Quick link: Graham Young on polling interpretation for mugs
Following my post yesterday on the dangers of taking internal party polling “leaks” seriously, and the Newspoll and Galaxy figures released last night, Graham Young makes some excellent points on today’s interpretations game: Mugs are what most of my colleagues [...]
Possum needs a job!
If anyone wants to employ “one economist possum, slightly used, occasionally abused, good with numbers and other stuff. Intermittently snarky but always well humoured”, please see Possum’s post at Pollytics. I’d be very sad to see Possum become a less [...]
Strocchiology: The roundtable post we had to have
Inspired by Mark’s post on the unreliability of election predictions, I thought it was time for us to peer into our crystal balls and … Strocchiologise! Please see the definition of Strocchiology offered by Liam here. And the man himself’s [...]
The Greens as a social democratic and left party?
In a lot of the discussion here and elsewhere about the drift of ALP voters to The Greens, there’s an assumption that The Greens represent a purer left alternative to Labor. That assumption might be a tad simplistic, if Tad [...]
Parsing the polls: Just how strong is Labor's lead, really?
I’ve been wondering myself, recently, about the significance of Labor’s unbroken lead in the polls, which if memory serves, has persisted for over three years now. There’s little doubt that it’s Rudd’s election to lose, but, conversely, big Labor victories [...]
A two term strategy?
You could be forgiven for thinking that there is no such thing as Australian federal politics any more. Nothing budges in the polls. As Possum reminds us: Remember when a party getting 55% in a poll created headlines of impending [...]
Anna Bligh's very bad week
From today’s Crikey email: Anna Bligh certainly wasn’t exaggerating when she observed that Queensland Labor had a bad week. Nor has this week started off well for her, with a Galaxy Poll showing her approval rating plunging to 33%, just [...]
Newspoll 55-45; The Australian turns 45
Andrew Bolt makes sense! Truth is that it’s actually a waste of time and credibility to try to make a news story about minor changes in the Newspoll figures – changes that fall even within the margin of error. Bottom [...]
The Liberals, women and the Mad Monk
Pavlov’s Cat made a very incisive comment here recently, apropos of the silly push for Tony Abbott to be leader of the Liberal Party (which seems to have disappeared ever since Malcolm got ‘back on the front foot’, ‘muscled up’, [...]
Memories
By Mark Bahnisch on November 8, 2009
John Howard is on the front page of the Sydney Sunday Telegraph proclaiming “I’d stop the boats!”… Meanwhile, all week since the Newspoll likely outlier, the tone of the media coverage and commentary has shifted. Glenn Milne, with his accustomed [...]
Posted in Culture, Howardia, Immigration, Media, Polls, Sociology | Tagged asylum seekers, boat people, commentatariat, Essential Research, Indonesian solution, John Howard, Kevin Rudd, Media, Morgan, Newspoll, pacific solution, Pauline Hanson, political culture, political sociology, Polls, psephology, Rudd government, xenophobia | 67 Responses