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51 responses to “The NZ election – a jaundiced view”

  1. Chiang Kai-Shek

    To my soulmates in the Australian and American Right, I offer words of comfort and inspiration in this dark time – New Zealand will be your Taiwan, from which the recapture of your respective mainlands will only be a matter of time!

  2. Spiros

    “So why is NZ voting this way?”

    Too much sheep sex. Or is it not enough?

  3. Leinad

    LOL OMG SHEEP JOKES!!11

    I suspect more than anything Labour are likely to fall victim to the curse of incumbency – after a certain period as long as the opposition is bland and appears competent there just isn’t a lot a government can do, unless they’ve miraculously managed a decade without fuckups.

  4. Liam

    Good post. Bad sheep comment.

    What on earth is a pledge card? I’m not familiar with the term, and a quick Googling reveals little. Is it an actual card, that’s handed out, or is it a research document, like a budgeted set of commitments?

  5. Deborah

    It was a credit card sized piece of cardboard with Labour’s election promises on it. There’s a not-so-good image of the 2005 card here. There’s various spoof images around, but I prefer not to link to them.

  6. professor rat

    I hope the Greens put the kybosh on blanket baby allowances. At least over the Zero Population Growth level of two surely. More people are not the solution imho. More people are the problem.

  7. Ben Raue

    I think it was a leaflet committing to do particular things, but I think the point was that it was paid for with government funds, or something like that.

  8. Liam

    Cheers, Deborah. They sound like a pretty useful thing to produce (tho’ not with Government money, naturally).

  9. Mole

    Whoever wins is in for a bit of a nasty downturn in the NZ property market. A lot of the miners from NZ I work with have a number of houses they have brought in NZ, if the mining boom here slows down much more then they will be back to a more purely domestic housing sales regime.
    The NZers we have here are invlauable part of the industry, but the money flowing back home is quite large.
    Any budget predictions by any of the NZ parties are likely to be wishful thinking if they fail to factor in a mining downturn here in Oz. The Kalgoorlie region has seen a number of projects shelved or placed on care and maintenance already.

  10. paul walter

    I’ve a spooky sense of “race”always lurking just below the surface in recent NZ politics. I’m not saying the whites are out to do a Selma on their indigenes; I sense rather a lack of comfort from many whites toward their at times formidible, at times vulnerable minority and that there is a related blue collar aspect that sometimes sees the centre turned back to the right.
    And of course, far more powerful than anything to do with sheep is the fact that Australia voted Labor, and heaven forbid they should do anything remotely in sync with the foul possum breeders across the Tasman.

  11. Spiros

    As the Duchess of Windsor said, you can’t be too rich, too thin or have too many sheep jokes.

  12. Not appreciated

    So Spiros – I understand that you are a level headed person; in that you drool out of both sides of your mouth. And well balanced too – with a chip on each shoulder. But is it true that your hometown cancelled Christmas because they couldn’t find three wise men and a virgin?

    Still laughing?

  13. Spiros

    As Sarah Palin would say,

    “You betcha!”

  14. Kim

    I’ve got a feeling the pledge card thing was first used by Tony Blair in 97.

    making changes and implementing policies that are so well liked that the National party will not be able to change them, or at least, will only be able to tinker around the edges.

    I hope that’s right. Howard, of course, came to power in 96 basically saying “all the Labor policies people like I am now a convert to” and disclaiming his and his parties’ previous far off to the right stances – something very much alive after the Hewson FightBack throw everyone off welfare after 9 months, GST, completely deregulate IR package. What do we have now? The ruination of Medicare and public health, vast overfunding for private education, a horrible IR system most of which is still in place, etc, etc. “Tinkering around the edges” after a few terms can mean turning policy into its opposite. I still think that it’s an enormous pity Beazley didn’t win in 2001 (or 98!) – that was about the last time you could reasonably have expected the damage to have been turned around quickly.

    Of course, maybe it’s harder to do this sort of thing with an MMP chamber?

  15. Tom Semmens

    I am sorry Deborah, but most of what you’ve said is rubbish in my view. The fundy right in NZ hate Labour and have made it their business to get rid of Labour since the legalisation of prostitution and, in particular, the civil union bill. Then came the relatively minor changes involved in the repeal of section 59. This was whipped up with some considerable skill by hard right christians to generate a classic right wing culture war ambush. They real objective of any culture war – getting working class people to vote against their own best interests over “values” succeeded and gave traction to the whole tiresome nanny state narrative.

    It is disappointing to me that an educated woman such as yourself has decided to vote for a party that is fundamentally built on the proposition of reverse apartheid, but it is your choice to waste your vote i guess.

  16. Kat

    Deborah I am not sure why it is better to give welfare payments to the well off as well as those that really need it. Does this not simply put more of a strain on the system as a whole and mean that there is less overall for those who do genuinely need it.

    In your list of Labour Govt achievements you forgot to mention the most important (morally) of all IMO: The decision not to follow the US into the invasion of Iraq. A National Govt would have been all in there hammer and tongs (possibly by way of apology for the Nuclear Free legislation). Legislation NZers are very proud of, but will be undermined in any way possible should the Nats gain power.

    While I can understand the mood for change after 9 years, the Kiwi’s may end up biting of their noses to spite their faces.

    I hold out hope that Clark will retain power with the help of the Greens. The leader of which is from Brisbane I believe.

  17. Deborah

    I am not sure why it is better to give welfare payments to the well off as well as those that really need it.

    The point is more that the costs of targeting are sufficiently large that it is actually cheaper, because it is so much easier, to give the same amount to everyone, and then claw some back through the tax system.

    NZ does this already with universal superannuation. If universality is okay for old people, why isn’t it okay to do it for children?

  18. Deborah

    I’ve got a feeling the pledge card thing was first used by Tony Blair in 97.

    Yes, that’s right. The NZ Labour party copied the idea.

  19. Mark

    The leader of which is from Brisbane I believe.

    Sure is. Russel Norman.

    http://www.greens.org.nz/people/candidates/russelnorman

    I was at uni with him @ UQ. Back in the day, he was in Resistance, and I defeated him for the spot of Union Treasurer if I recall correctly!

  20. Kat

    Oh and to Spiros and other who still think their well worn sheep jokes are so funny, I would just say that at least the Kiwis have had the balls to defend their principles not once but twice in regards to US ‘requests’.

    Pity Govt’s here didn’t have half as much courage.

  21. pablo

    Now now Mark let modesty prevail, otherwise we’ll be looking at kiwi and thinking where party leadership and destiny might have met their mark.

  22. Mark

    Heh!

  23. Kat

    The point is more that the costs of targeting are sufficiently large that it is actually cheaper, because it is so much easier, to give the same amount to everyone, and then claw some back through the tax system.

    NZ does this already with universal superannuation. If universality is okay for old people, why isn’t it okay to do it for children?

    Oh yes the old chestnut about how it is cheaper to just give benefits to everyone.

    If this is the case why means test anything? On universal super, I feel pretty much the same way.

    What really grates is it is the well to do that are always denouncing the vast sums spent on the ‘undeserving poor’. I am sure they are more than happy to put their hands out for their ‘handout’.

    Tom Semmens, lest we forget how bad the Nats really are. Have Kiwi’s forgotten the way the Nats and EB carried on last election? If they do give the Nats power again I guarantee they will regret it.

  24. Fine

    Kim, I remember that soooo well. Howard was so soothing. Nothing will really change. I’m just nicer than that nasty Mr. Keating. I’m just like you. It still makes me angry – which is probably obvious.

  25. Robert Merkel

    With respect to targetting vs. universal benefits, I don’t think you can make universal generalizations.

    Sometimes it makes more sense to target; sometimes it’s cheaper and easier to give things to everyone and claw back in tax.

  26. Kat

    The only problem with that Robert is how much actually gets clawed back in Tax. If it’s anything like here with all the tax loopholes then some would end up paying back and others (probably those who need it least of course) would not.

    I just can’t see the social justice is giving welfare money to those who clearly don’t need it on the offchance they may pay it back in their tax.

  27. Deborah

    There are very few dodges in the NZ tax system, especially for wage and salary earners. It’s instructive to compare the physical size (printed pages) of the Australian tax law with the physical size of the NZ tax law; NZ’s is very much smaller. It’s not for nothing that Kevin Rudd has been muttering about a thorough review of tax law here.

    Business owners in NZ can usually structure their activities through a trust, but it takes a fair amount of effort to do so. So yes, a wealthy business person could avoid ‘repaying’ any benefit, but only to the extent that she or he is already minimising tax obligations.

  28. Mark

    The Poll Bludger will be liveblogging the results:

    http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/11/08/new-zealand-election-live/

  29. Kat

    There are very few dodges in the NZ tax system, especially for wage and salary earners.

    Business owners in NZ can usually structure their activities through a trust, but it takes a fair amount of effort to do so. So yes, a wealthy business person could avoid ‘repaying’ any benefit, but only to the extent that she or he is already minimising tax obligations.

    Exactly my point and why I think the whole thing is just a scam. Can you imagine why any business owner would not be minimising their tax obligations? Any ‘effort’ would be expended by their accountants, and I’m sure the cost involved is worth it. That is why they all do it.

    Even more reason for benefits to be means tested so those that need it get it.

    The gravy train for the wealthy just never stops does it.

  30. paul walter

    Well a few days after Americans threw out a right winger and a year after Australia tossed out one and in the middle of a serious financial crisis created by the right, the Kiwis have thrown out the worthwhile, stable Helen Clark.
    I know things haven’t been perfect there recently, but such a repudiation?

  31. Deborah

    I don’t think Clark has been rejected for economic reasons.

  32. Deborah

    Even more reason for benefits to be means tested so those that need it get it.

    Well yes, except that means testing is usually based on taxable income. So any business person with a decent accountant can get their taxable income below the relevant thresholds. Means testing benefits just creates an economic incentive to create a lower taxable income.

    I agree entirely with the social justice arguments around means testing benefits. It’s just not clear that it is the most cost effective approach. Sometimes, it really is cheaper to just give everyone the same amount, even if it means giving money to people who are already rich.

  33. paul walter

    Deborah, if you are referring to my comment about the current financial crisis when you talk of Clark not being rejected for economic reasons; what I meant was that it seemed the more surprising that the NZ people, after nine years of healing under Clark from the effects of previous neoliberalist politics, would choose to reject that just as a giant neolib- triggered crisis threatens more of it.
    Particularly when the US and Australians have just moved so emphatically away from neoliberalism, btw.

  34. Kat

    Well yes, except that means testing is usually based on taxable income. So any business person with a decent accountant can get their taxable income below the relevant thresholds. Means testing benefits just creates an economic incentive to create a lower taxable income.

    Very few successful business people would be able to reduce their income sufficent enough to make them eligible for benefits. Look at the cut off points for those things that are means tested. Maybe some micro businesses, but most would not.

    There are plenty of incentives, foremost being greed for business to minimise their taxable income. Means testing of benefits does not create this phenomena. I guarantee that if all means testing of benefits were to cease tomorrow, businesses would still minimise tax, and continue to use tax havens – it is the nature of the beast.

    There will always be arguements against means testing, but I just do not think they bear close scrutiny. They may be plausible to some, and thus allow for what it IMO blantant greed by the already wealthy.

    Welfare is a safety net, not a free cash grab.

  35. Deborah

    Kat, it’s a straight trade-off, and one that’s made all the time in government policy. Do we choose the cheaper option which has the drawback of giving money to people who don’t need it, or do we choose the fairer option which costs more?

    I have worked in tax, and tax policy, and believe me, there are plenty of ways to get taxable income below various thresholds.

  36. steve at the pub

    Deborah, we’d love to hear some of these ways.

    The only way I have encountered to reduce income is to increase inputs. (In plain language:- Raise the costs)

  37. Deborah

    You mean, you want me to advise you how to go about rorting the tax system? Not today, thank you! If I was to do such a thing, which I wouldn’t, I would charge you a hefty fee for doing so, then channel it through various structures so that I could claim the Family Tax Benefit. At least, I know how to do this under NZ tax rules; I wouldn’t be so sure about the detail of doing it in Australia. However I’m sure the good people at PWC or Deloitte or whoever could help you out.

  38. steve at the pub

    Deborah, Please help me past the inconsistency.

    Is minimising tax a rort, or is it legitimate?

  39. Deborah

    An old conundrum – when does tax avoidance become tax evasion? (NB: I may have the meaning of ‘rort’ a little askew. My understanding is that a rort may or may not be legal, but it’s definitely pushing the law, to the point where the activity may be fraudulent.)

    I have a couple of views on that. There’s the standard views from tax cases:

    Every man is entitled if he can to order his affairs so as that the tax attaching under the appropriate Acts is less than it otherwise would be. If he succeeds in ordering them so as to secure this result, then, however unappreciative the Commissioners of Inland Revenue or his fellow taxpayers may be of his ingenuity, he cannot be compelled to pay an increased tax.

    No man in this country is under the smallest obligation, moral or other, so to arrange his legal relations to his business or to his property as to enable the Inland Revenue to put the largest possible shovel into his stores.

    [link]

    So if you can arrange your affairs so that you pay less tax and / or get more benefits, and it’s all legal, then that’s fine.

    I tend to go a step further, and say that as citizens, we have a duty to pay as little tax as is legally required, because it’s one of the few ways that we can restrain the power of government. I don’t always put that into practice for myself; sometimes the effort required to make a deduction claim is just not worth what I would get for it. It’s yet another of those trade-offs between principle and cost.

    I think minimising tax is legitimate, but evading it is not. But the line between avoidance and evasion is notoriously difficult to draw.

  40. steve at the pub

    Deborah, Thank you for the dictionary definition of “tax minimising”.

    If you are going to charge any sort of fee for taxation advice, your first task is to convince the client you have expertise. Your comment above indicates you have more understanding of taxation than most on this site (not a very high bar to leap) Were you working in “tax, and tax policy” as a typiste, or was your comment tailored for the comprehension of the readership here?

    I have never encountered any way to legitimately reduce tax AND keep the money saved. There is much chanting of “tax savings” from many I encounter, but little to no explanation of how this would be achieved. “Smart accountants” is the usual face-saving reply.

    The exception being investment allowances, which haven’t been around for..er.. 20 years. And they won’t be much derided on this site as they were principally for water conservation, tree & soil conservation, and money poured into “artistic” stuff.

    Those with memories will recall the “Bottom of the Harbour” schemes, which were legal (though extremely immoral/unethical – thus not touched by most). Tax avoiders who used such schemes were caught & penalised only because the government made a law, then backdated it, then prosecuting persons for having yesterday done what was legal at the time.

  41. Spiros

    “Tax avoiders who used such schemes were caught & penalised only because the government made a law, then backdated it”

    With the charge led by Treasurer John Howard.

    It was the only useful thing he did in economic policy in his career.

  42. steve at the pub

    Why was it “useful”?

  43. Spiros

    Because it plugged a huge hole in the government’s revenue base, without which more scrupulous taxpayers would have ended up paying a lot more tax.

  44. steve at the pub

    Is it proper for a government to enact retrospective legislation, then prosecute people who acted in a manner which was legal at the time?

    or, if a government loses a revenue stream, is it proper for them to impose a greater burden upon other taxpayers, or is it proper for that government to just reduce spending?

  45. Deborah

    Roughly, to minimise tax you can either change the nature of the income so that it is exempt from tax (for example, in NZ, getting capital gains rather than revenue), or you can defer the recognition of income, thereby getting a timing advantage, or you can channel it through a different entity, thereby getting either a permanent advantage through a lower tax rate, or a timing advantage by holding the income in a lower tax entity for a few years.

    For example, back in NZ, if you earn your income through a company, the income is taxed at 30% in the company, but when it is paid to you (by way of dividend), it will get taxed at your marginal rate (say, 39%). Imagine you earn $1million. You put it through your company, where it is taxed at 30% ($300,000). You leave it there for say, five years, and then pay it to yourself by way of dividend, where it gets taxed at 39% ($390,000) with a credit for the tax already paid ($300,000). That means that you have deferred $90,000 of tax for five years. The time value of money means that you have saved about $25,000 (assuming a discount rate of 5%, and also assuming that I have dredged the formula up correctly from the dim dark recesses of my commerce degree).

    Of course, you have to have enough money to live on in the meantime, but we’re assuming these are rich folks, right?

    From the point of view of collecting benefits, deferring income can be very useful. If you can create a low taxable income in one year, then even if its higher in the next year, in the first year, you can collect the benefits. Sometimes you see taxpayers with an income pattern of low income one year, high the next, then low again the following year. That can suggest that they are deferring income in order to be eligible to collect benefits every second year (eligibility for benefits is usually determined solely on the basis of current year taxable income). And collecting a benefit every second year is better than never collecting it at all.

    All perfectly legal, and if the government has set the rules up in that fashion, then why shouldn’t taxpayers use the rules in order to pay the minimum tax (or collect the maximum benefits) possible?

  46. daiskmeliadorn

    hey, came to this post a bit late but just wanted to say i liked it :)
    like the way you’re upfront about your biases and not afraid to make an explicitly left critique.

  47. Kat

    Kat, it’s a straight trade-off, and one that’s made all the time in government policy. Do we choose the cheaper option which has the drawback of giving money to people who don’t need it, or do we choose the fairer option which costs more?

    I don’t think it has been demonstrated to be the cheaper option.

    The ‘clawback’ in tax sounds good in theory but in reality is unlikey to happen except to PAYE tax earners.

    How much can it possibly cost to include a question about income. Other things are means tested, no practical reason why this should not be.

    Except to assuage reverse class envy.

  48. malcolm

    Kat, it’s not just “how much did you earn”. It’s how many children did you have? Do you have a partner? How much did they earn? Have we got the threshhold right? What if your income (or children) change during the year? Do you have to pay it back? Is a 98% effectively marginal tax rate too high? How can we verify that you are telling the truth? If we give you this benefit, how does it change your entitlement to other benefits? Is our computer system big enough to record all this? If we need a new database, will it talk to our other databses? How long will it take to employ the people to do this analysis? Have we thought of everything? How do we educate people to understand their entitlements? What was the question again?

  49. Kat

    The crux of this discussion appears to be that if you are ‘big’ enough there are many mechanisms to avoid tax. Highly paid accountants are more than happy to advise you of what these are.

    Costs incurred are really an investment, as you get the benefits of minimising tax as well as being able to claim the cost of such advice as a tax deduction.

    As Deborah said ‘There are very few dodges in the NZ tax system, especially for wage and salary earners’. And in Australia as well. All the ‘dodges’ are for the already wealthy as a ‘reward’ for business investment. As if mere profit is not enough these days.

    And I thought it was only Communism that was corrupt! (No not really).

    “Tax avoiders who used such schemes were caught & penalised only because the government made a law, then backdated it” – SATP

    “With the charge led by Treasurer John Howard.

    It was the only useful thing he did in economic policy in his career.” – Spiros

    Yet under Howards PM’ship a tax avoider was allowed to pay only half the amount owed to the tax office, and probably wasn’t even fined. As a bonus he was given a seat on the board of the Reserve Bank.

    Remember Costello’s good friend Gerard Henderson.

    Yeah real ‘useful’ policy. In the US such people ‘tax avoiders’ are named snd shamed, as per the recent 4 Corners programme, ‘Tax me if you can’ which lifted the lid on the nefarious activities of the Lowy’s and Lichtenstein (?) bank.

    Surely they save enough on the ‘tax minimising’ mechanisms afforded them by the ATO? Apparently their is no one so greedy as a rich man.

    Wouldn’t even have heard about it if it hadn’t been for the US position on such activities.

    PAYE earners have no option but to pay, and little/no scope for minimisation.

    Yet some would argue we should hand these people even more money in the form of middle/upper class welfare which is basically what non-means tested handouts really are.

    Little wonder the gap between the haves and the have nots continues to grow.

  50. steve at the pub

    Kat, instead of “the rich avoid tax”, how about being more specific. Stereotyping is easy. Please demonstrate how one may avoid lots of tax. (for your example, I suggest an example of how a rich, bloated, greedy publican would pay less tax)

  51. Kat

    Malcolm the fact remains other benefits are means tested. If there is value in means testing some there musts be value in means testing all.

    I am not prepared to accept at face value the statement that ‘it costs less’ when logically it must cost more.

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