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Browse: Home / Newspoll

Newspoll

Support for carbon tax rises: Newspoll

Support for carbon tax rises: Newspoll

By Kim on July 24, 2011

Newspoll finds a 6% shift from opposition to support for the carbon price. It’s still disapproved by 53-36, but there’s definitely something going on.

Posted in Climate change, Featured, Policy, Polls | Tagged carbon price, carbon tax, Julia Gillard, JWS Research, Lalor, Newspoll, Polls | 39 Responses

Nielsen 52-48; Newspoll 50-50

By Kim on August 20, 2010

The last (I think!) polls we will see this campaign are in. Peter Hartcher on Lateline makes the point that there have been eleven (!) phone polls in ten days, and that all bar Newspoll have had Labor somewhere between [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Federal Election 2010, Lateline, Newspoll, Nielsen, Peter Hartcher, Polls | 31 Responses

Quick link: Graham Young on polling interpretation for mugs

By Mark Bahnisch on August 20, 2010

Following my post yesterday on the dangers of taking internal party polling “leaks” seriously, and the Newspoll and Galaxy figures released last night, Graham Young makes some excellent points on today’s interpretations game: Mugs are what most of my colleagues [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Media, Polls | Tagged Federal Election 2010, Galaxy, Graham Young, Insiders, Newspoll, party polling, poll interpretation, psephology | 17 Responses

Newspoll 50-50; Galaxy Labor 52-48

By Kim on August 19, 2010

Is it The Tightening? The latest Newspoll, taken on Tuesday and Wednesday night, with a sample of 1600 voters, shows the two major parties level on 50-50. That’s a 2% swing to the Coalition from the last Newspoll. No details [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Federal Election 2010, Newspoll, Polls | 76 Responses

Newspoll Labor 52-48

By Mark Bahnisch on August 15, 2010

Via GhostWhoVotes on Twitter, the Newspoll to be published tomorrow comes in with Labor on 52% and the Coalition on 48% two party preferred. Primaries are Labor 38 (steady), Coalition 41 (-1), Greens 14 (+1). Update: Interestingly, the ALP has [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Federal Election 2010, Newspoll, Polls | 18 Responses

Newspoll’s state by state breakdown; and “sandbagging” Queensland marginals

By Mark Bahnisch on August 11, 2010

Newspoll has released the state by state breakdown of its latest poll. Sample sizes, when disaggregated this way, are fairly small, ranging from 445 in SA to 765 in NSW. That translates to a margin of error between 4.6 and [...]

Posted in Brisbane, federal election 2010, Polls, Queensland | Tagged Bonner, Brisbane, campaign, Federal Election 2010, Kevin Rudd, marginal seats, marginals, Moreton, Newspoll, Peter Brent, Petrie, Polls, sandbagging, state swings, William Bowe | 24 Responses

Galaxy: Labor 51-49

By Mark Bahnisch on August 9, 2010

Galaxy comes in this morning with the same primaries as Newspoll (38, 42, 13) but a 2PP of 51-49 instead of 52-48. That’s probably due to rounding, as both allocate preferences based on the 2007 election figures. Nielsen also showed [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Federal Election 2010, Galaxy, Newspoll, Nielsen, Polls | 35 Responses

Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

By Mark Bahnisch on August 8, 2010

… reports William Bowe, via GhostWhoVotes on Twitter. This poll was taken after the Kevin10 announcement on Thursday, and the Coalition increasingly embarking on a front-runner’s strategy, reinforced in today’s campaign launch. It’s up from 50-50 last time, and as [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Federal Election 2010, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Newspoll | 83 Responses

Morgan 50-50 and a poll wrap half way through the campaign

By Mark Bahnisch on August 4, 2010

Morgan comes in with very similar figures to Newspoll tonight, 50-50 on the 2PP and a 38-45 split on the primaries. William Bowe has more detail. It’s a small sample with a correspondingly high margin of error, but it’s saying [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Antony Green, Federal Election 2010, Morgan, Newspoll, Polls | 35 Responses

The Coalition’s primary vote recovery and its potential significance

By Mark Bahnisch on August 4, 2010

Folks might recall that during Labor’s polling slump in the lead up to the removal of Kevin Rudd, Labor’s primary fell to a level in the 30s (where it sits again now), while the Coalition’s primary vote stubbornly refused to [...]

Posted in federal election '07, federal election 2010, Polls | Tagged Andrew Catsaras, Coalition, Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd, Labor leadership, Newspoll, Nielsen, Polls, primary vote, Tony Abbott, WorkChoices | 18 Responses

Possum on Newspoll and the trend; and Libs now acting as front runner

By Kim on August 2, 2010

As a bit of an update to my post this morning on Newspoll, I thought I’d link to Possum’s piece this afternoon where he factors today’s numbers into an estimation of the trend: As a result, this brings our Pollytrend [...]

Posted in federal election 2010, Media, Polls | Tagged campaign strategy, Christopher Pyne, debate, Federal Election 2010, front runner, incumbency, Julia Gillard, Lateline, Leigh Sales, let julia be julia, Media, Newspoll, possum | 56 Responses

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