Richard Farmer has an interesting argument to make in today’s Crikey about Rudd’s climate summit:
There is a danger for Labor Leader Kevin Rudd that his gimmick of having what he is calling a climate change summit will end up being one of those things that seemed to be a good idea at the time.
To put it somewhat crudely, Rudd is at risk of being seen as a smart arse – a politician being too clever by half.
While John Howard is delivering an actual policy to deal with at least part of the country’s water problem through his meeting of state premiers to arrange a federal takeover of the Murray-Darling Basin, Mr Rudd will be engaging in a talk-fest. Actions will surely create a better political outcome than words.
The motivation for Rudd’s summit is understandable enough. He is trying to overcome the advantages that being able to actually do things gives to an incumbent government.
Yet by settling on the need for a discussion to determine a broader strategy than that of Howard, Rudd is being left open to attack on the grounds that it shows how hamstrung a future Federal Labor Government would by the need to appease the eight state and territory governments.
This move highlights two problems with Rudd’s strategy - the first being that his experience in Goss’ Cabinet Office makes him think like someone who is in government. But he’s not. The challenges for an opposition leader are quite different. Although Labor is well ahead in the polls, Rudd has no power, and nothing to offer except promises to enforce agreement. The responses from Premiers to issues like recycled water and Howard’s Murray-Darling bid have been inconsistent. The incentives for Premiers to play to their own electorates at a talkfest like this outweigh those to present a united front with the Federal opposition. There’s a clear risk that the summit could end up displaying disunity - which raises the second problem about which I’ve previously written - there’s almost infinite potential to wedge Rudd and the states.
It’s no doubt one of Rudd’s strengths that he is skilled in, and capable of, broad consultation and thrashing out a policy approach that has wide support among stakeholders. But again, this is a skill of governance, not opposition. In 2001, Howard was able to make some play with the line that Beazley avoided firm commitments and promised inquiries and commissions and reports. It’s a good political line, because voters expect clear and contrasting policy positions from Opposition leaders, not meetings and briefing papers.
Continue reading ‘Shadow summit’
Recent comments
tigtog, Bingo Bango Boingo, Mark, Bingo Bango Boingo, wbb, Youie [...]
grace pettigrew, wbb, via collins, via collins, Lefty E, GregM [...]
Katz, Ambigulous, Lefty E, Tyro Rex, All Mi T
rosieblue, Lefty E, wankaroo, What me banal?, FDB, Eye'm A Love Man, Ooh Baby, Eye'm A Love Man [...]
Michael Sutcliffe, Mark, Tyro Rex, Adrien, Posey, Nabakov [...]
hannah's dad, Benedictus, Benedictus, Mary Jenkins, hannah's dad, JohnL [...]
Lefty E, Nabakov, Lefty E, joe2, Mark, Fine [...]
via collins, MikeM, glen, Deborah, zorronsky, Darlene [...]
RobWindt, Pappinbarra Fox, Ai! Que Dolor!, Patrick B, peter jones, Paul Burns [...]
Dave Bath, Bilko, Nabakov, Adrien, Richard Green, FDB [...]
Mark, Adrien, Adrien, Kim, Adrien, smiley [...]
Adrien, adrian, Audio Nerd, Pavlov's Cat, Katz, Lefty E [...]