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By Kim on August 31, 2010
The name of the game at the moment in Canberra is the competition between claims to “legitimacy” – a new concept in Australian politics, it would seem, as no one, I think, ever suggested John Howard should not form a [...]
Posted in federal election 2010 | Tagged AEC, Antony Green, Federal Election 2010, hung parliament, Peter Brent, Tony Abbott, two party preferred, William Bowe |
By Mark Bahnisch on August 27, 2010
[Via tigtog at Hoyden] In a very valuable post, Antony Green has discussed a range of constitutional realities affecting the current situation which appear to have been unknown to many of our political commentators and journalists, which is rather interesting. [...]
Posted in federal election 2010, Law | Tagged advice, Antony Green, conflict of interest, constitution, double dissolution, Federal Election 2010, governor general, hung parliament, new election, Senate, solicitor general |
By Mark Bahnisch on August 4, 2010
Morgan comes in with very similar figures to Newspoll tonight, 50-50 on the 2PP and a 38-45 split on the primaries. William Bowe has more detail. It’s a small sample with a correspondingly high margin of error, but it’s saying [...]
Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Antony Green, Federal Election 2010, Morgan, Newspoll, Polls |
By Mark Bahnisch on January 29, 2010
I’ve been wondering myself, recently, about the significance of Labor’s unbroken lead in the polls, which if memory serves, has persisted for over three years now. There’s little doubt that it’s Rudd’s election to lose, but, conversely, big Labor victories [...]
Posted in Elections, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls, Sociology | Tagged ALP, Antony Green, brand loyalty, epistemology, Federal election 2007, Federal Election 2010, Federal Elections, Labor, marketing, political behaviour, political parties, polling, Polls, possum, psephology, Rudd government, voting intention |
By Mark Bahnisch on December 9, 2009
On Saturday night, I summed up the Higgins and Bradfield by-elections: The final verdict – the whole thing is probably a bit of a side show. The by-election results did, of course, lead to a particularly risible bit of Newspoll [...]
Posted in By-elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, analysis, Antony Green, Australian Greens, Barnaby Joyce, battlers, Bradfield by-election, Climate change, Coalition, Dennis Shanahan, electoral strategy, Higgins by-election, John Howard, Liberal Party, Newspoll, political sociology, possum, psephology, public opinion, The Greens, Tony Abbott |
By Mark Bahnisch on December 4, 2009
Tomorrow sees voters in Peter Costello’s old seat of Higgins (and Brendan Nelson’s seat of Bradfield) go to the polls. Labor is not running in either by-election. That seemed like an arguably justifiable decision at the time nominations closed, but [...]
Posted in By-elections, Politics | Tagged ALP, Anthony Albanese, Antony Green, Australian Greens, Bradfield by-election, brendan nelson, Climate change, Clive Hamilton, cprs, ets, Higgins by-election, Hugo Young, kelly o'dwyer, Kevin Rudd, Labor, liberal leadership, Liberal leadership spill, Malcom Turnbull, New Matilda, Peter Costello, Rebekka Power, Rudd government, The Greens, Tony Abbott |
By Mark Bahnisch on November 9, 2009
Former Australian Democrats Senator Andrew Bartlett has announced he will be contesting the federal seat of Brisbane for The Greens. That’s my local electorate, and I’m looking forward to an interesting contest! Antony Green has much more. He points out [...]
Posted in Brisbane, Politics | Tagged andrew bartlett, Antony Green, Arch Bevis, Australian Democrats, Australian Greens, Brisbane, candidates, Federal Election 2010, Ingrid Tall, Labor, liberals, LNP, Queensland politics, Sexuality, Teresa Gambaro, The Greens |
By Mark Bahnisch on October 29, 2009
My previous post on Clive Hamilton’s selection as The Greens’ candidate in the Higgins by-election has sparked a thread largely devoted to Hamilton’s views and suitability as a candidate, rather than the party’s electoral chances, or indeed, the strategy of [...]
Posted in By-elections | Tagged Antony Green, Australian Greens, By-elections, Clive Hamilton, Higgins, Higgins by-election, Liberal Party |
By Mark Bahnisch on October 8, 2009
ABC election analyst Antony Green has a very interesting and comprehensive post up on the Higgins (and Bradfield) by-elections. Among his observations: Safe Liberal seats in Melbourne have never been as safe as the safest Liberal seats in Sydney. In [...]
Posted in By-elections, Climate change, Melbourne, Politics, Sydney, Victoria | Tagged ALP, Antony Green, Australian Greens, Bradfield by-election, cprs, emissions trading, Higgins, Higgins by-election, Labor, liberal leadership, Liberal Party, The Greens |
By Kim on February 23, 2009
No doubt the mantra that Lawrence Springborg needs to win Brisbane seats will be repeated endlessly over the next 26 days until Queensland votes. And it will be true. Just how difficult his task is can be discerned from looking [...]
Posted in Queensland, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, analysis, Anna Bligh, Antony Green, Brisbane seats, campaign, day one, Labor, Lawrence Springborg, LNP, optional preferential, pendulum, psephology, Queensland election 2009, The Greens |
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