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Browse: Home / William Bowe

William Bowe

Who’s actually ahead in the two party preferred vote? (And does it matter?)

By Kim on August 31, 2010

The name of the game at the moment in Canberra is the competition between claims to “legitimacy” – a new concept in Australian politics, it would seem, as no one, I think, ever suggested John Howard should not form a [...]

Posted in federal election 2010 | Tagged AEC, Antony Green, Federal Election 2010, hung parliament, Peter Brent, Tony Abbott, two party preferred, William Bowe | 50 Responses

Quick link: Bowe on what’s happening in the Senate

By Mark Bahnisch on August 22, 2010

William Bowe has all the news on the shifting dynamic in the Senate. We know The Greens have won a Senator in each state, bringing them up to 9 Senators when the Senators elected yesterday take their seats on 1 [...]

Posted in federal election 2010 | Tagged DLP, Family First, Federal Election 2010, Poll Bludger, Senate, Stephen Fielding, The Greens, Victoria, William Bowe | 50 Responses

Newspoll’s state by state breakdown; and “sandbagging” Queensland marginals

By Mark Bahnisch on August 11, 2010

Newspoll has released the state by state breakdown of its latest poll. Sample sizes, when disaggregated this way, are fairly small, ranging from 445 in SA to 765 in NSW. That translates to a margin of error between 4.6 and [...]

Posted in Brisbane, federal election 2010, Polls, Queensland | Tagged Bonner, Brisbane, campaign, Federal Election 2010, Kevin Rudd, marginal seats, marginals, Moreton, Newspoll, Peter Brent, Petrie, Polls, sandbagging, state swings, William Bowe | 24 Responses

Links post on the spill and the Gillard ascension

By Mark Bahnisch on June 25, 2010

Some interesting articles around the web this morning to highlight: Jeff Sparrow at The Drum asks some searching questions about the personalisation of politics and its relationship with our democratic deficit, while The Poll Bludger and Mumble present contrasting takes [...]

Posted in Blogging, Media, Politics, The Web | Tagged ALP, Charles Richardson, Crikey, first female PM, helen razer, Jeff Sparrow, Julia Gillard, Labor, Labor leadership, links post, Media, Michael Carden, Mumble, Peter Brent, Poll Bludger, Rachel Hills, Shakira Hussein, spill, the drum, William Bowe | 108 Responses

Guest post by William Bowe: Brisbane election preview 2010

By Gummo Trotsky on June 23, 2010

William Bowe of The Poll Bludger wrote this piece for Crikey today, which we’re republishing with permission. This article is part of a weekly feature in the lead up to the 2010 federal election, and if you’d like to read [...]

Posted in Brisbane, Elections, Federal Elections, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, Arch Bevis, Bert van Manen, Blair, Bonner, Bowman, Brett Raguse, Brisbane, Clive Palmer, Coalition, Crikey, Dickson, Federal Election 2010, Forde, Griffith, Jon Sullivan, Kerry Rea, Kevin Rudd, Labor, Lilley, LNP, Longman, Mal Brough, marginal seats, Michael Johnson, Michael Palmer, Moreton, Newspoll, Oxley Rankin, Peter Dutton, Petrie, Poll Bludger, polling, Polls, preferences, redistribution, Rudd government, Ryan, Shayne Neumann, swing, Tereas Gambaro, William Bowe, Wyatt Roy, Yvette D'ath | 6 Responses

Marginal seat polling and the Rudd government's position

By Mark Bahnisch on June 22, 2010

Paul Norton observed here at LP yesterday that we’re in uncharted psephological waters, with both major parties on low primaries and both leaders relatively unpopular. A host of questions have therefore arisen: about the likely flow of preferences from The [...]

Posted in Federal Elections, Politics, Polls | Tagged ALP, China, Dawson, Dennis Shanahan, Federal Election 2010, Flynn, Julia Gillard, Labor, Laura Tingle, Lindsay, Longman, marginal seats, media narrative, NBN, Newspoll, Page, parental leave, paul norton, Penrith by-election 2010, Peter Van Onselen, Poll Bludger, Polls, possum, rspt, Rudd governmment, Telstra, The Australian, The Greens, Tony Abbott, William Bowe | 46 Responses

Penrith by-election open thread

By Mark Bahnisch on June 18, 2010

The first by-election since Kristina Keneally became NSW Premier will be held tomorrow, for the seat of Penrith, vacated by Karyn Paluzzano after she admitted lying to ICAC over irregular payments of staff allowances. Antony Green has provided a compendium [...]

Posted in By-elections | Tagged analysis, Antony Green, Barry O'Farrell, Coalition, hashtag, ICAC, Karyn Paluzzano, Kristina Keneally, links, NSW Labor, NSW politics, open thread, Penrith by-election 2010, Poll Bludger, predictions, results, twitter, William Bowe | 202 Responses

Anna Bligh's very bad week

By Mark Bahnisch on August 3, 2009

From today’s Crikey email: Anna Bligh certainly wasn’t exaggerating when she observed that Queensland Labor had a bad week. Nor has this week started off well for her, with a Galaxy Poll showing her approval rating plunging to 33%, just [...]

Posted in Crime, Economics, Federal Elections, Politics, Queensland, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, Anna Bligh, Australian Greens, CMC, corruption, Crikey, Cronyism, ETU, fitzgerald enquiry, Galaxy poll, government business relations, John Hewson, Liberal National Party, LNP, lobbyists, Paul Keating, police culture, Poll Bludger, Polls, privatisation, psephology, public assets, Queensland election 2009, queensland government, Queensland Labor, Queensland politics, The Greens, Tony Fitzgerald, William Bowe | 48 Responses

Queensland Election: Day Four

By Kim on February 26, 2009

It wouldn’t be a Queensland election without drama. Pauline Hanson redux, a slather of independents contesting LNP heartland seats, beatups about gaffes, the awful musical stylings of the Borg, billionnaire magnates suing pollies for defamation and cancelling press conferences, and [...]

Posted in Blogging, Polls, Queensland, State/Territory Elections | Tagged ALP, Anna Bligh, Blogging, campaign, Crikey, Day Four, Galaxy poll, Labor, Lawrence Springborg, LNP, Mark Bahnisch, Pineapple Party Time, Poll Bludger, Polls, possum, Queensland election 2009, William Bowe | 13 Responses

The Poll Bludger's live blog of the WA count [continued from The Poll Bludger]

By Guest Poster on September 6, 2008

MB: William’s been having problems with his database crashing, so he’s going to conclude his liveblogging of the WA election poll count here if the problems continue. 10.48pm. I’ll wrap it up here and carry on over at my place, [...]

Posted in Blogging, Notices, State/Territory Elections | Tagged Alan Carpenter, ALP, Australian Greens, Colin Barnett, Labor, Liberal Party, Nationals, The Poll Bludger, WA election 2008, WA election live blogging, WA election results, William Bowe | 39 Responses

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