Author Archive for Brian

How would you feel about Australia without koalas?

Not good, I’d wager.

When we looked at polar bears recently I was left with the feeling that their future was very much bound up with the future of the Arctic ice. They at least have the prospect of meeting the grizzly bears being forced further north and producing lots of little grolar bears - hybrid offspring of the polar bear and the grizzly.

No such luck for the koala bear which is highly specialised to a diet of gum leaves, which, it seems are tuning sour.

Prof Hume [University of Sydney] will present new research at a major science conference in Canberra showing that increases in CO2 decrease levels of “good” nutrients and increase toxic nutrients in eucalypt leaves.

It gets worse.

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Polar bears and other animals

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The Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada has just decided that while Canada’s 15,000 polar bears are threatened by climate change they are not in immediate danger. The Committee found that numbers are decreasing in some places and increasing in others.

Hence polar bears are to remain a ’species of special concern’ rather than an ‘endangered species’. But that does not mean that all of us and the Canadian Government in particular can relax. The classification requires the Government to take legislative action.

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Remembering ANZAC

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It has often been said that as Australians we have a predilection for remembering and even celebrating our failures. The ABC does a lot of remembering at these times. This year there have been a couple of segments covering an event that may eventually take over from ANZAC in our consciousness, an event that occurred 90 years ago on the third ANZAC Day.

I speak, of course, of the Australian counter-attack that took the French town of Villers-Bretonneux. This year for the first time there will be a dawn service on the actual day.

The Australian flags are hung, toy kangaroos are crammed in shop windows and now all the small French town of Villers-Bretonneux is waiting for is Anzac Day.

Up to 6,000 Australians are expected to descend on the rural town on Friday for a dawn service commemorating the 90th anniversary of its liberation by Anzac [actually Australian, I think] troops on April 25, 1918.

The rural town, in the heart of the Somme region north of Paris, holds annual memorial services for the diggers - but this year is the first time it will host a dawn service on Anzac Day itself, instead of the nearest Saturday to April 25.

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What’s behind Rudd’s early childhood push?

Turns out it’s about human capital formation, I think.

On Friday Brendon Nelson accused Rudd of copying the idea of one-stop shop childcare centres from Tony Blair’s Sure Start program, which is actually a program targeting military children (four year olds) and their families living overseas and considered to be at risk.

Rudd brushed the comment off, saying that his deep interest in early childhood dates from his reading in the summer of 2006-7 of Nobel Prize-winning economist James Heckman who has worked extensively on studying investment in early childhood programs. When Rudd got back to work in 2007 Labor’s preschool initiative was the first policy announced in the new dispensation of his leadership. (He gives a fuller explanation in this Breakfast interview.)

In fact neither had to look so far afield. Back in 2006 under Howard at COAG all states agreed on the importance of improving “early childhood development outcomes through a collaborative national approach” as part of COAG’s “human capital agenda”.

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Lighting a candle for the earth

At 8 pm tonight the lights in your city may well go off for Earth Hour. In 2007 it was Sydney, in 2008 Earth Hour has spread to 24 global cities, next year the world. At the home site you can upload a snappy video or click on the cities list (it was as slow as a wet week when I did it) or if you live where I do go straight to Brisbane and maybe get a “Gateway Time-out” screen as I did.

This one sent to me via email might be better. I suspect it’s on the Courier Mail server.

The Brisbane City Council is suggesting that you go to vantage point to look at the city that you can’t see. Sounds good, if you walk there and don’t use your car. So what are you going to do?

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The US yields ground on climate change - but has it?

The Financial Times has reported that the US has given ground on emissions targets:

The US appeared to take a step forward on the talks for a successor to the Kyoto protocol on climate change on Monday by saying it would agree to binding targets for reducing emissions.

This is more than a little curious. While the US had long pushed the line that countries should make up their own targets, at Bali they accepted that targets should be specified, but not until the round of negotiations had been completed. That is, in Copenhagen in December 2009. To do so at the outset, as the EU wanted, would predetermine the outcomes of the discussions, they said.

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Pakistan votes, but what does it mean?

Pakistan with a population of 164 million and economy larger than Belgium’s but significantly smaller than that of The Netherlands is nevertheless of considerable interest to the rest of the world, being nuclear-armed, with nuclear-armed India on one side and the Taliban and al Qaeda-infested Afghanistan on the other. The United States traditionally likes dealing with strong rulers. Musharraf seemed to fit the pattern and was quickly recruited as an ally in Bush’s War on Terror. Now the strong man has turned into a lame duck and as one journalist said it is now hunting season in Pakistan.

According to the BBC after the recent elections Musharraf has ruled out resignation, although the PML-Q (pro-Musharraf) party has only 39 seats with 258 of 272 decided. The main opposition parties have fared better. PPP (Bhutto’s party) has 87 and PML-N (Nawaz Sharif) has 66, with a combined total of 153. Hence they can govern without any other parties, though the BBC report suggests they will go for a government of national unity.

At a press conference on Tuesday, Ms Bhutto’s widower and the PPP leader, Asif Ali Zardari, said his party would “form a government of national consensus which will take along every democratic force”.

“For now, the decision of the party is that we are not interested in any of those people who are part and parcel of the last government,” he said, seemingly ruling out any coalition with the Pakistan Muslim League’s pro-Musharraf wing, the PML-Q.

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Saying sorry

To a standing ovation Kevin Rudd has said “sorry” to the stolen generations and for the treatment of Aboriginal people since white settlement. He did this as a person, as Prime Minister on behalf of the Government and on behalf of the Parliament.

His speech was sensitive to the past and present, but looking forward with hope.

Brendan Nelson started well, but as one Aboriginal representative said, fell in a hole when he said he felt no guilt for the past. On the radio I heard hand clapping and apparently many turned their backs, saying “Get him off”.

That is a matter for later analysis. I think it better at this time that ignore the critics and gainsayers while we listen to the Aboriginal people. This is a time for healing and for hope.

Update: [by MB] If you missed the PM’s speech, or would like to see it again, it can be found in full on this YouTube channel. Many news outlets only carry portions of the speech.

Further update: [by MB] The transcript of Kevin Rudd’s speech has been posted by Peter Martin at his blog.

Rudd and Gillard kick start the national curriculum

Last Thursday Labor launched its national curriculum initiative with the announcement that Barry McGaw will head the new National Curriculum Board to develop a national curriculum in four content areas – English, Maths, Science and History – for implementation in 2011. When you consider that science covers a multitude of subjects the project is quite extensive. Those familiar with the curriculum development process will realize that the timetable is short.

Criticisms have centred around McGaw’s qualifications (or lack of them) for the job, the need for flexibility to allow needs at the school level to be met, the lack of a teachers’ union rep on the Board and finally, whether the project is the highest priority for government attention.

I’ll come back to these points. First a brief summary of what the exercise is about.

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IPCC Fourth Assessment Synthesis Report

As we hear that China’s emissions from power plants are due to rise 60% by 2017, that Australia is proclaimed world champion polluter and that New Zealand’s Southern Alps have lost about 5.8 cubic kilometres, or almost 11 per cent, of ice in the past 20 years, the IPCC has released its Fourth Assessment Synthesis Report on climate change.

Words like “unequivocal�, “catastrophic�, “abrupt and irreversible� have featured in press coverage. Here are some quotes:

“These scenes are as frightening as a science fiction movie … but they are even more terrifying because they are real,” said UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon.

He also nominated Climate change as the “defining challenge of our age.”

“We need a new ethic by which every human being realises the importance of the challenge we are facing and starts to take action through changes in lifestyle and attitude.” IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri.

“Climate change poses an urgent challenge that threatens the environment but also international peace and security, prosperity and development.” British Prime Minister, Gordon Brown.

“My view is that there’s a serious challenge … my view also is that the world is not coming to an end tomorrow.” Australian Prime Minister, John Howard.

The Oz ran an article on the front page Rudd vow to take charge on warming highlighting that Rudd will personally lead the delegation to the UN conference in Bali next week.

It also ran an AAP article Libs at war over Kyoto where:

NSW opposition energy spokesman Peter Debnam … contradicted Coalition climate policy, saying Australia should have signed the Kyoto protocol long ago.

Debnam also referred to clean coal as an oxymoron.

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Where are we with Kyoto, Bali and all that?

To recap, in recent days we’ve had Garrett first of all saying as reported by the ABC

The Federal Opposition says it is willing to commit to a new international greenhouse gas emissions target, even if big polluters like China and the United States do not sign up.

He was really just arguing for a commitment to the Kyoto process and attacking Howard for not signing. He did include the US and I’m not sure that was smart. We blogged about it here.

Howard attacked, saying that Labor was irresponsible and their approach would cost jobs.

Rudd and Garrett decided that Garrett would issue a “clarifying statement” saying that the developing countries must make commitments for Labor to sign, which sounded like a backflip, but Garrett said it was what he meant all along. Howard saw this as a capitulation. Just about everyone is thoroughly confused and last night on PM John Connor from the Climate Institute declared the two parties to be as one on the issue of developing countries, the one difference being on signing Kyoto.

This raises the question as to whether or not we have policy differentiation. I’d suggest we do, but in the context of the international scene both are inadequate.

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Garrett and Rudd show a bit of policy bravery - well for a day at least

Lenore Taylor, National affairs writer for the AFR is one journalist who seems to be across the issue of climate change.

John Howard’s climate change policy is illogical. Now his Environment Minister has all but said so.

Kevin Rudd’s policy is incomplete. Now his environmental spokesman has filled in one of the many gaps.

Garrett has now said that Australia might sign on to a Kyoto phase 2 agreement even if the developing nations and indeed the US don’t commit to specific reductions or targets.

To me this seemed like a case of foot in mouth given that Howard was bound to leap upon it and say it was a formula for exporting jobs. Howard did not disappoint, ringing up AM as soon as he heard the story to make his point. But Rudd, showing some unaccustomed policy bravery backed Garrett up.

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Climate change issue comes alive - almost!

Lenore Taylor in the Weekend AFR reported that Environment Minister Malcolm Turnbull had taken a submission to cabinet suggesting that Australia ratify the Kyoto Protocol immediately.

Government sources have told the Weekend AFR that Mr Turnbull argued the government would gain kudos and lose nothing by ratifying the international climate change agreement.

But cabinet decided such a backflip would not look credible to voters given the vehemence with which Prime Minister Howard had argued against Kyoto for a decade, even though it was looking for ways to redefine the coalition’s image in the electorate.

It is understood that Mr Turnbull was not the sole voice for ratification at the meeting, held about six weeks ago, but that a clear majority of cabinet did not think changing the government’s stance was a viable political position to take.

Turnbull is not denying the story, so it’s probably true.

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Lessons from the headmistress

In the Australian Financial Review yesterday they identified nine key issues in this election and ranked their importance as vote deciders. The rankings out of 10 were:

9 Economic management
8 Industrial relations
7 Tax, Health, Environment
5 Housing
4 National security, Education, Industry policy

In the short explanatory paragraph for education it was all about higher education and technical education/skills. General schooling doesn’t rate.

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Howard’s clean energy plan hits the fan

In Guy Pearse’s book High & Dry he suggests that Howard’s climate change policies are a complete fraud. He suggests that the purpose of the policies is to appear to be doing something when the real effect will be to allow the polluters a free ride as long as possible, to maintain the Australian coal industry and to hold a place for nuclear. To this end he has lied, dissembled and mislead parliament. Renewables are not really a part of his agenda. Pearse tells us:

Meanwhile, according to the IEA, the renewable share of electricity in Australia has fallen from 18.5 per cent in 1970 to 8.3 per cent in 2001 – roughly where it remains today.

Of course most of this is hydro.

Pearse makes a very good case to support his views in a closely argued 400 plus pages. The question now is whether Howard has finally got it or whether we have here more of the same.

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