Tag Archive for 'climate science'

Newspoll and climate change opinion II; partisan affiliation, gender and age

As a supplement to Paul’s post, I thought it was worthwhile posting derived tables of the breakdown by partisan affiliation, gender and age, courtesy of Possum. As he says, “Those results are pretty interesting in and of themselves!”… particularly the variance by age and, to a lesser degree, gender.

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I went to a circus and a science debate broke out

Today I attended the debate between UNSW computer scientist Dr Tim Lambert (author of Deltoid blog) and Lord Viscount Christopher Monckton of Brenchley.

The venue was the Hilton Hotel Grand Ballroom, and attendance was about 60% of capacity, that is roughly half the number of people who attended last time I was there, when it was packed to 120% of capacity for the launch of MySpace (remember MySpace? Neither do I…)

At any rate, I am pleased to report that the debate was indeed just that, a real debate, conducted civilly, in front of an attentive and polite crowd, and well moderated by Alan Jones.

It was neither the rabble-rousing denialist circus some feared it would be, nor an embarrassing excursion into Monckton’s many personal foibles. It was instead, a robust, articulate presentation and dissection of the factual content behind Monckton’s denialist propositions. Both speakers were modest, neither hyperbolic, and both approached the question in an open and non-dogmatic fashion. Continue reading ‘I went to a circus and a science debate broke out’

How (not) to do things with graphs

Possum has a cracker of a post up on Andrew Bolt’s infamous climate change graphs.

Go read, as they say.

He also pings the blurring of the opinion/analysis distinction at the ABC, where Bolt seems to wear two hats – as some sort of putative student of climate science and as ballast for the famous right wing balance.

Which begs the question – if Bolt is so easily fooled, why does the ABC or any media outfit attempting to be informative use him? Tabloids I can understand – they’re rubbish from arsehole to breakfast time in the serious debate stakes, it’s entertainment not serious news and analysis. But the ABC?

It’s not only a sad indictment on what passes for quality debate on public affairs in the MSM in Australia, but it’s also a massive slap in the face to the intelligent conservatives and those from the intellectual right who end up having their political views represented in the public sphere by what amounts to a form of mediocrity. A result, mind you, that was always going to be inevitable when the pursuit of “political balance” on these programs transformed into a lazy affirmative action program for pundits with conservative leanings.

Conservatives and those on the right deserve better from our flagship current affairs programs – it’s not like we have a shortage of professionally skilled, media friendly folks from the right. A quick look through the halls of the IPA and CIS demonstrates that pretty clearly.

Science, denialism or unconscionable fraud?

Recently I’ve seen and heard a number of stories saying that the winter sea ice levels in the Arctic are right back at 1979 levels, so what’s to worry? On the polar bears thread I expected this story to appear, and didn’t have to wait long. First Mark and then Jono obliged. Thankyou to sjk and MikeM for setting them straight while I was otherwise engaged. For the record, from the National Snow and Ice Center, the 2008 story looks like this:

timeseries-ja09.png

Tamino at Open Mind tracked down the source of the story.

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Arctic update II

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Since we last looked at the Arctic ice coverage the equinox has been passed, the sun has set and the sea is icing up again quite nicely considering the ice loss fell just short of the 2007 record.

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Arctic update

Back on July 18 Andrew Bolt said that we should “forget media scares about a melting North Pole”. As with almost everything he said in that article he was wrong. This graph from the National Snow and Ice Data Center shows how things are progressing:

nsidc-500.jpg

Continue reading ‘Arctic update’