So long and thanks for all the fish
By Brian on December 16, 2013
Dr Kevin Bonham has a post Abbott Fastest Ever To Lose Poll Lead with this helpful advance summary: 1. Following the recent Newspoll, the new Abbott Government has lost the two-party preferred polling lead. 2. This does not necessarily mean […]
By Cat Herding Cabal on November 2, 2013
Will Western Australians have to go back to the polls to sort out who their Senators will be?
By Mark Bahnisch on September 24, 2013
Now that the election counting for the House of Representatives is done and dusted (with Clive Palmer’s 36 vote victory in Fairfax being the last outstanding datum of import; though see the interesting Senate races still undeclared), there’s been a […]
By Brian on August 22, 2013
Laura Tingle in the AFR writes of youth apathy threatening Labor hopes. Only 3641 extra voters aged 18 or 19 have enrolled to vote in the September 7 election and only 21,787 aged 20 to 24. The Australian Electoral Commission […]
By Cat Herding Cabal on July 17, 2013
There is talk on Twitter, as there always is when Abbott gives a bad interview, of a #Libspill. Since this is coming from Twitter and therefore needs to be taken with a truckload of salt it is probably best to […]
By Mark Bahnisch on April 11, 2013
Reachtel has conducted a massive poll (sample size is 36,323) for the Together Union. Being dismissed by the LNP Queensland government as “push polling”, the poll is unique in that the sample is broken down by individual electorates with average sample […]
By Mark Bahnisch on March 20, 2013
It won’t have escaped anyone’s attention that there is a more than usually febrile atmosphere in Canberra today, and that some folks are anticipating white smoke announcing “Habemus PM”… Whether there will be a vacancy is, as yet, unresolved. I […]
By Kim on March 16, 2013
Most of the discussions about Labor’s chances at this year’s election assume that the party needs a primary vote in the high 30s to have any chance of prevailing. But Dennis Atkins, writing in the Courier-Mail, questions one of the […]
By Paul Norton on March 12, 2013
In short, current poll support for the election of an Abbott-led Coalition government is soft and brittle. Yet it exists, and persists. And voter opinion of what the Federal Labor government has actually done is not all that unfavourable. Yet people don’t think the government deserves to be reelected. What are we to make of this?
By Kim on March 11, 2013
Let’s take a little look at how the “political narrative” works. Now, polls are not Truth. They’re a snapshot of the past… But they apparently are the key tropes of the Narrative.
By Mark Bahnisch on March 10, 2013
As everyone who followed Larvatus Prodeo knows, we decided in April last year to sound the Last Post.
But, prompted by some urgings on Twitter, we have resolved that we can’t let an election year go past without blogging. So …