Quick link: Bernard Keane on why it wasn’t leaks that gutted Labor
Bernard Keane in today’s Crikey, contesting the Labor claims that all would have been rosy had it not been for leaks: But Labor is in trouble. Its problems aren’t so much, as was suggested by some commentators, that it is [...]
The contest between Gillardism and Abbottism
Early this month, I contested the idea that this campaign was a boring race. It didn’t take long for that notion to be junked. But the perception that there’s no salient difference between the two parties has had a stronger [...]
Possum on Newspoll and the trend; and Libs now acting as front runner
As a bit of an update to my post this morning on Newspoll, I thought I’d link to Possum’s piece this afternoon where he factors today’s numbers into an estimation of the trend: As a result, this brings our Pollytrend [...]
The first rule of West Wing…
… is that you don’t talk about what you decide in the West Wing. As about a million people have already observed today, announcing that the switch has been flicked to a “Let Julia Be Julia” strategy, while it might [...]
Lib Dems the game changer?
Liberal Democrats leader Nick Clegg’s performance in the first of three televised debates in the UK election has become something of a game changer, leading to a surge for his party, now ahead of the pack in one poll, and [...]
Newspoll Labor 52-48: Watch the political narrative shift
The first Newspoll of the year has Labor’s 2PP at 52, and the Coalition ahead by one point on primaries at 41, with The Greens steady on 9. By contrast, Essential Research has Labor on a 2PP of 56. Interestingly, [...]
Missing Peter Beattie
I’m increasingly convinced that if things carry on as they are at the moment, Labor is gone in Queensland as a majority government. Their biggest hope remains a shift in voter expectations away from an ALP win, and it seems [...]
Howard's End: not E. M. Forster but Van Onselen and Senior
Here’s another don’t waste your $34.95 book review, and for many of the same reasons as Mark identified as failures in an earlier 2007 federal election tome from Melbourne University Press – Christine Jackman’s Inside Kevin07. If anything, Peter Van [...]
An August election?
By Mark Bahnisch on June 16, 2010
Rumours persist that an early August election will be called early in July. Parliament is only sitting for two weeks, and then won’t return until September. The delivery of valedictory speeches in the budget sitting shows that this term is [...]
Posted in Elections, Federal Elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged august election, budget, campaign, campaign strategy, commentariat, Dennis Atkins, election, election date, election speculation, Federal Election 2010, Kevin Rudd, leadership, leadership speculation, Liberal Party, Media, parliament, party of no, Policy, Polls, sittings, Tony Abbott | 144 Responses