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	<title>Comments on: Elites versus masses on climate change</title>
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	<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/</link>
	<description>Life, Culture and Politics from BrisVegas</description>
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		<title>By: Adrien</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220016</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 10:18:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220016</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;the time for skepticism is past&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I know what you&#039;re actually saying, and I generally agree, but the time for skepticism is &lt;i&gt;never&lt;/i&gt; past.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>the time for skepticism is past</p></blockquote>
<p>I know what you&#8217;re actually saying, and I generally agree, but the time for skepticism is <i>never</i> past.</p>
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		<title>By: Adrien</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220015</link>
		<dc:creator>Adrien</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 10:17:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220015</guid>
		<description>The identification with the &#039;Intelligentsia&#039; with elitism by (hah hah) those in power is a pretty standard tactic. It&#039;s been used in Egypt in order to sabotage middle-class liberals who advocate free and fair elections, the rule of law and other Western ideas. This usually by persons entrenched at the top courtesy of American subsidy.
.
It&#039;s an irritating tactic. One of the ways around it is to take care to communicate clearly ane accessibly.
.
There was a report in &lt;i&gt;The Australian&lt;/i&gt; that puts support for AGW action higher - well over 90%. And the rest are Andrew Bolt&#039;s supporters I s&#039;pose.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The identification with the &#8216;Intelligentsia&#8217; with elitism by (hah hah) those in power is a pretty standard tactic. It&#8217;s been used in Egypt in order to sabotage middle-class liberals who advocate free and fair elections, the rule of law and other Western ideas. This usually by persons entrenched at the top courtesy of American subsidy.<br />
.<br />
It&#8217;s an irritating tactic. One of the ways around it is to take care to communicate clearly ane accessibly.<br />
.<br />
There was a report in <i>The Australian</i> that puts support for AGW action higher &#8211; well over 90%. And the rest are Andrew Bolt&#8217;s supporters I s&#8217;pose.</p>
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		<title>By: Jennifer</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220014</link>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 10:10:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220014</guid>
		<description>Well today I went to an Australian Institute of Company Directors &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.companydirectors.com.au/Events/NSW/N080806LU1.htm&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;lunch&lt;/a&gt;, on the topic of Climate change. The feeling from the keynote speaker (Chair of Origin Energy) and the panel was along the lines of, &quot;this is how emissions trading is going to work, get used to it, and figure out what your company needs to do to make money in that environment&quot;.

There were a number of comments from the floor and the panel that the time for skepticism is past, and one question from the floor along the lines that Directors need to consider the risks they run by agreeing to major carbon emitting projects, given it seems likely that the limits on carbon will end up greater than promised, rather than less. Of course a panel and a few questions are not representative, but they are certainly a bit of a guide.

So the elites of the business world (do they count as &quot;elites&quot; - they&#039;re certainly paid that way - and they are probably right of centre)are firmly in the camp of acknowledging climate change as a major issue. So the coalition is out of step with it&#039;s natural business constituency also.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well today I went to an Australian Institute of Company Directors <a href="http://www.companydirectors.com.au/Events/NSW/N080806LU1.htm" rel="nofollow">lunch</a>, on the topic of Climate change. The feeling from the keynote speaker (Chair of Origin Energy) and the panel was along the lines of, &#8220;this is how emissions trading is going to work, get used to it, and figure out what your company needs to do to make money in that environment&#8221;.</p>
<p>There were a number of comments from the floor and the panel that the time for skepticism is past, and one question from the floor along the lines that Directors need to consider the risks they run by agreeing to major carbon emitting projects, given it seems likely that the limits on carbon will end up greater than promised, rather than less. Of course a panel and a few questions are not representative, but they are certainly a bit of a guide.</p>
<p>So the elites of the business world (do they count as &#8220;elites&#8221; &#8211; they&#8217;re certainly paid that way &#8211; and they are probably right of centre)are firmly in the camp of acknowledging climate change as a major issue. So the coalition is out of step with it&#8217;s natural business constituency also.</p>
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		<title>By: Down and Out of Sài Gòn</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220013</link>
		<dc:creator>Down and Out of Sài Gòn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 08:52:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220013</guid>
		<description>Obama had a cracker of a line (on a &lt;a href=&quot;http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/08/obama-pushes-ba.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;completely different subject&lt;/a&gt;): “It’s like these guys take pride in being ignorant.” Maybe that is what&#039;s happening here. In certain circles, it&#039;s &lt;i&gt;cool&lt;/i&gt; to dis certain ideas, because of their &quot;1uvv1eness&quot;.

I&#039;ll have to think more about this.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obama had a cracker of a line (on a <a href="http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/08/obama-pushes-ba.html" rel="nofollow">completely different subject</a>): “It’s like these guys take pride in being ignorant.” Maybe that is what&#8217;s happening here. In certain circles, it&#8217;s <i>cool</i> to dis certain ideas, because of their &#8220;1uvv1eness&#8221;.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll have to think more about this.</p>
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		<title>By: Roger Jones</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220012</link>
		<dc:creator>Roger Jones</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 08:34:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220012</guid>
		<description>Re conservatism and the precautionary principle. It&#039;s important to keep separate political conservatism and conservatism concerned with risk aversion. Although the precautionary principle was set up for managing environmental risks, it can be more widely seen as a risk averse stance towards a particular set of values. I argue in work linked to in the past that risk aversion to economic damages and to environmental damages look pretty similar when assessed from each group&#039;s point of view. These values meet head on in the climate debate and need to be incorporated into the formal assessment of risk, where we try and reflect on these very different values, using an understanding of behavioural economics amongst other things (rate of time preference, how people value intangibles etc).

Risk aversion to economic damage, even to limiting growth by the smallest increment, was Howard&#039;s policy to climate change until the last months, and was the central element of Bush&#039;s stance. It was the subject of a very funny column by &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21874287-643,00.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Terry McCrann&lt;/a&gt;  who, considering costs to 2050, concluded that 0.2% too much to bear because of the potential loss of schools and hospitals. Apparently, we spend the last 0.2% of our economy on this important social infrastructure, having spent the other 99.8% on much more important stuff.

Of course, this is an extreme position, and should have been debated by political conservatives who are also conservationists, of which there are many. (Off topic, the bush conservatives who lined up against mandatory detention were fantastic - making the Nats very nervous, and pushing a couple of parliamentary reps to work from the inside).

As Paul said, there are a significant number of green conservatives out there. Analysis in hindsight will show their silence of the past decade to be another depressing contribution to the delay to act.

And some &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.thebreakthrough.org/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;blame the environmental movement&lt;/a&gt; for this failure.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re conservatism and the precautionary principle. It&#8217;s important to keep separate political conservatism and conservatism concerned with risk aversion. Although the precautionary principle was set up for managing environmental risks, it can be more widely seen as a risk averse stance towards a particular set of values. I argue in work linked to in the past that risk aversion to economic damages and to environmental damages look pretty similar when assessed from each group&#8217;s point of view. These values meet head on in the climate debate and need to be incorporated into the formal assessment of risk, where we try and reflect on these very different values, using an understanding of behavioural economics amongst other things (rate of time preference, how people value intangibles etc).</p>
<p>Risk aversion to economic damage, even to limiting growth by the smallest increment, was Howard&#8217;s policy to climate change until the last months, and was the central element of Bush&#8217;s stance. It was the subject of a very funny column by <a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21874287-643,00.html" rel="nofollow">Terry McCrann</a>  who, considering costs to 2050, concluded that 0.2% too much to bear because of the potential loss of schools and hospitals. Apparently, we spend the last 0.2% of our economy on this important social infrastructure, having spent the other 99.8% on much more important stuff.</p>
<p>Of course, this is an extreme position, and should have been debated by political conservatives who are also conservationists, of which there are many. (Off topic, the bush conservatives who lined up against mandatory detention were fantastic &#8211; making the Nats very nervous, and pushing a couple of parliamentary reps to work from the inside).</p>
<p>As Paul said, there are a significant number of green conservatives out there. Analysis in hindsight will show their silence of the past decade to be another depressing contribution to the delay to act.</p>
<p>And some <a href="http://www.thebreakthrough.org/" rel="nofollow">blame the environmental movement</a> for this failure.</p>
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		<title>By: Lefty E</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220011</link>
		<dc:creator>Lefty E</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 08:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220011</guid>
		<description>I saw those tables today, and thought it was an interesting shorthand account of why the Coalition a. lost office, and b. continue to stink electorally.

Climate denialism is a right wing elitist viewpoint - its not mainstream.

Workchoices was even worse - strictly ideologues only, not even a rump elite caste were that supportive. Note that the coalition was happy to hyper-regulate the price of labour, but oh!! Give people accurate info about the price of cheese and coffee  - that&#039;s BIG GOVT!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I saw those tables today, and thought it was an interesting shorthand account of why the Coalition a. lost office, and b. continue to stink electorally.</p>
<p>Climate denialism is a right wing elitist viewpoint &#8211; its not mainstream.</p>
<p>Workchoices was even worse &#8211; strictly ideologues only, not even a rump elite caste were that supportive. Note that the coalition was happy to hyper-regulate the price of labour, but oh!! Give people accurate info about the price of cheese and coffee  &#8211; that&#8217;s BIG GOVT!</p>
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		<title>By: Tim Lambert</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220010</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim Lambert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 07:36:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220010</guid>
		<description>The question was put differently to the candidates and to the voters.

Voters just had to categorize each of 14 issues as no important, important, or extremely important.  Pretty well issues had 80% or more saying it was at least important

Candidates were given a list of fourteen issues and asked to pick the four most important in order.  I think &quot;in the top four&quot; is closest to &quot;extremely important&quot;.

Also, some of the candiates must have misunderstood the question, since the the total number of issues in the top four is more than four times the number of candidates...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The question was put differently to the candidates and to the voters.</p>
<p>Voters just had to categorize each of 14 issues as no important, important, or extremely important.  Pretty well issues had 80% or more saying it was at least important</p>
<p>Candidates were given a list of fourteen issues and asked to pick the four most important in order.  I think &#8220;in the top four&#8221; is closest to &#8220;extremely important&#8221;.</p>
<p>Also, some of the candiates must have misunderstood the question, since the the total number of issues in the top four is more than four times the number of candidates&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: David</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220009</link>
		<dc:creator>David</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 07:14:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220009</guid>
		<description>I&#039;ve started to suspect that a lot of the reason the right deny climate change is that otherwise they&#039;d have to admit that the hippies were closer to the mark than they were 40 years ago.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve started to suspect that a lot of the reason the right deny climate change is that otherwise they&#8217;d have to admit that the hippies were closer to the mark than they were 40 years ago.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert Merkel</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220008</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert Merkel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 05:13:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220008</guid>
		<description>Hmmm.  Looks like I need to do a post something along the lines of &quot;in defence of the space nuts&quot;... :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmmm.  Looks like I need to do a post something along the lines of &#8220;in defence of the space nuts&#8221;&#8230; <img src='http://larvatusprodeo.net/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Paul Norton</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220007</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Norton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Aug 2008 04:33:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/06/elites-versus-masses-on-climate-change/#comment-220007</guid>
		<description>And what Katz said about the assumption of abundance, which is a key assumption of both liberalism and Marxism.

The irony about the obsession with some about the possibilities of space travel and colonisation is that even as modest a goal as getting humans to Mars and back will require advances in developing closed loop systems, low entropy, low resources throughput, reducing/reusing/recycling etc., for the spaceships which would be more productively employed here on Earth.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And what Katz said about the assumption of abundance, which is a key assumption of both liberalism and Marxism.</p>
<p>The irony about the obsession with some about the possibilities of space travel and colonisation is that even as modest a goal as getting humans to Mars and back will require advances in developing closed loop systems, low entropy, low resources throughput, reducing/reusing/recycling etc., for the spaceships which would be more productively employed here on Earth.</p>
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