A tale of two Labor post-mortems
It’s interesting to contrast reports of two ALP reflections on the election result – one in Crikey on the thoughts of Victorian MP Martin Foley, and one in The Drum on a meeting of the NSW Right, penned by Glenn [...]
A note on stability [Hung Parliament]
As we get closer to decision time, I’ve been reflecting on the idea of “stability” that seems key to the rural Independents’ choice or choices. I watched last week’s Q&A on repeat – I turned it off last Monday when [...]
Your poll-free guide to the state of the seats in Queensland
Published in today’s Crikey email: We’re drowning in polls at the moment, and rumours of polls. I’ve been writing in recent days about the futility of over-interpreting polls, and it’s also been suggested that the key to divining this election [...]
Newspoll’s state by state breakdown; and “sandbagging” Queensland marginals
Newspoll has released the state by state breakdown of its latest poll. Sample sizes, when disaggregated this way, are fairly small, ranging from 445 in SA to 765 in NSW. That translates to a margin of error between 4.6 and [...]
Gillard taking questions from educators, citizens, children
We’re seeing an interesting tactic from the Prime Minister – opening herself up to questioning on policy from those actually working in the area, and tonight, on Q&A, to anyone. (And I hope that the Q&A audience is more representative [...]
The Treasurers’ debate
Today, we have Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey going head to head at the National Press Club at lunch time. I won’t be watching it, because I have a full time job and I’m at work. That’s the problem with [...]
Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor
… reports William Bowe, via GhostWhoVotes on Twitter. This poll was taken after the Kevin10 announcement on Thursday, and the Coalition increasingly embarking on a front-runner’s strategy, reinforced in today’s campaign launch. It’s up from 50-50 last time, and as [...]
Putting the tragic back in political tragic
Originally published at the ABC’s Drumroll campaign blog. I’ve been largely tuned out of the election campaign today, enjoying a friend’s visit and popping into town to buy a couple of books to read. So I’ve only seen two snippets [...]
Guest post by Pavlov’s Cat: Sorry Annabel, not good enough
Originally published at Still Life With Cat: The ABC’s Annabel Crabb published a long, informative, entertaining piece at The Drum the other day, characteristically witty and meaty, in defence of journalists and their current behaviour and reportage on the campaign [...]
The Kevin10 factor
Originally published at The Drumroll. I made some observations about Kevin Rudd’s return to the campaign foray in Crikey today, and in particular its implications in Queensland, but I wanted to add four points on today’s developments. (a) We may [...]
The view from Channel Nine X
Continuing an irregular series commenting on how the election looks to commercial tv viewers: commercial free to air is the biggest single source of information for voters. It’s Ekka time, which means Brisbane Channel Nine is broadcasting from the Exhibition [...]




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