Archive for the 'Transport' Category

Some new cars of interest

I’m anything but a rev head, but I was interested in information on a couple of new cars that John D sent me.

I’m not sure what the category “supercar” means, but I gather it is a very expensive, high-performance car that would set you back a couple of hundred grand.

First there is this little beauty from Porsche.

Just unwrapped at Geneva is this extraordinary Porsche 918 Spyder concept car, a mid-engined two-seater combining supercar performance with just 70 grams CO2 per kilometre emissions and a fuel consumption of 3.0 litres/100 kilometres (94 mpg imp). Under those curvaceous lines hides a 500 bhp V8 plus three electric motors totalling 215 bhp offering a wickedly fast 0-100 km/h time of 3.2 seconds, a top speed of 320 km/h (198 mph) and it’s already done a lap of the Nordschleife Nurburgring circuit under 7:30 minutes, which is faster than even the Porsche Carrera GT. Buyers will be queued up around the block if (or more likely, when) this goes into production. (Emphasis added)

And it’s seriously sexy hybrid!

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Blame the Minister?

Media reporting suggests that Victorian Public Transport Minister Lynne Kosky’s departure was indeed for “family reasons”. Whatever the details (and they of course aren’t our business), good luck to her and her family as she confronts what sounds like a very serious challenge.

Kosky’s time in the public transport portfolio has not been a happy one, and her departure will undoubtedly be handy for the government. Victoria’s public transport system, particularly the train system, has failed to cope with a big increase in passenger numbers. Nor could it cope with extreme weather; on the increasingly common 40 degree days down here in Melbourne, massive disruptions in the train system have become routine due to limitations with train air conditioning systems, buckling rails, and sagging wires. To top it off, the myki smartcard ticketing system is three years late, way over budget, and its tentative and partial introduction still isn’t working properly.

But how much is Kosky herself to blame for all of this?

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Travellers’ tip – how to read a Brisbane Busway information board

The holiday season is almost upon us, and many readers’ holiday plans may well include a visit to my adopted home town of Brisbane. My own plans entail a visit to my original home town of Melbourne, but I digress.

Visitors to Brisbane will notice that a significant new component of the city’s transport infrastructure is the growing network of dedicated busways. Each of the busway stations is equipped with an electronic information board purporting to display information on impending bus arrivals at the station. You are hereby advised that reading and interpreting the information displayed on the information board is, well, somewhat counter-intuitive.
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Opining beyond one’s academic expertise

Apparently, there’s more people getting injured on bicycles than the official statistics show, according to a new study:

The NRMA-ACT Road Safety Trust report, obtained by Radio National’s Background Briefing program, has found a huge discrepancy between ACT police data and hospital records.

Official bike injury statistics are based on police records. But not all bike injuries are reported to police, and the report shows that 98 per cent of cycling injuries are not showing up in official statistics.

That’s an important piece of research, and those who’ve collected the data deserve praise for doing so. But when the authors start to veer in the direction of suggesting solutions, they get onto considerably shakier territory:
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Another possibly illusory link

There were plenty of nonexistent links discussed in last night’s 4 Corners program on Sydney’s public transport woes – key amongst them train links to Sydney’s growing outer suburbs. And the NSW Labor government comes out of it looking pretty incompetent. But Wendy Carlisle’s report rested, in large part, on what seems a fairly insubstantial logical link – that the failure of electricity privatization was responsible for the lack of money available to extend Sydney’s rail network. But the actual connection between these two items is not at all clear to me. In political terms – sure. But in policy terms?

As I understand it, while government owned, NSW’s generators sell into the national electricity market for the best price that they can get, and make a profit doing so. By contrast, no public transport system in Australia makes a profit – they require ongoing subsidies from state governments because ticket sales don’t cover costs. So, from a purely financial perspective, selling the generators and using it to build a train networks is selling a profitable business and investing in a loss-making one. That’s hardly a sustainable basis for looking after the financial needs of NSW!

Now, there are of course a lot of other factors potentially at play here. One is that private investors might be prepared to pay more for the generation assets than what the government currently makes on them – in which case selling the generation assets makes (financial) sense, even if the money was just plonked in an index fund. Or that borrowing $10 billion on the rail network would have decreased NSW’s credit rating to such a point that the cost of borrowing might have risen too high. Or the Loans Council wouldn’t have permitted NSW to borrow the money – was that really likely.

In any case, the supposed connection between power privatization and fixing transport deserved at least a cursory examination, given the time spent on the entrails of the Labor Party organization’s attempt to impose its views on Labor Party candidates. While it’s reasonable to ask whether the privatization was the right decision, the notion that it’s somehow improper for the membership of a party to have a strong say in policy seems pretty odd to me.

Problems, symptoms, and causes

Bicycles are great. Bicycles are wonderful. More people should ride bicycles to work. Fewer cars on the road would be great. And, in general, making our suburbs more accessible to transport modes other than cars is a Good Thing. But Eliot Fishman, in the midst of a piece in New Matilda singing the praises of federal spending on bicycle infrastructure, seems to me to be conflating “problem”, “symptom” and “cause” to serve his argument:

Fourthly, the Commonwealth, as well as all state governments have expressed deep concern over traffic congestion. Few public policy issues have been handled quite as badly as the one to “solve” our congestion “problem”. The quotation marks are used because it’s not actually a problem and it cannot be solved. As urban planning commentator Jane Jacobs pointed out in the 1960s, congestion is a symptom and automobile dependence is the problem. With some 80 per cent of all trips to work in Australia being done by car, almost always with only one occupant, it is very clearly our over-reliance on motor vehicles that is the real issue. Building roads to reduce congestion is like adding holes to a belt to solve an obesity problem. Failure to acknowledge this reality has resulted in massive road-building exercises that have simply induced traffic, providing no real improvement for anyone.

As Eliot goes on to correctly note, single-occupant vehicles are a very space-inefficient way to transport things around; they might well be viewed as a cause of chronic congestion problems in our cities. But congestion – or, more precisely, the inability to get people to where they want to go on a prompt (and just as importantly, predictable) schedule in comfort and safety – is the problem, not cars per se. Congestion can occur in all modes of transport. Melbourne has been suffering from train congestion for the last couple of years. New York had pedestrian congestion way back in 1916, according to the Times. And, guess what, cities that have recently started to encourage cycling are having cycling traffic jams. When public transport or cycling routes suffer congestion, what’s the response of user groups for both organizations? More space-utilizing and potentially expensive infrastructure – pretty much the same response as the road lobby!

One of the most basic lessons from my own field is that framing problems is hugely important in determining solutions, and the overly narrow focus on increasing traffic flow of organizations like the road bureaucracies has been hugely costly, and environmentally damaging. But such a reverse framing exercise – defining the problem in such a way as to narrow the solution options to his preferred ones – is unnecessary and counterproductive. The case for less car-dependent cities can be made without such logical detours.

Electric cars, MK II

Despite all manner of travails, Tesla Motors are delivering production models of their Roadster electric sports car. Or, more to the point, they are delivering a heavily-reingineered version of the Roadster that a) actually works as promised, and b) can be sold profitably.

Their next project? An electric family-sized car, the model S.

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Ford Australia loses Focus, gains a new engine

In something that should come as no surprise, Ford Australia has cancelled its plans to build a small car, the Focus, in Australia. Blow me down with a feather – Ford figured out it couldn’t make money screwing together 20,000 or so Focuses, with the Aussie dollar remaining at historically high levels, when it was competing with plants screwing together ten times that number overseas.

However, it seems that Ford has changed its mind on earlier plans to abandon engine production in Australia, announcing that it plans to manufacture out a smaller, four-cylinder, turbocharged engine, which I imagine will replace the six-cylinder behemoth used in the current Falcon. This is very much in line with current technological trends, as discussed in this post. 42 million dollars from the “Green Car Fund” seems to have been rather helpful in persuading Ford to build the engine here, rather than importing it. Of course, the actual Aussie innovation here is zero – the design was done by the American corporate parent.

But I imagine that keeping the car industry alive is a lot higher priority for the government than whether any actual environmental innovation results from the money.

Future of the car, according to Bosch

While car manufacturers get all the attention, much of the innovation in the world of the motor vehicle actually happens at component suppliers. So when one of the biggest of those suppliers, Robert Bosch GmbH, gives its annual press briefing, it’s well worth a look if you want to see what we’re likely to be driving in the short to medium-term future.

According to Bosch, hybrids, let alone pure electric vehicles, aren’t likely to become mainstream vehicles for some time yet, though in their view they are the ultimate replacement for petroleum. Battery technology is improving a lot, but it’s still too expensive for what it offers, and hybrids are a lousy value proposition as well in the medium term. Instead, we are likely to see continued refinements of the internal combustion engine, with smaller turbocharged engines likely to replace big, naturally-aspirated ones, better fuel injection systems, and stop-start systems that cut off engines, and re-start them very quickly, when you’re stopped in traffic. You can see this already happening, with the latest generation of the VW Golf (featuring a relatively small 1.4 litre engine with both a supercharger and turbocharger), and the Holden Cruze is likely to be fitted with a small-displacement, turbocharged engine rather than a larger, naturally-aspirated one.

While of course Bosch was promoting their own technologies, they are such a huge company they’re involved in virtually every type of drivetrain technology, including pure electrics and hybrid cars. So you’d expect them to have a pretty fair idea of what’s likely to come down the exhaust pipe over the next decade. Of course, if there’s drastic action on climate change, or scarcity drives up the price of petrol high enough, the situation might change significantly.

Planning straw men

As a VFL/AFL footballer, he “boasted neither elegance nor athleticism, but Justin Madden was one of the most supremely effective ruckmen of recent times”. As a minister in the Bracks and Brumby Labor governments, he’s arguably made one of the more successful transitions from sport to politics, notwithstanding the factional hackery of his staff (see here for some of the skullduggery inflicted). Madden is an architect by training, and has made noises in the past about the profilgate environmental footprint of the McMansions springing up in Melbourne’s outer suburbs. But, as Planning Minister, he’s presided over the continual watering-down of Melbourne 2030, a planning strategy that was supposed to contain Melbourne’s sprawl and encourage higher-density housing. This watering down has been heavily criticized, not least by the editorial staff of The Age. So it’s not entirely surprising that he’s bobbed up with an op-ed defending the government’s planning policies. Unfortunately, it displays a talent for evading one’s opponents never displayed by Madden on the footy field:

I totally reject the sort of intellectual superiority of some “planning experts” that would dictate an inflexible planning solution. People deserve choice. If they want to live in tram-track suburbs, good planning gives them the choice to do that. If growing suburbs on the fringe of the city meet their needs, then there must be appropriate supply. Too often the debate is hijacked either by a cultural snobbery against growth suburbs on the city fringe, or a self-serving not-in-my-backyard-ism against development in established areas.

I’m all for an honest and continuing debate about how best to manage Melbourne and Victoria’s growth. But I won’t stand for cultural snobbery and NIMBY-ism being dressed up as public debate.

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Cycling-related beatup of the day

Sorry for the cycling theme at the moment, but this annoyed the hell out of me:

CYCLISTS will be charged up to $20 an hour to use Melbourne’s new public bicycle scheme when it is launched next year, with one critic saying it is doomed before it begins.

The steep price has won support from most transport observers, who say it will help keep trips short and ensure people do not keep bikes that are not being used.

But RMIT transport advocate Paul Mees criticises the scheme as a stunt used around the world when governments run out of serious policy ideas, and predicts it will fail as a transport alternative.

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Memorialising air disasters

Two bodies from among those killed on the Air France Airbus which disappeared on a flight from Rio de Janiero to Paris last week have now been pulled from the Atlantic Ocean.

Although Brazilians and French made up half the 228 passengers, people of 32 nationalities were  on board – an incredible manifestation of the globalised world we live in and of the ubiquity of international air travel. I say “incredible” because although I’ve done my fair share of air miles, I never cease to be amazed by the huge crowds in pivotal airports like Heathrow and Paris. Along with computers and the Internet, I reckon the advent of mass transit via jet aeroplane is the single biggest and most transformational change in the world in the past 30 years. Continue reading ‘Memorialising air disasters’

Years ago the Queensland government owned 90 butcher shops – Anna Bligh’s defence

She did say that in her speech to Parliament:

At times in our history the government of Queensland has sold beer, sawn and milled timber, retailed fish and even had 90 state owned butcher shops.

In Brisbane, our electricity network wasn’t state owned until 1977. And we didn’t own power stations until then either.

We’ve always owned a railway, but never owned a communications company. While we’ve retailed fish and meat, we’ve never been greengrocers.

So Bligh is arguing that what states own over time changes, and changed circumstances require decisions about what assets a state should own and what trading enterprises a state should be involved in.

She was actually quite articulate and even eloquent in the several times I’ve heard her on local ABC radio. And the speech in parliament is not bad at all. It’s just that people don’t listen. As soon as the interview ended callers, probably about 3 to one, rang in expressing visceral displeasure in no uncertain terms.

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Anna Bligh’s privatisation train will run off the rails

Intoning the phrase ‘Global Financial Crisis’ at every opportunity, Queensland Premier Anna Bligh has been preparing the ground for the privatisation of a wide range of state assets. It was confirmed today that QR’s freight train business would be among the government owned enterprises flogged off.

Bligh seems to be assuming that selling the freight business will be less unpopular than privatising passenger rail. Maybe, maybe not. The unions are certainly unhappy. But hiving off the profitable bits of QR is just nuts. Aside from the economies of scale that will be lost, the lack of a cross-subsidy for public transport will cause immense problems further down the track. That will be compounded by the government’s quick return to an aversion to public spending, which is a complete backflip from its winning electoral message.

Queensland Labor never previously went down the privatisation track favoured in other states. Peter Beattie was happy to retain some fat in QR over a period of years to cushion the impact of restructuring on jobs. There’s also previously been a perception that diseconomies would result from selling off profitable bits of public assets in such a geographically huge state with such a dispersed population. Cross-subsidy is the only model that works for public services in this state.

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GM bankruptcy watch

If Mike Rann is really “not worried about possible effects on the Holden car plant at Elizabeth in Adelaide” if General Motors goes into bankruptcy in the United States, he’s either developed a sudden case of free-market purity, he is completely incompetent in his job, or he is indulging in lily-gilding.

Robert Gottliebsen explains a bit more here about Holden’s short-term situation. Apparently Holden is structured as an unlisted public company (which GM of course owns in its entirety), and is currently cash-flow positive, so there’s no reason to think that GM new owners – the United Auto Workers and the US government – would have any reason to shut it down immediately.

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