…the Newspoll is also apparently coming early this week.
According to the Newspoll survey, there was no real change in the two-party-preferred support for Labor, with a 12-point lead last weekend of 56 to 44 per cent, compared with 55 to 45 per cent mid-September. The two-party-preferred support is essentially consistent with most of the Newspoll surveys since the beginning of June, with Labor in front by between 10 and 12 percentage points.
Primary support for the Coalition slipped back from the 41 per cent of two weeks ago to 39 per cent, while Labor’s was virtually unchanged on 48 per cent.
As to the mystical “narrowing” which is confidently expected by “The Prime Minister and his ministers”, and the reasons why we’re still waiting for the campaign proper to start, see my post on the 2001 election campaign (where the Coalition’s lead in Newspoll fell 7.3 points on primaries between the election being called and the last poll before the day) and particularly Possum’s feast of data on every election going back to 1993.

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