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By Kim on July 1, 2010
The political lens has been focused squarely on the government, more or less since the budget way back in May, and the announcement of the RSPT. That’s continued to be the case over the last week with everyone parsing all [...]
Posted in Health, Politics | Tagged Coalition, health and hospitals network, health policy, John Mendoza, Julia Gillard, Labor leadership, Liberal Party, mental health, Nicola Roxon, Polls, Rudd government, Stephen Leeder, Tony Abbott |
By Mark Bahnisch on June 21, 2010
One indicator for the question that’s occupying many minds about the likely distribution of preferences from The Greens in a situation where their primary vote increases considerably will be the final distribution of preferences in the Penrith by-election. So, watch [...]
Posted in By-elections, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, Australian Greens, Coalition, Federal Election 2010, Labor, Liberal Party, Newspoll, Penrith by-election 2010, Polls, preferences, primary vote, The Greens |
By Mark Bahnisch on June 18, 2010
Andrew Bartlett reports on a disgraceful LNP leaflet distributed in the suburbs of Wayne Swan’s electorate of Lilley on Brisbane’s northside. Go read.
Posted in Elections, Immigration, Politics | Tagged andrew bartlett, asylum seekers, Brisbane, campaign, Coalition, Immigration, leaflet, Liberal Party, Lilley, LNP, refugee week, refugees, virginia, Wayne Swan |
By Mark Bahnisch on June 16, 2010
In comments on Mr Denmore’s guest post on the interpretation of polls (particularly Newspoll) through the self-referential lens of the ‘media narrative’, I wrote: All quantitative polling tells you only so much, without asking questions about strength of voting intention, [...]
Posted in Federal Elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, bernard keane, Climate change, Coalition, cprs, Crikey, Essential report, Essential Research, ets, Federal Election 2010, issues, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Liberal Party, Media, media narrative, Newspoll, party images, Polls, preferences, public opinion, The Greens, Tony Abbott, trust |
By Mark Bahnisch on June 13, 2010
This weekend’s seen the latest installment in the ‘media narrative’; demands in The Australian for either a Labor leadership change or a quick cave-in by Kevin Rudd to the mining industry on the RSPT (which would, of course, in the [...]
Posted in Federal Elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, Australian Greens, campaign, Coalition, Federal Election 2010, Galaxy, Geoffrey Barker, graham richardson, Greens preferences, inside story, Julia Gillard, keith de lacy, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Liberal Party, media narrative, Miners, mining industry, Nielsen, Peter Walsh, Poll Bludger, Polls, possum, preferences, Queensland, resources rent, resources tax, rspt, Senate, The Australian, The Greens, WA, Western Australia, Westpoll |
By Mark Bahnisch on June 8, 2010
I continue to be quite surprised at the levels of panic about the Labor party’s current polling predicament, and some of the reactions. The government’s response to the Nielsen poll yesterday was to point out that Tony Abbott stands a [...]
Posted in Elections, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, Anna Bligh, Australian Greens, Bruce Hawker, Coalition, cprs, electoral strategy, ets, Federal Election 2010, Gary Gray, greens, John Black, John Howard, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Liberal Party, Nielsen Poll, Paul Keating, Peel Street, Peter Van Onselen, political communication, polling, preferences strategy, preferential voting, preferred Prime Minister, Qanda, Queensland election 2009, Queensland Labor, resources tax, Richard Farmer, rspt, Rudd government, Samah Hadid, satisfaction, second preferences, Sussex Street, Tony Abbott, underdog, win expectations, youth activists, youth vote |
By Mark Bahnisch on June 1, 2010
The latest Newspoll is out, with an ALP primary of 35, the Coalition on 42 and The Greens on a record breaking 16. With preferences nominally allocated as they were at the last election, that translates to a 2PP in [...]
Posted in Polls | Tagged ALP, Australian Greens, Coalition, Essential Research, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Liberal Party, Newspoll, polling, Polls, satisfaction, The Greens, Tony Abbott |
By Kim on May 27, 2010
The exit of Malcolm Fraser from the Liberal party has set a few tongues wagging: Andrew Bartlett: For the last few months, I’ve found it hard to shake the idea that the Liberal Party’s overriding approach to politics and policy [...]
Posted in Politics, USA | Tagged American politics, andrew bartlett, anti-politics, Charles Richardson, Federal Election 2010, GOP, ideology, John Howard, Kevin Rudd, Liberal Party, libertarianism, Malcolm Fraser, Mark Lilla, populism, Republican party, Tony Abbott, USA mid term election 2010 |
By Kim on May 27, 2010
The Coalition has released its policy on “border protection”. The press release is here. All the usual nasties are there (TPVs, turn back the boats, blah blah) but what’s significant is the return of the Pacific Solution: In government, we [...]
Posted in Howardia, Immigration | Tagged boat people, border protection, Christmas Island, Coalition, detention, Immigration, Liberal Party, pacific solution, people smuggling, processing, refugees |
An August election?
By Mark Bahnisch on June 16, 2010
Rumours persist that an early August election will be called early in July. Parliament is only sitting for two weeks, and then won’t return until September. The delivery of valedictory speeches in the budget sitting shows that this term is [...]
Posted in Elections, Federal Elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged august election, budget, campaign, campaign strategy, commentariat, Dennis Atkins, election, election date, election speculation, Federal Election 2010, Kevin Rudd, leadership, leadership speculation, Liberal Party, Media, parliament, party of no, Policy, Polls, sittings, Tony Abbott | 144 Responses