Breaking the stalemate on asylum seekers and refugees: How?
The CPD suggests a return to evidence-based policy on asylum seekers. The question is: how do we get there?
Border fantasies out of control
Peter Lewis, of Essential Media Communications, has a good take on the latest Essential poll, which found that the number of respondents concerned about asylum seeker arrivals on boats dropped significantly when informed that total numbers of arrivals were actually [...]
Malcolm Turnbull and reframing the Climate Change debate
Malcolm Turnbull’s speech on climate change science points the way to a better framing of the climate change and carbon price debates than we’ve seen from the Labor party.
Polls, polls, polls and the campaign for another election!
This morning’s papers are full of more petulance about the lack of an election result, and about polls. The poll being talked about was trumpeted by News Limited, but curiously didn’t emanate from either Newspoll or Galaxy – pollsters of [...]
Gender gap disappearing: polls
Essential Research finds that there were no “substantial gender differences” in Tony Abbott’s approval ratings, and men were slightly more likely to approve of Julia Gillard’s performance and prefer her as PM. Yesterday, Newspoll found that Labor’s primary vote among [...]
Election day three: polls galore
In Crikey today, Richard Farmer asked us to imagine how we would score this election if polls didn’t exist. It’s an interesting thought experiment, though it’s also salient to mention that a lot of what’s set up the terms and [...]
Assessing Julia Gillard as PM
A couple of pollsters have been very quick to assess public support for Julia Gillard and Labor, after her unprecedented ascension to the Prime Ministership. Possum has all the details of the latest Galaxy and Nielsen polls, both showing a [...]
Essential Research: A pox on both your houses (and on the media)
In comments on Mr Denmore’s guest post on the interpretation of polls (particularly Newspoll) through the self-referential lens of the ‘media narrative’, I wrote: All quantitative polling tells you only so much, without asking questions about strength of voting intention, [...]
Newspoll ALP 51-49 (Greens on 16 primary)
The latest Newspoll is out, with an ALP primary of 35, the Coalition on 42 and The Greens on a record breaking 16. With preferences nominally allocated as they were at the last election, that translates to a 2PP in [...]
The Rudd government's RSPT advertising campaign
Anyone who’s been watching commercial tv recently would have noticed lots and lots of ads for Kevin Rudd’s National Health and Hospitals Network. Although they come in the guise of information, they strongly mirror the Prime Minister’s rhetoric. Now we’ve [...]
Press opinion of public opinion
Dennis Shanahan: The Rudd government, incredibly, has lost the fight over the RSPT. A Labor government has been unable to win popular support, or the policy argument, for lifting taxes on wealthy and prosperous mining companies… Essential Research: <img src="http://larvatusprodeo.net/files/2010/05/rspt1.png"
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