Quick link: Graham Young on polling interpretation for mugs
Following my post yesterday on the dangers of taking internal party polling “leaks” seriously, and the Newspoll and Galaxy figures released last night, Graham Young makes some excellent points on today’s interpretations game: Mugs are what most of my colleagues [...]
Does asylum seeker policy actually switch votes?
One would assume that the answer has to be ‘yes’, since as Tim Dunlop observes, incidentally arguing against the view that the issue plays to entrenched racism, boat arrivals and “border security” have been elevated by all political parties to [...]
Quick link: Possum refutes Shanahan on Rudd's last polls
In a very comprehensive and statistically rich post, Possum has refuted Dennis Shanahan’s contention about the interpretation of polls in Kevin Rudd’s last months as Prime Minister. Graham Young has also had a look at the Quarterly Newspoll data: The [...]
Assessing Julia Gillard as PM
A couple of pollsters have been very quick to assess public support for Julia Gillard and Labor, after her unprecedented ascension to the Prime Ministership. Possum has all the details of the latest Galaxy and Nielsen polls, both showing a [...]
2010: Bye bye Bligh?
Back in August, I had this to say about Anna Bligh’s Labor regime in Queensland: Anna Bligh’s credibility was one of the few things the ALP had going for it in the March state election. Her opposition to the dictates [...]
The impending Queensland election and the state of the debt
Various newspapers described Queensland Treasurer Andrew Fraser’s budget outlook review on Friday as providing a “trigger” for an impending poll. That’s something of a misleading formulation. But the budget position does give state Labor – perhaps paradoxically – a political [...]
Another day, another election false alarm
It seems that the ALP still can’t lift a political finger in Queensland without the press wizards at The Australian heralding it as a sign of an imminent election. On Friday, they were writing about a “trigger” for a poll, [...]
Alternative universe
Aside from running “news” stories that “couriermail.com.au readers” are shocked by Anna Bligh’s use of the government jet to fly to Townsville, the redoubtable News Limited ranks are continuing their early election frenzy at every available opportunity. Witness this piece [...]
Queensland politics – the state of play
There are some interesting tidbits around today about where Queensland politics is at – at a point in time when the serious business of politics has started (at least for the ALP) but where I think the election is still [...]
The media and the motivation to blog
At Ambit Gambit, Graham Young riffs off a comment made by Jay Rosen on Twitter: You know why there are bloggers, @Newshour? Because there is “safety first” reasoning in news. People get sick of it and take up their pens.” [...]
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