal fashion. At the moment, it&#8217;s pretty arbitrary. Nuclear energy, for example, is a completely sustainable, zero emissions technology (in the same sense that wind or hydro are zero emissions technologies) - it meets any reasonable definition of what a sustainable energy system is.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483095</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 00:45:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483095</guid>
		<description>With Garnaut and the Govt green paper coming up hopefully we will have an interim 2020 emissions reduction target. Such a target was studiously avoided by both sides of politics before the election.

Then we can have a look at the adequacy of that target and the means planned to meet it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With Garnaut and the Govt green paper coming up hopefully we will have an interim 2020 emissions reduction target. Such a target was studiously avoided by both sides of politics before the election.</p>
<p>Then we can have a look at the adequacy of that target and the means planned to meet it.</p>
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		<title>By: carbonsink</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483081</link>
		<dc:creator>carbonsink</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 00:00:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483081</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;The more laissez-faire economic types don’t like the MRET.&lt;/i&gt;
In my experience the more laissez-faire economic types deny human-caused climate change altogether because they know it can't be solved without some kind of government intervention, and in their distorted worldview the purity of the market is more important than a habitable planet.

The 2020-2030 phase out of MRET seems reasonable.  Do we know whether renewable actually means renewable, or will this be a "clean energy target" which includes clean coal, nuclear etc?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>The more laissez-faire economic types don’t like the MRET.</i><br />
In my experience the more laissez-faire economic types deny human-caused climate change altogether because they know it can&#8217;t be solved without some kind of government intervention, and in their distorted worldview the purity of the market is more important than a habitable planet.</p>
<p>The 2020-2030 phase out of MRET seems reasonable.  Do we know whether renewable actually means renewable, or will this be a &#8220;clean energy target&#8221; which includes clean coal, nuclear etc?</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Merkel</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483074</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Merkel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2008 23:39:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483074</guid>
		<description>Brian: I think that's about right, but there's also the ETS to take into consideration.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brian: I think that&#8217;s about right, but there&#8217;s also the ETS to take into consideration.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris (a different one)</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483073</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris (a different one)</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2008 23:31:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/07/03/renewables-start-delivering-by-2020/#comment-483073</guid>
		<description>Ed - yes I wonder why the MRET targets aren't defined as a percentage of energy production? Not that we should need an MRET once carbon trading is introduced.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ed - yes I wonder why the MRET targets aren&#8217;t defined as a percentage of energy production? Not that we should need an MRET once carbon trading is introduced.</p>
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