Saturday Election-Free Salon
An almost-open thread, where at your weekend leisure, you can discuss anything you like except for the election.
Nielsen 52-48; Newspoll 50-50
The last (I think!) polls we will see this campaign are in. Peter Hartcher on Lateline makes the point that there have been eleven (!) phone polls in ten days, and that all bar Newspoll have had Labor somewhere between [...]
2010 Election Roundtable #16
Please keep the general election campaign talk (trends, breaking news etc) on these Roundtables, and keep discussions on the other posts focussed on the topic presented by the author.
Your poll-free guide to the state of the seats in Queensland
Published in today’s Crikey email: We’re drowning in polls at the moment, and rumours of polls. I’ve been writing in recent days about the futility of over-interpreting polls, and it’s also been suggested that the key to divining this election [...]
The Coalition’s spendathon and fantabulous savings
It’s all quite predictable. There is a complete farce over the costing of election promises, with large numbers being thrown around. The release of the LNP costing by Dumb and Dumber so late in the campaign and so late in [...]
The contest between Gillardism and Abbottism
Early this month, I contested the idea that this campaign was a boring race. It didn’t take long for that notion to be junked. But the perception that there’s no salient difference between the two parties has had a stronger [...]
Quick link: Graham Young on polling interpretation for mugs
Following my post yesterday on the dangers of taking internal party polling “leaks” seriously, and the Newspoll and Galaxy figures released last night, Graham Young makes some excellent points on today’s interpretations game: Mugs are what most of my colleagues [...]
Election dirty tricks
I don’t know how the rest of Australia is getting on but there are a some tactics being used by Liberal candidate Jane Prentice in Ryan which may be legal but which feel like dirty pool. It’s not just being [...]
I won’t add my condemn to your condemn XLVIII (federal election 2010 last days edition)
Well, it’s the last days of the campaign and we haven’t condemned since week 2, so it must be long past time to condemn again. Here’s a 48th open condemnation thread. What’s been worthy of condemnation this month so far? [...]
Newspoll 50-50; Galaxy Labor 52-48
Is it The Tightening? The latest Newspoll, taken on Tuesday and Wednesday night, with a sample of 1600 voters, shows the two major parties level on 50-50. That’s a 2% swing to the Coalition from the last Newspoll. No details [...]
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