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By Mark Bahnisch on February 11, 2010
If you like stats and maps, you should have a look at Nate Silver’s post on Sarah Palin’s chances in the primaries in 2012. Silver doesn’t mention this explicitly, but what jumps out at me is the sheer irrationality of [...]
Posted in Foreign Elections, USA | Tagged FiveThirtyEight.com, nate silver, political strategy, presidential election, presidential nomination, primaries, sarah palin, US election 2012 |
By Mark Bahnisch on January 26, 2010
Responding to the loss of Ted Kennedy’s Massachussetts Senate seat to Republican Scott Brown, Barack Obama is set to announce a three year discretionary spending freeze. (Note that military spending is apparently compulsory not discretionary.) Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.Com thinks [...]
Posted in Economics, International, Markets, USA | Tagged andrew leonard, Australian politics, barack obama, blue dog democrats, Brad DeLong, Coalition, deficits, Economics, Evan Bayh, firedoglake, G20, GFC, global financial crisis, growth, herbert hoover, ideology, Liberal Party, nate silver, Paul Krugman, Politics, recession, Robert Reich, Salon, spending freeze, stimulus, US politics |
By Mark Bahnisch on January 20, 2010
News is just coming in that Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat in Massachusetts has been lost by the Democrat, Martha Coakley, to the Republicans’ Scott Brown. FiveThirtyEight.Com has the margin at 52-47 and that blog will be well worth watching for [...]
Posted in Culture, Foreign Elections, Politics, USA | Tagged anti-politics, barack obama, David Hirst, Democrats, filibuster, GFC, living standards, Main Street, Martha Coakley, Massachussetts, nate silver, Republicans, Scott Brown, Senate, special election, super majority, Ted Kennedy, unemployment, US politics, Wall Street |
By Mark Bahnisch on July 7, 2009
Rob recently discussed the passage of the Waxman-Markey emissions trading bill through the US House of Representatives, and there’s been much written about its impact both on global climate change negotiations and on the chances of the CPRS legislation in [...]
Posted in Economics, Energy, Media, Politics, USA | Tagged American politics, Australian Greens, Climate change, climate change denialism, cprs, Emissions trading scheme, legislation, nate silver, Senate, Steve Fielding, The Greens, us congress, US House, US Senate, Wall Street Journal, waxman-markey |
By Mark Bahnisch on February 1, 2009
I’ve made the point before that real incomes in the United States have been more or less stagnant since 1974. It’s interesting to see John Quiggin dissect the reasons for this in the latest of his series of posts on [...]
Posted in Economics, International, Markets, Politics, USA | Tagged ALP, barack obama, class politics, global financial crisis, GOP, ideology, income inequality, John Quiggin, Kevin Rudd, Keynesianism, Labor, middle class, nate silver, neo-liberalism, political economy, Republicans, Rudd government, social democracy, stimulus, The Monthly, trickle down theory, USA Election 2008 |
By Kim on October 22, 2008
When I first discovered FiveThirtyEight.Com (courtesy of Down and Out of Sài Gòn on one of the American election threads here at LP, if I recall correctly), I thought of Nate Silver as America’s Possum. Coincidentally, there’s a profile of [...]
Posted in Blogging, Elections, Federal Elections, Foreign Elections, Politics, Polls, Sociology, Technology, The Web, USA | Tagged Blogging, chris nash, Federal election 2007, nate silver, political blogging, possum, Possum Comitatus, psephological analysis, psephological blogging, psephology, US election 2008, USA Election 2008 |
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