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	<title>Comments on: Georgia conflict &#8211; a couple of informative links.</title>
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	<description>Life, Culture and Politics from BrisVegas</description>
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		<title>By: wbb</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220815</link>
		<dc:creator>wbb</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2008 06:21:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220815</guid>
		<description>When countries with large armies play oil &amp; gas politics it never pays to be standing somewhere in the middle.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When countries with large armies play oil &amp; gas politics it never pays to be standing somewhere in the middle.</p>
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		<title>By: FDB</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220814</link>
		<dc:creator>FDB</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2008 00:20:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220814</guid>
		<description>&quot;Russia invades a country but somehow George Bush is to blame for this, curious.&quot;

Hmmm, I&#039;m not sure anyone has said that, but let&#039;s see where you&#039;re going with it...

&quot;There is an Australian hard left milieu that has learnt nothing.&quot;

Where?!?!? Lemmme at &#039;em! Wait... they&#039;re under the bed, right?

&quot;But to focus on people with real world influence, there was an opportunity after the fall of Communism to bring Russia into the family of democracies, that this did not occur is an indictment of Clinton and of Bush. Just as after 1918 the opportunity to bring Germany into the family of democracies was lost.&quot;

Wait, so it&#039;s okay to blame Clinton and Bush for Russia&#039;s failure to embrace democracy? And this was just like what happened after WW1?

You sound a bit confused Geoff.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Russia invades a country but somehow George Bush is to blame for this, curious.&#8221;</p>
<p>Hmmm, I&#8217;m not sure anyone has said that, but let&#8217;s see where you&#8217;re going with it&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8220;There is an Australian hard left milieu that has learnt nothing.&#8221;</p>
<p>Where?!?!? Lemmme at &#8216;em! Wait&#8230; they&#8217;re under the bed, right?</p>
<p>&#8220;But to focus on people with real world influence, there was an opportunity after the fall of Communism to bring Russia into the family of democracies, that this did not occur is an indictment of Clinton and of Bush. Just as after 1918 the opportunity to bring Germany into the family of democracies was lost.&#8221;</p>
<p>Wait, so it&#8217;s okay to blame Clinton and Bush for Russia&#8217;s failure to embrace democracy? And this was just like what happened after WW1?</p>
<p>You sound a bit confused Geoff.</p>
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		<title>By: Geoff Robinson</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220813</link>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Robinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2008 00:08:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220813</guid>
		<description>Russia invades a country but somehow George Bush is to blame for this, curious. There is an Australian hard left milieu that has learnt nothing. But to focus on people with real world influence, there was an opportunity after the fall of Communism to bring Russia into the family of democracies, that this did not occur is an indictment of Clinton and of Bush. Just as after 1918 the opportunity to bring Germany into the family of democracies was lost.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Russia invades a country but somehow George Bush is to blame for this, curious. There is an Australian hard left milieu that has learnt nothing. But to focus on people with real world influence, there was an opportunity after the fall of Communism to bring Russia into the family of democracies, that this did not occur is an indictment of Clinton and of Bush. Just as after 1918 the opportunity to bring Germany into the family of democracies was lost.</p>
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		<title>By: Nabakov</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220812</link>
		<dc:creator>Nabakov</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 13:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220812</guid>
		<description>On the other hand, one could argue that Russia, envious of the US testing out new urban pacification technologies and protocols in Iraq, wants its own sandpit for such purposes. East or West, those vast, fast growing and fermenting bantustans accumulating around key metropoli are going to have to be controlled one way or another.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On the other hand, one could argue that Russia, envious of the US testing out new urban pacification technologies and protocols in Iraq, wants its own sandpit for such purposes. East or West, those vast, fast growing and fermenting bantustans accumulating around key metropoli are going to have to be controlled one way or another.</p>
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		<title>By: Graham Bell</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220811</link>
		<dc:creator>Graham Bell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 12:10:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220811</guid>
		<description>Everyone:

.... And the war goes on.

Wodner how it will affect us here in Australia?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Everyone:</p>
<p>&#8230;. And the war goes on.</p>
<p>Wodner how it will affect us here in Australia?</p>
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		<title>By: Peter Kemp</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220810</link>
		<dc:creator>Peter Kemp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 12:05:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220810</guid>
		<description>From Mark&#039;s link:

&lt;blockquote&gt;Russia wants to serve up to the West a textbook copy of what the West did to Serbia, but of course it&#039;s a ghastly parody,&quot; said Alex Rondos, a former Greek diplomat who was involved in the Yugoslav case.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Exactly, except for the parody bit--the parallels are a bit closer than Mr Rondos thinks--allowing some significant Russian propaganda/argument</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From Mark&#8217;s link:</p>
<blockquote><p>Russia wants to serve up to the West a textbook copy of what the West did to Serbia, but of course it&#8217;s a ghastly parody,&#8221; said Alex Rondos, a former Greek diplomat who was involved in the Yugoslav case.</p></blockquote>
<p>Exactly, except for the parody bit&#8211;the parallels are a bit closer than Mr Rondos thinks&#8211;allowing some significant Russian propaganda/argument</p>
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		<title>By: zorronsky</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220809</link>
		<dc:creator>zorronsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 11:04:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220809</guid>
		<description>ABC News tonight had Georgian crowds ,candles, crosses and flags greeting the EU reps as per naskings comment. Shakashvili is very seriously off and he must surely be brought to account for crimes against humanity. However several meetings with Bush and Rice probably mean that the powers that be will see his actions as impetuous rather than murderous.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ABC News tonight had Georgian crowds ,candles, crosses and flags greeting the EU reps as per naskings comment. Shakashvili is very seriously off and he must surely be brought to account for crimes against humanity. However several meetings with Bush and Rice probably mean that the powers that be will see his actions as impetuous rather than murderous.</p>
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		<title>By: nasking</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220808</link>
		<dc:creator>nasking</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 07:53:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220808</guid>
		<description>&quot;Is it possible that there is a connection between the fairly recent Condoleezza Rice visit to the area and the initial Georgian attack?&quot;

Good point joe 2.

As Russia gains from the American misadventure in Iraq &amp; Afghanistan by way of higher petrol/gas prices, I imagine the Yanks would luv to see some of that Russian revenue/wealth dragged back into the &quot;black hole of war&quot;. It means that the Russian government has less funds to transfer into the safety net, health &amp; education systems that bolster their strength w/ the public. Manufactures a heightened &quot;cold war&quot; that benefits many missile, security, intelligence &amp; armament-based corporations &amp; businesses. Possibly quite handy for the Bushevik-related businesses if Obama wins &amp; begins to reduce the role of private contractors &amp; American/Bush related companies in Iraq.

Could also be a push by the Neo-Cons/Dem Hawks (and their Israeli/Gulf State Lobby group allies) to demonstrate their influence in the region &amp; the problems they can cause if Russia doesn&#039;t support further sanctions against Iran. Imo, Condi is indeed the &quot;black widow&quot;. And nothing to do w/ the colour of her skin.

The sooner the majority of the &quot;old guard&quot; &amp; their competitive, trauma-related &amp; OCD approach to former Communist states are kicked out of government &amp; regulated the better. Far too many victims of their GAMES &amp; profiteering ventures.

Imo, there&#039;s a bit of religious loopiness, manipulation behind this too. Plenty of images of the CROSS snuck into TV broadcasts &amp; films these days. Check this out:

Saakashvili was sworn in as President in Tbilisi on January 25, 2004. Immediately after the ceremony he signed a decree establishing a new state flag. On January 26, in a ceremony held at the Tbilisi Kashueti Church of Saint George.
(Wiki pedia)

Check out the flag:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Flag_of_Georgia.svg

I reckon this conflict was designed to be part of a campaign by the Busheviks &amp; their crony mates &amp; has been in the works for a long time.

Furthermore…surprise, surprise:

Saakashvili is a popular supporter of free market and believes that less government involvement in businesses is a good idea.. During his administration Georgian economy advanced to a new level and increased tax collection after lowering the tax rates. In addition, Georgia is becoming involved in International market transactions and in 2007 Bank of Georgia sold bonds at premium, when $200m five-year bond was priced with a coupon of 9 per cent at par, or 100 per cent of face value, after initially being priced at 9.5 per cent and investors pushed orders up to $600m.

and:

In December 2006, Bank of Georgia received The Bank of The Year Award for Georgia from The Banker.

Bank of Georgia has the following credit ratings:

Standard &amp; Poor&#039;s: &#039;B+/B&#039;, Stable

Moody&#039;s: &#039;B3/NP&#039; (FC) &amp; &#039;Baa3/P-3&#039; (LC), Stable

Fitch Ratings: &#039;B/B&#039;, Stable

The Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Bank of Georgia, Lado Gurgenidze, was nominated, on November 16, 2007, by the President Mikheil Saakashvili as the Prime Minister to succeed Zurab Noghaideli who resigned citing poor health conditions. The supervisory board invited former Vice Chairman Nicholas Enukidze to succeed on the position of the Chairman of the Supervisory Board of the BoG.

Share price of BoG peaked in July of 2007, reaching its all time high at $43 per share. Since then, the share price has been continuously declining and by the and of July 2008 shares were trading at levels lower than their original IPO price of $18.
------------
It&#039;s the credit ratings assessments that have helped create &amp; perpetuate so much trouble related to the sub-prime crisis &amp; credit crunch. Perhaps this is also a diversion for the Georgian government &amp; from their financial institution links &amp; troubles.

It would also be interesting to know what satellite images have revealed regarding resources in the South Ossetia region &amp; surrounds.
N&#039;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Is it possible that there is a connection between the fairly recent Condoleezza Rice visit to the area and the initial Georgian attack?&#8221;</p>
<p>Good point joe 2.</p>
<p>As Russia gains from the American misadventure in Iraq &amp; Afghanistan by way of higher petrol/gas prices, I imagine the Yanks would luv to see some of that Russian revenue/wealth dragged back into the &#8220;black hole of war&#8221;. It means that the Russian government has less funds to transfer into the safety net, health &amp; education systems that bolster their strength w/ the public. Manufactures a heightened &#8220;cold war&#8221; that benefits many missile, security, intelligence &amp; armament-based corporations &amp; businesses. Possibly quite handy for the Bushevik-related businesses if Obama wins &amp; begins to reduce the role of private contractors &amp; American/Bush related companies in Iraq.</p>
<p>Could also be a push by the Neo-Cons/Dem Hawks (and their Israeli/Gulf State Lobby group allies) to demonstrate their influence in the region &amp; the problems they can cause if Russia doesn&#8217;t support further sanctions against Iran. Imo, Condi is indeed the &#8220;black widow&#8221;. And nothing to do w/ the colour of her skin.</p>
<p>The sooner the majority of the &#8220;old guard&#8221; &amp; their competitive, trauma-related &amp; OCD approach to former Communist states are kicked out of government &amp; regulated the better. Far too many victims of their GAMES &amp; profiteering ventures.</p>
<p>Imo, there&#8217;s a bit of religious loopiness, manipulation behind this too. Plenty of images of the CROSS snuck into TV broadcasts &amp; films these days. Check this out:</p>
<p>Saakashvili was sworn in as President in Tbilisi on January 25, 2004. Immediately after the ceremony he signed a decree establishing a new state flag. On January 26, in a ceremony held at the Tbilisi Kashueti Church of Saint George.<br />
(Wiki pedia)</p>
<p>Check out the flag:</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Flag_of_Georgia.svg" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Flag_of_Georgia.svg</a></p>
<p>I reckon this conflict was designed to be part of a campaign by the Busheviks &amp; their crony mates &amp; has been in the works for a long time.</p>
<p>Furthermore…surprise, surprise:</p>
<p>Saakashvili is a popular supporter of free market and believes that less government involvement in businesses is a good idea.. During his administration Georgian economy advanced to a new level and increased tax collection after lowering the tax rates. In addition, Georgia is becoming involved in International market transactions and in 2007 Bank of Georgia sold bonds at premium, when $200m five-year bond was priced with a coupon of 9 per cent at par, or 100 per cent of face value, after initially being priced at 9.5 per cent and investors pushed orders up to $600m.</p>
<p>and:</p>
<p>In December 2006, Bank of Georgia received The Bank of The Year Award for Georgia from The Banker.</p>
<p>Bank of Georgia has the following credit ratings:</p>
<p>Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s: &#8216;B+/B&#8217;, Stable</p>
<p>Moody&#8217;s: &#8216;B3/NP&#8217; (FC) &amp; &#8216;Baa3/P-3&#8242; (LC), Stable</p>
<p>Fitch Ratings: &#8216;B/B&#8217;, Stable</p>
<p>The Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Bank of Georgia, Lado Gurgenidze, was nominated, on November 16, 2007, by the President Mikheil Saakashvili as the Prime Minister to succeed Zurab Noghaideli who resigned citing poor health conditions. The supervisory board invited former Vice Chairman Nicholas Enukidze to succeed on the position of the Chairman of the Supervisory Board of the BoG.</p>
<p>Share price of BoG peaked in July of 2007, reaching its all time high at $43 per share. Since then, the share price has been continuously declining and by the and of July 2008 shares were trading at levels lower than their original IPO price of $18.<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<br />
It&#8217;s the credit ratings assessments that have helped create &amp; perpetuate so much trouble related to the sub-prime crisis &amp; credit crunch. Perhaps this is also a diversion for the Georgian government &amp; from their financial institution links &amp; troubles.</p>
<p>It would also be interesting to know what satellite images have revealed regarding resources in the South Ossetia region &amp; surrounds.<br />
N&#8217;</p>
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		<title>By: Wombo</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220807</link>
		<dc:creator>Wombo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 07:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220807</guid>
		<description>You wouldn&#039;t know it from the media coverage in the West, but Russia was *already in South Ossetia*. They&#039;ve been playing the role of &quot;peace-keepers&quot; since last time the Georgians tried to reassert control over an autonomous region which has over 90% Russian citizens.

The Georgian atrocities in &#039;91 look to have been repeated this time around, only on a smaller scale, with a greater disaster averted by Russia&#039;s response (although this might be speaking too soon). A lot of coverage is making mention of &quot;2000 casualties&quot;, largely civilian, and then throwing the blame at Russia.

The facts are the reverse: the figure is a Russian estimate, and there are reliable accounts of Georgian troops directly shelling civilian Ossetian
areas, causing considerable casualties, and an estimated 20-30,000 refugees.

The Georgia-US/ NATO link is clearly determinative in a lot of this coverage, as well as a long-standing antipathy to Russia (and to be honest, after Grosny, is that really a surprise?).

None of this is denying, of course, that behind the whole fiasco is also Russia&#039;s strategy of dominating the region, and preventing the eastward spread of NATO. I wouldn&#039;t be surprised if Russia uses this to decisively strengthen their grip on S. Ossetia, and on Abkhazia too, which could provide a much-sought-after Russian port on the Black Sea, and defang Georgia for a while.

But Georgia is clearly the shirt-puller in this scenario, and they&#039;ve got their nose badly bloodied for their (rather disgusting) efforts. And, yes, my real sympathies lie with the people caught in between.

A worse scenario can be imagined too. If the Georgian military aggression in Ossetia was in response to Russian troops movements in that general direction, they may have realised that Georgian control of S. Ossetia was as good as over, and reacted in the short-lived, bloody and punitive fashion that we have just seen, &quot;punishing&quot; the Ossetians for wanting to secede from Georgia.

Anyway, some more interesting takes on the situation:
http://www.socialistunity.com/?p=2709
http://leninology.blogspot.com/2008/08/new-cold-war-escalates.html
http://leninology.blogspot.com/2008/08/putin-wins-probably.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You wouldn&#8217;t know it from the media coverage in the West, but Russia was *already in South Ossetia*. They&#8217;ve been playing the role of &#8220;peace-keepers&#8221; since last time the Georgians tried to reassert control over an autonomous region which has over 90% Russian citizens.</p>
<p>The Georgian atrocities in &#8217;91 look to have been repeated this time around, only on a smaller scale, with a greater disaster averted by Russia&#8217;s response (although this might be speaking too soon). A lot of coverage is making mention of &#8220;2000 casualties&#8221;, largely civilian, and then throwing the blame at Russia.</p>
<p>The facts are the reverse: the figure is a Russian estimate, and there are reliable accounts of Georgian troops directly shelling civilian Ossetian<br />
areas, causing considerable casualties, and an estimated 20-30,000 refugees.</p>
<p>The Georgia-US/ NATO link is clearly determinative in a lot of this coverage, as well as a long-standing antipathy to Russia (and to be honest, after Grosny, is that really a surprise?).</p>
<p>None of this is denying, of course, that behind the whole fiasco is also Russia&#8217;s strategy of dominating the region, and preventing the eastward spread of NATO. I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised if Russia uses this to decisively strengthen their grip on S. Ossetia, and on Abkhazia too, which could provide a much-sought-after Russian port on the Black Sea, and defang Georgia for a while.</p>
<p>But Georgia is clearly the shirt-puller in this scenario, and they&#8217;ve got their nose badly bloodied for their (rather disgusting) efforts. And, yes, my real sympathies lie with the people caught in between.</p>
<p>A worse scenario can be imagined too. If the Georgian military aggression in Ossetia was in response to Russian troops movements in that general direction, they may have realised that Georgian control of S. Ossetia was as good as over, and reacted in the short-lived, bloody and punitive fashion that we have just seen, &#8220;punishing&#8221; the Ossetians for wanting to secede from Georgia.</p>
<p>Anyway, some more interesting takes on the situation:<br />
<a href="http://www.socialistunity.com/?p=2709" rel="nofollow">http://www.socialistunity.com/?p=2709</a><br />
<a href="http://leninology.blogspot.com/2008/08/new-cold-war-escalates.html" rel="nofollow">http://leninology.blogspot.com/2008/08/new-cold-war-escalates.html</a><br />
<a href="http://leninology.blogspot.com/2008/08/putin-wins-probably.html" rel="nofollow">http://leninology.blogspot.com/2008/08/putin-wins-probably.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220806</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 05:34:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/2008/08/10/georgia-conflict-a-couple-of-informative-links/#comment-220806</guid>
		<description>Doesn&#039;t look like the Russians are taking any notice of anyone else&#039;s view anyway:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121834170757727521.html?mod=rss_Page_One</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Doesn&#8217;t look like the Russians are taking any notice of anyone else&#8217;s view anyway:</p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121834170757727521.html?mod=rss_Page_One" rel="nofollow">http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121834170757727521.html?mod=rss_Page_One</a></p>
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