Preferred PM Theorem

In an unexpected guest post at The Poll Bludger, The Government Gazette maintains the rage:

Kevin Ruddâ??s prime ministerial ambitions lie in tatters today after yet another devastating opinion poll, this time from ACNielsen. For all the ignorant whingeing levelled at the government lately by out-of-touch ivory tower eggheads, loony left â??web loggersâ??, civil libertarian do-gooders, bludgers and parasites from the Aboriginal industry and poofters in g-strings at the Sydney Mardi Gras, the Coalition primary vote has held firm on 39 per cent. This is profoundly significant because, as anyone who really understands opinion polls can tell you, only four of the last nine changes of government occurred after ruling party support remained steady in the last month before the election whose name began with a J.

What do you think?

NB: The post at The Poll Bludger isn’t really by Chris Mitchell – it’s satire. I’d have thought that was obvious, but it appears it needs spelling out.

Nielsen results here. Michelle Grattan observes:

This is the 50th national poll since Mr Rudd wrested the leadership from Mr Beazley in December. None of these polls has had the Coalition in front. When ACNielsen and the other main polls (Newspoll, Galaxy and Morgan) are put together, since June 1 (13 polls, nearly 14,000 interviews) Labor is ahead 57 to 43 per cent on a two-party basis. The primary votes from this weighted average are ALP 48 and the Coalition 39 per cent.

Don’t miss the analysis at Possums Pollytics.


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