Props to Peter Hartcher at the Sydney Morning Herald for actually including some vaguely sensible commentary in his column on the Nielsen preferred Liberal leader polling, and not beating it up as “Voters Want Costello!”. Perhaps the Fairfax crew are trying to establish a point of differentiation in the market:
But even so, the poll does not suggest that a Costello leadership would be enough to put the Coalition ahead. “Superficially it looks good for Peter Costello,” Stirton observes, “but when you look at where his support comes from, it’s mainly Liberal voters.”
But to win an election, the Coalition needs to win over people currently supporting Labor. Asked whether a Costello leadership would make them more or less likely to vote for the Coalition, 15 per cent said more likely but 24 per cent said less. “Costello is a net negative among Labor voters,” Stirton points out.
More on the poll from The Poll Bludger and Possum Comitatus.
Meanwhile, the Great Man Pretender breaks his silence! … to diss John Howard. Who are his boosters kidding? This guy isn’t the future, he’s still obsessing over the past.
Their analysis is still rubbish.
The 24% does not ‘outweigh’ the 15% to create a negative. It’s not like 24% are going to leave the Liberals, if that 15% changes to the liberals they have taken 15% of the vote from Labor. You then need to weigh that against how many Liberals would leave to ‘other’ or ‘alp’ as a result of Costello.
The 24% only says ‘we’ll stick where we are’ The 15% says ‘we might change or we might not’.
It tells you nothing about the result on the coalition vote because to find that out you need to know who the 15% is. You need to know how they voted in the 2004 election, if the ever voted Liberal or are they just having a lend?
Theres not enough information here to make an informed analysis.
Like I said, vaguely sensible. In contrast to Shanahan etc.
Can’t Priscilla…. sorry, Peter appeal to the Pink vote?
After the Age’s ‘ Good Weekend’ article about Tanya and her bi-sexual husband , I don’t see why not. Certainly I support a loud out-and-proud Camp Costello.
And I’m sure many, many other GiBLeT’s would as well.
All you have to do is ASK darling.
Voters want Costello?
.
Do they?
.
What for?
.
Is Jumbo the Elephant unavailable for children’s parties?
That’s all right, let them delude themselves.
Leave them to clutch at straws and each setback will erode their morale until they are forced to make a genuine effort to adjust ro reality and to present an opposition platform based on dealng with current national and community issues rather than just the usual redecorating of the shopfront facade, while no fundamental psychic change takes place and the old goal of exclusively protecting vested interests at the expense of the community remains unchallenged.
Adrien, Jumbo the Elephant would prove no problem for them; they still have the same shovels employed for presenting 2007 “policies”- and the same nose-pegs.
If Costello is the answer…what was the question?
“If Costello is the answer…what was the question?”
The question was, Who was the guy who yelled, “Hey, Abbooooottt…” ?
j_p_z
are you making fun of us poor little Antipodean humourists, because one of our major political parties has two senior, serving officeholders called Abbott and Costello? How very, very unkind.
Just be attending to your own backyard, please. Get those mortgage organisations to desist from using ridiculous names. “Fanny Mae”, “Freddy Mack”, “Fanny Quack”, “Mae May”, “Freddy, Duck!”, “Emron Up the Amazon”, etc etc etc.