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	<title>Comments on: A Big Dumb Number approach to hazard reduction burning</title>
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	<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/</link>
	<description>Life, Culture and Politics from BrisVegas</description>
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		<title>By: mehitabel</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141646</link>
		<dc:creator>mehitabel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Aug 2009 22:22:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141646</guid>
		<description>...and fuel hazard reduction only burns off undergrowth. It doesn&#039;t (and couldn&#039;t, or there wouldn&#039;t be any bush left) burn the crowns of trees.

Firestorms are created by fires crowning - burning from treetop to treetop. It&#039;s the gases released by the burning gumleaves which are the problem.

So the kind of controlled burning referred to has some effect in purely ground based fires (I question how much; I walked through blackened areas a few weeks after the 2003 fires. There was plenty of fuel left on the ground; because the fires had dried everything out, it was probably just as flammable as the previous thick moist undergrowth had been).

It only has environmental benefits if it mimics the natural cycle, which is easy to recreate from the habits of the trees themselves - snow gums do not regenerate, suggesting fires are extremely rare; mountain ash do not regenerate, and take over a decade to set viable seed, suggesting fires are once in twenty year events at least; lowland eucalypts bounce back instantly, suggesting a frequent fire regime.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230;and fuel hazard reduction only burns off undergrowth. It doesn&#8217;t (and couldn&#8217;t, or there wouldn&#8217;t be any bush left) burn the crowns of trees.</p>
<p>Firestorms are created by fires crowning &#8211; burning from treetop to treetop. It&#8217;s the gases released by the burning gumleaves which are the problem.</p>
<p>So the kind of controlled burning referred to has some effect in purely ground based fires (I question how much; I walked through blackened areas a few weeks after the 2003 fires. There was plenty of fuel left on the ground; because the fires had dried everything out, it was probably just as flammable as the previous thick moist undergrowth had been).</p>
<p>It only has environmental benefits if it mimics the natural cycle, which is easy to recreate from the habits of the trees themselves &#8211; snow gums do not regenerate, suggesting fires are extremely rare; mountain ash do not regenerate, and take over a decade to set viable seed, suggesting fires are once in twenty year events at least; lowland eucalypts bounce back instantly, suggesting a frequent fire regime.</p>
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		<title>By: mehitabel</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141645</link>
		<dc:creator>mehitabel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Aug 2009 22:08:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141645</guid>
		<description>Car accidents kill far more people every year than fires do or ever have. We accept that that&#039;s the risk associated with driving a car; we don&#039;t have hysterical rants accusing society of condoning murder because we continue letting people drive.

Similarly, there are risks associated with living in one of the most bushfire prone areas of the world (I&#039;m not saying the bush, which implies non metropolitan - I shudder to think about a fire hitting Eltham, for example). We can minimise these risks but we can&#039;t remove them entirely.

Arguing that all trees should be removed from roadsides is as ridiculous as arguing that all cars should be speed limited to 40 k (which I guarantee would save more lives).

People shouldn&#039;t be on roads on days of extreme fire danger, full stop. If they live in areas with limited access, they should get out beforehand.

(Have lived through three bushfires now, 2003, 2006, 2009. My grandfather was the only survivor of a community hit by the 1927 fires).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Car accidents kill far more people every year than fires do or ever have. We accept that that&#8217;s the risk associated with driving a car; we don&#8217;t have hysterical rants accusing society of condoning murder because we continue letting people drive.</p>
<p>Similarly, there are risks associated with living in one of the most bushfire prone areas of the world (I&#8217;m not saying the bush, which implies non metropolitan &#8211; I shudder to think about a fire hitting Eltham, for example). We can minimise these risks but we can&#8217;t remove them entirely.</p>
<p>Arguing that all trees should be removed from roadsides is as ridiculous as arguing that all cars should be speed limited to 40 k (which I guarantee would save more lives).</p>
<p>People shouldn&#8217;t be on roads on days of extreme fire danger, full stop. If they live in areas with limited access, they should get out beforehand.</p>
<p>(Have lived through three bushfires now, 2003, 2006, 2009. My grandfather was the only survivor of a community hit by the 1927 fires).</p>
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		<title>By: John D</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141644</link>
		<dc:creator>John D</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Aug 2009 12:05:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141644</guid>
		<description>You can kill a lot of trees, harm a lot of environments, convert to a more fire disaster prone environment and maybe save the odd life.  Or you can insist on fire refuges, learn from the way the better cyclone prone communities operate and save a lot more lives.  Once you start depending on people driving to escape fires people will inevitably be killed even if no trees fall across roads.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You can kill a lot of trees, harm a lot of environments, convert to a more fire disaster prone environment and maybe save the odd life.  Or you can insist on fire refuges, learn from the way the better cyclone prone communities operate and save a lot more lives.  Once you start depending on people driving to escape fires people will inevitably be killed even if no trees fall across roads.</p>
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		<title>By: Zorronsky</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141643</link>
		<dc:creator>Zorronsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Aug 2009 08:04:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141643</guid>
		<description>The VNPA submission should be read by all who would wish to inform themselves of the arguments for and against proscribed burning in all its different forms.
Thanks Paul for the opportunity to do so.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The VNPA submission should be read by all who would wish to inform themselves of the arguments for and against proscribed burning in all its different forms.<br />
Thanks Paul for the opportunity to do so.</p>
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		<title>By: BilB</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141642</link>
		<dc:creator>BilB</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Aug 2009 07:36:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141642</guid>
		<description>Elise 17,

I do like that concept, the lite version anyway. I did enjoy the one &quot;clean up Australia&quot; day that I have been engaged in. We are way too hooked into our &quot;freedoms&quot; which turn out to be anti freedoms, in many ways.

It is an interesting thought that freedom should lead to isolation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Elise 17,</p>
<p>I do like that concept, the lite version anyway. I did enjoy the one &#8220;clean up Australia&#8221; day that I have been engaged in. We are way too hooked into our &#8220;freedoms&#8221; which turn out to be anti freedoms, in many ways.</p>
<p>It is an interesting thought that freedom should lead to isolation.</p>
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		<title>By: Helen</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141641</link>
		<dc:creator>Helen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Aug 2009 02:35:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141641</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Yep – It’s acceptable for roads in bush areas to be death-traps.
&lt;/i&gt;

Disingenuous rubbish. Try arguing in good faith, please.

No, Wilful,  I wouldn&#039;t remove hamans from the landscape, but I&#039;d encourage Australians to really rethink the treechange / commuter lifestyle.

People employed on farms, in national parks and country occupations - yes.

De facto dormitory suburbs fostered by inflated urban residential prices and temporarily cheap fuel, overlaid by a romanticism about living in bushland without the concomitant skillz - maybe that needs a rethink.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Yep – It’s acceptable for roads in bush areas to be death-traps.<br />
</i></p>
<p>Disingenuous rubbish. Try arguing in good faith, please.</p>
<p>No, Wilful,  I wouldn&#8217;t remove hamans from the landscape, but I&#8217;d encourage Australians to really rethink the treechange / commuter lifestyle.</p>
<p>People employed on farms, in national parks and country occupations &#8211; yes.</p>
<p>De facto dormitory suburbs fostered by inflated urban residential prices and temporarily cheap fuel, overlaid by a romanticism about living in bushland without the concomitant skillz &#8211; maybe that needs a rethink.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul Norton</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141640</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Norton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Aug 2009 01:48:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141640</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.royalcommission.vic.gov.au/Submissions/SubmissionDocuments/SUBM-002-031-0037_R.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Here&lt;/a&gt; is what the Victorian National Parks Association has to say in its submission to the Bushfires Royal Commission.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.royalcommission.vic.gov.au/Submissions/SubmissionDocuments/SUBM-002-031-0037_R.pdf" rel="nofollow">Here</a> is what the Victorian National Parks Association has to say in its submission to the Bushfires Royal Commission.</p>
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		<title>By: Elise</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141639</link>
		<dc:creator>Elise</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 11:14:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141639</guid>
		<description>Zorronsky, yep I have heard of the CFA, obviously.  The question was: Are households automatically enrolled if they lie within the area, and people duty-bound to attend?  I had a notion that it was not something everyone was involved in.

Automatic enrollment might sound a bit draconian (like compulsory military service - uggh!), but it is a self-interest and self-preservation issue.  There is a precedent for suggesting this concept.

I was partly thinking of the &quot;velforening&quot; (loosely translated &quot;community wellbeing&quot;) in Norway, where you are automatically enrolled in a group of households in your area and expected to join in.

Sounds dreadful at first thought, but it provides for Neighbourhood Watch and much more:  evening patrols for child protection after dark, monitoring and modulating the activities of exhuberant inebriated teenagers, community amenities like basketball rings and sandpits (including erecting the ubiquitous Norwegian flagpole), bulk rubbish bins for street cleanups, get-togethers for national day, annual summer bonfire and bbq for the street, etc.

It turned out to be fun and an interesting insight into another way of thinking.  I would never have got to know the neighbours (other than those on either side) by any other way, especially being from another country and new to the area.  I think their children benefitted more from this approach, and felt more secure, compared with the modern Aussie isolationist style.  In a crisis, if the parents were out, the kids knew their neighbours and did not have to ask complete strangers for help.

It is a bit of a long bow, but I thought it was an interesting concept.  Perhaps we had more of this approach in earlier pioneering times in Australia, but have lost it with the growth of large cities?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Zorronsky, yep I have heard of the CFA, obviously.  The question was: Are households automatically enrolled if they lie within the area, and people duty-bound to attend?  I had a notion that it was not something everyone was involved in.</p>
<p>Automatic enrollment might sound a bit draconian (like compulsory military service &#8211; uggh!), but it is a self-interest and self-preservation issue.  There is a precedent for suggesting this concept.</p>
<p>I was partly thinking of the &#8220;velforening&#8221; (loosely translated &#8220;community wellbeing&#8221;) in Norway, where you are automatically enrolled in a group of households in your area and expected to join in.</p>
<p>Sounds dreadful at first thought, but it provides for Neighbourhood Watch and much more:  evening patrols for child protection after dark, monitoring and modulating the activities of exhuberant inebriated teenagers, community amenities like basketball rings and sandpits (including erecting the ubiquitous Norwegian flagpole), bulk rubbish bins for street cleanups, get-togethers for national day, annual summer bonfire and bbq for the street, etc.</p>
<p>It turned out to be fun and an interesting insight into another way of thinking.  I would never have got to know the neighbours (other than those on either side) by any other way, especially being from another country and new to the area.  I think their children benefitted more from this approach, and felt more secure, compared with the modern Aussie isolationist style.  In a crisis, if the parents were out, the kids knew their neighbours and did not have to ask complete strangers for help.</p>
<p>It is a bit of a long bow, but I thought it was an interesting concept.  Perhaps we had more of this approach in earlier pioneering times in Australia, but have lost it with the growth of large cities?</p>
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		<title>By: robbo</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141638</link>
		<dc:creator>robbo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 10:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141638</guid>
		<description>And this very afternoon I have had the dubious pleasure of listening to the member for Gippsland,independent Craig Ingram,(not sure which electorate) ranting about the lack of controlled burning. I live in neighboring NSW in an area that is experiencing a very severe drought. Last weekend a number of forestry burns took off in the high wind and we now have a state forest with +800 hectares burnt and a real fear that if we get more wind this fire will become even more problematic than it already is.This sort of fire behaviour in this part of NSW(Monaro) is almost unprecedented at this time of year.Climate change may well be at work in this area,neighbors tell me their annual rainfall is down 70% on 30 year average.
I expect that the point I am clumsily trying to make is that burning off per se is a political feel good, when the circumstances to burn have been so unfavorable and the local politican knows that only too well but  uses the circumstances to his advantage. bloody sickening really. And I do know that a couple of years ago country that had been burnt by lightning only months before(Duea National Park) burnt really good when a nutter with a can of petrol lit a fire on a really extreme day, so I can&#039;t help but feel that &quot;hazard reduction&quot; aint all it&#039;s cracked up to be, and this constant burning does encourage the growth of woody species which add to the fuel load.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And this very afternoon I have had the dubious pleasure of listening to the member for Gippsland,independent Craig Ingram,(not sure which electorate) ranting about the lack of controlled burning. I live in neighboring NSW in an area that is experiencing a very severe drought. Last weekend a number of forestry burns took off in the high wind and we now have a state forest with +800 hectares burnt and a real fear that if we get more wind this fire will become even more problematic than it already is.This sort of fire behaviour in this part of NSW(Monaro) is almost unprecedented at this time of year.Climate change may well be at work in this area,neighbors tell me their annual rainfall is down 70% on 30 year average.<br />
I expect that the point I am clumsily trying to make is that burning off per se is a political feel good, when the circumstances to burn have been so unfavorable and the local politican knows that only too well but  uses the circumstances to his advantage. bloody sickening really. And I do know that a couple of years ago country that had been burnt by lightning only months before(Duea National Park) burnt really good when a nutter with a can of petrol lit a fire on a really extreme day, so I can&#8217;t help but feel that &#8220;hazard reduction&#8221; aint all it&#8217;s cracked up to be, and this constant burning does encourage the growth of woody species which add to the fuel load.</p>
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		<title>By: Zorronsky</title>
		<link>http://larvatusprodeo.net/2009/08/19/a-big-dumb-number-approach-to-hazard-reduction-burning/#comment-141637</link>
		<dc:creator>Zorronsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 10:43:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://larvatusprodeo.net/?p=9592#comment-141637</guid>
		<description>You never heard of the CFA Elise?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You never heard of the CFA Elise?</p>
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