Tag Archive for 'derivatives'

Quiggin on social democracy and the current crisis; Obama’s epic fail

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Mark
11 months, 1 week ago
in Disasters, Economics, International, Markets, Policy, Sociology and USA
. 84 Comments

[Via Rob Corr] John Quiggin, with his customary acuity and clarity of thought, has outlined a social democratic agenda post the Global Financial Crisis in a paper [pdf] for the Whitlam Institute.

A social democratic response to the crisis must begin by reasserting the crucial role of the state in risk management. If individuals are to have security of employment, income and wealth, governments must establish the necessary legal and economic framework and enforce its rules. The fact that government is the ultimate risk manager both justifies and necessitates action to mitigate the grotesque inequalities in both opportunities and outcomes that characterise unrestrained capitalism and were increasingly resurgent in the era of economic liberalism.

I might have some differences at the margins, but I wouldn’t dissent from Quiggin’s broad policy approach. Where I would sound a note of caution, however, is his assumption that a restructured economy will necessarily entail a shrunken financial sector. I’m not sure that’s true. As I observed with respect to the recent G20 summit meeting, a note of complacency has crept into discussions of the GFC. There is an apparent assumption that a bit of government prodding to get credit markets moving again, a little more regulation, and a bit of symbolic Wall Street bashing will do the trick. Then business can resume more or less as normal. That assumption, or assumptions like it, are colouring the recent partial revival in equity markets. It’s being driven also by the Obama administration’s actions (and inaction) – controversies over AIG bonuses aside, there’s a distinct sense that whatever Wall Street wants, it will get – including a revival of trading in credit default swaps and other derivatives.

Continue reading ‘Quiggin on social democracy and the current crisis; Obama’s epic fail’

G20 Summit: A new Bretton Woods?

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Mark
1 year, 4 months ago
in Economics, International, Media, Sociology and USA
. 60 Comments

The G20 Summit has come and gone, and if today’s coverage in the Australian press is any indication, the most important of the tea leaves to be read is whether George W. Bush snubbed Kevin Rudd over the “Kirribilli leak”. Yep, a non-story that has burbled along for weeks, now diverted into intra-press gallery trading of accusations and a tedious talking point for the opposition – that’s the most important aspect of the events in Washington according to our “quality” media. As far as I can work out, if Bush is indeed upset that his ignorance of the function and nature of the G20 was revealed to the world, that just confirms what a lot of folks have always known about W – that’s he’s at best unengaged, at worst ignorant. But I suppose our fearless journos aren’t allowed to draw that conclusion lest a global diplomatic crisis add to our woes from the global financial crisis!

But, anyway, the lame duck President made his ritual obeisance to the virtues of American leadership and the glories of the free market. One imagines there’s some personal and political imperative there, but the reality of his governance is better disclosed in the fate of the TARP funds which Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson was given by Congress – it appears that crony capitalism and socialism for the rich is the name of the game according to American blogs such as naked capitalism, Obsidian Wings, firedoglake and naked capitalism again.

But Bush will soon be fading into history, and Barack Obama sensibly declined to act at the summit without executive authority, so what emerged from the G20 is more in the nature of a directions statement for the way forward, as The Big Picture foresaw:

Hopefully, a long term agenda for regulatory cooperation and communication can be set with the next meeting’s agenda decided upon. Far better to talk then not, but no real decisions will come out of this meeting. There will be gnashing of teeth and venting of rage at the mess that excess securitization has created, and the international regulation of and accounting for such derivatives will probably be a focus.

Planet Money looks at what transpired, and links to the text of the communique here. Continue reading ‘G20 Summit: A new Bretton Woods?’

The state of capitalism today III

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Mark
1 year, 5 months ago
in Economics, International, Markets, Politics, Sociology and USA
. 24 Comments

I can’t recall where I read this, but someone in one of the many interesting things written about the global financial crisis suggested that “Keynes” (of whom we’ve heard more lately than we’ve heard for a long time) might be a useful heuristic to understand what’s been happening rather than a real source of inspiration for policy responses or analyses. With all the calls for a new Bretton Woods, emanating from Gordon Brown (and Kevin Rudd), what appears to have been overlooked is that Keynes’ proposals at Bretton Woods itself were substantially modified to ensure the effective independence of the US currency from the financial architecture it put in place – something that’s explained quite deftly here. So, even at the height of “Keynesianism”, we never really had the rule-bound constraints on capitalist behaviour which the man himself had wanted to see. Similarly, there’s no great novelty in pump priming as a tool of macro-economic management and it’s better understood as a pragmatic mode of state intervention, which has been adopted as a tactic of governance, rather than as a paradigm shift in economic practice. Again, there are significant differences between Keynes’ own ideas and the “neo-Keynesian synthesis”.

However, I think we can now advance a few hypotheses, however tentative, about what’s occurring – in terms of both political economy and the sociology of knowledge.

Continue reading ‘The state of capitalism today III’