The Labor leadership Roundtable we had to have
… since the Saturday Salon thread is full of commentary about the apparently impending showdown between Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard. I think it’s apparent, as we’ve been saying here since January, that the “it’s all a media beatup” hypothesis [...]
Nielsen finds Labor would be 52-48 ahead under Rudd
I’ve got big doubts that polls which are based on counterfactuals have the meaning they’re purported to bear, but something must be going on when Nielsen has Labor’s primary vote at 27% but at 42% if Kevin Rudd were leader. [...]
Rudd’s words won’t hurt Labor, but it’s about more than hurt feelings
From today’s Crikey email: Former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd last night gave an interview to Phillip Adams on Late Night Live. This morning, Brisbane’s sole metropolitan newspaper characterised his successor Julia Gillard’s response as an apology to Queenslanders for hurting [...]
Kevin Rudd’s Radio National interview with Phillip Adams
Former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has given his first interview since losing the premiership. Rudd spoke tonight to Phillip Adams, and you can read the transcript here. The deposed Labor leader appealed to voters who might have misgivings about the [...]
The Coalition’s primary vote recovery and its potential significance
Folks might recall that during Labor’s polling slump in the lead up to the removal of Kevin Rudd, Labor’s primary fell to a level in the 30s (where it sits again now), while the Coalition’s primary vote stubbornly refused to [...]
“If you can’t govern your party…”
By Mark Bahnisch Over the weekend, I read Annabel Crabb’s Rise of the Ruddbot. It’s fascinating to take a trip back to a time when a Liberal leadership team of Tony Abbott and Julie Bishop seemed fanciful. Just as much [...]
The impact of the Labor leadership change according to Nielsen
The image below the fold is courtesy of Possum, who has much much more on today’s Nielsen poll. Please note the margins of error on gender and state by state breakdowns are higher than in the poll itself, and are [...]
Nicholas Stuart's Rudd's Way and the spectre of Kevin07
There’s been extensive discussion of Nicholas Stuart’s new book, Rudd’s Way on Brian’s thread about the political demise of Kevin Rudd. I’ve been dipping into it and have written a post about it for the ABC’s Campaign Diary blog. I [...]
National Security Committee Meetings and past and present PMs
Seriously, just how many senior members of Cabinet really need to be present for every single NSCC meeting?
Laurie Oakes' National Press Club allegations redux
As you are all aware, Laurie Oakes decided to crap all over Julia Gillard’s strategy leading into the election campaign with his ‘Kirribilli’ question(s) at the National Press Club last Thursday. It included this: Is it true that there was [...]
Endless rehashing of the Labor leadership change: supplementary thread
Since we’d like commenters to stay on topic, we are providing this thread for all those who wish to continue to discuss the merits of the change from Kevin Rudd to Julia Gillard.




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