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Browse: Home / preferences

preferences

Senate group preference tickets released by AEC

By Mark Bahnisch on August 1, 2010

The AEC has released the Senate group preference tickets online. For those who might not be aware of how this works, if you vote “above the line” (that is, if you put a 1 in one of the parties’ or [...]

Posted in federal election 2010 | Tagged AEC, ALP, Democrats, Family First, Federal Election 2010, greens, group preference tickets, liberals, preferences, Senate, Steve Fielding, Victoria | 15 Responses

Rudd's chances, the Gillard bounce and the blogosphere conversation

By Mark Bahnisch on June 29, 2010

As an update to my link post yesterday, I thought it worthwhile drawing folks’ attention to Possum’s latest installment of pseph-y goodness. Of interest, aside from quantifying the increase in Labor’s primary vote under Gillard, is the fact that he’s [...]

Posted in Blogging, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, Blogging, blogosphere, Federal Election 2010, Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Labor leadership, Larvatus prodeo, Mark Bahnisch, Newspoll, Polls, possum, preferences | 174 Responses

Guest post by William Bowe: Brisbane election preview 2010

By Gummo Trotsky on June 23, 2010

William Bowe of The Poll Bludger wrote this piece for Crikey today, which we’re republishing with permission. This article is part of a weekly feature in the lead up to the 2010 federal election, and if you’d like to read [...]

Posted in Brisbane, Elections, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, Arch Bevis, Bert van Manen, Blair, Bonner, Bowman, Brett Raguse, Brisbane, Clive Palmer, Coalition, Crikey, Dickson, Federal Election 2010, Forde, Griffith, Jon Sullivan, Kerry Rea, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Lilley, LNP, Longman, Mal Brough, marginal seats, Michael Johnson, Michael Palmer, Moreton, Newspoll, Oxley Rankin, Peter Dutton, Petrie, Poll Bludger, polling, Polls, preferences, redistribution, Rudd government, Ryan, Shayne Neumann, swing, Tereas Gambaro, William Bowe, Wyatt Roy, Yvette D'ath | 6 Responses

Polls, preferences and the Penrith by-election: Watch this space

By Mark Bahnisch on June 21, 2010

One indicator for the question that’s occupying many minds about the likely distribution of preferences from The Greens in a situation where their primary vote increases considerably will be the final distribution of preferences in the Penrith by-election. So, watch [...]

Posted in By-elections, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, Australian Greens, Coalition, Federal Election 2010, Labor, Liberal Party, Newspoll, Penrith by-election 2010, Polls, preferences, primary vote, The Greens | 104 Responses

Essential Research: A pox on both your houses (and on the media)

By Mark Bahnisch on June 16, 2010

In comments on Mr Denmore’s guest post on the interpretation of polls (particularly Newspoll) through the self-referential lens of the ‘media narrative’, I wrote: All quantitative polling tells you only so much, without asking questions about strength of voting intention, [...]

Posted in Federal Elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, bernard keane, Climate change, Coalition, cprs, Crikey, Essential report, Essential Research, ets, Federal Election 2010, issues, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Liberal Party, Media, media narrative, Newspoll, party images, Polls, preferences, public opinion, The Greens, Tony Abbott, trust | 58 Responses

Why Labor may lose the 2010 federal election

By Mark Bahnisch on June 13, 2010

This weekend’s seen the latest installment in the ‘media narrative’; demands in The Australian for either a Labor leadership change or a quick cave-in by Kevin Rudd to the mining industry on the RSPT (which would, of course, in the [...]

Posted in Federal Elections, Media, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, Australian Greens, campaign, Coalition, Federal Election 2010, Galaxy, Geoffrey Barker, graham richardson, Greens preferences, inside story, Julia Gillard, keith de lacy, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Liberal Party, media narrative, Miners, mining industry, Nielsen, Peter Walsh, Poll Bludger, Polls, possum, preferences, Queensland, resources rent, resources tax, rspt, Senate, The Australian, The Greens, WA, Western Australia, Westpoll | 182 Responses

Campaign commentary live! II

By Mark Bahnisch on March 14, 2009

I’ll be on 4zzz’s Brisbane Line program (starting at midday Brisbane time) talking about the Queensland campaign with a focus on The Greens’ preferences decision.

Posted in Media, Queensland, State/Territory Elections | Tagged Brisbane Line, Mark Bahnisch, Media, preferences, Queensland election 2009, radio, The Greens | 12 Responses

Greens preferences allocated, Labor in deep trouble

By Mark Bahnisch on March 12, 2009

Negotiations have been finalised between Labor and The Greens for preferences in the Queensland election. The Greens are directing preferences to Labor in fourteen seats, while receiving preferences in one seat – Indooroopilly. The list of seats where Labor has [...]

Posted in Queensland, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, Labor, LNP, preferences, Queensland election 2009, The Greens | 40 Responses

Voting Green?

By Mark Bahnisch on March 3, 2009

Since commenters at LP seemingly never tire of threads about Greens preferences and inner-city Labor v. Green stoushes, I thought I should link to my latest on the role of The Greens at Pineapple Party Time, and how Anna Bligh [...]

Posted in Environment, Queensland, State/Territory Elections | Tagged Anna Bligh, Greens preferences, Labor, Media, optional preferential voting, preferences, psephology, Queensland election 2009, The Greens | 49 Responses

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